The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[charlie Jatinder]

Mission: Impossible 7 MiniTC2 T-28

Walmart - around 112 (18 showings)
EA - 190/4044 (12 showings) $3159
TUE - 174/55577 (204 showings) $2658

Low start.

[Unfitclock]

Is there a chance elemental has really strong walkups and gets to 40 plus opening weekend 

[JWR]

5 minutes ago, Unfitclock said:

Is there a chance elemental has really strong walkups and gets to 40 plus opening weekend 

 

Not impossible, but reaching that won't be easy. It's only chance is to hope for strong audience word of mouth and families with young children.

[YSLDC]

19 minutes ago, excel1 said:

 

 

No way it was only at 115k last night, that would mean Wed barely increased from Tues and that the far today, it has added 8k in tickets between midnight and 10 am eastern time when sales are no doubt very spare, even on the day release. It was probably near 120 and trending up big. 200k+ should happen with relative ease. 😎

 

Jurassic Got $17.5m out of 250k admissions; Flash get 80% of that number with a slightly higher avg ticket + all the advanced show times...$15m previews maybe??

 

Man if you are right that'll be hilarious 😂 

[Unfitclock]

@JWR so we’re probably looking at an opening in the 30s

[JWR]

Just now, Unfitclock said:

@JWR so we’re probably looking at an opening in the 30s

 

Seems like it, but we'll have a clearer picture tomorrow. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

25 minutes ago, excel1 said:

 

 

No way it was only at 115k last night, that would mean Wed barely increased from Tues and that the far today, it has added 8k in tickets between midnight and 10 am eastern time when sales are no doubt very spare, even on the day release. It was probably near 120 and trending up big. 200k+ should happen with relative ease. 😎

 

Jurassic Got $17.5m out of 250k admissions; Flash get 80% of that number with a slightly higher avg ticket + all the advanced show times...$15m previews maybe??

No, because JWD's numbers were far stronger outside of Alpha.

[rehpyc]

The Flash T-1

BA: 10.85M

JW4: 10.56M

AtSV: 8.92M

FX: 11.23M

RoTB: 10.23M

 

Elemental T-1

Minions 5: 1.76M

Shazam 2: 1.77M

Lightyear: 1.52M

Bad Guys: 2.25M

DC LoSP: 2.57M

[ZackM]

1 hour ago, excel1 said:

 

Thanks for running it again!

 

You think its added 13.5k yesterday and then added another 8k in the 10 hours today so far? If Tues was 11.3k added, would think Yesterday was probably closer to 17-18k w/ another 5k so far today. Either way looking at past comps, that is actually a pretty nice bump, very close to Jurassic World last year and far ahead of Black Adam. 

 

101k was not the Tuesday number.  It was just an erroneous number.  It's not unusual for T-2 to have minimal growth over T-3.  I was thinking more like 10k Tuesday and 15k Wednesday.

 

But, we'll have a real number to comp in a few hours.  So that will tell the story.

Edited June 15, 2023 by ZackM

[Flip]

Just looking at some theatres near me, and MI7 is much more backloaded throughout the weekend than Indy is (even with 2 extra days Friday and Saturday looks better for Dead Reckoning)

[M37]

1 hour ago, across the Jat verse said:

if its only 115K, even 170K will be tough, proly 117-120 ish.

Thinking it would have been closer to 120K than 115, and looking for a +55% for today. But won’t be all surprised if it comes in lower  

[keysersoze123]

My check yesterday night pst was tad below 120k. But I am tracking few more theaters. I am out and so cannot post numbers.

[charlie Jatinder]

12 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

My check yesterday night pst was tad below 120k. But I am tracking few more theaters. I am out and so cannot post numbers.

Did you check FRI by any chance.

[excel1]

47 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

No, because JWD's numbers were far stronger outside of Alpha.

 

Just like Flash will likely be. Black Adam parlayed 145k admissions to $7.6m. 200k+ w/ higher ticket price still gets Flash into lower teens. 

Edited June 15, 2023 by excel1

[keysersoze123]

8 minutes ago, across the Jat verse said:

Did you check FRI by any chance.

Nope. Could not do it this morning as well. I won't be back for a while as well.

[excel1]

22 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

My check yesterday night pst was tad below 120k. But I am tracking few more theaters. I am out and so cannot post numbers.

 

didn't transformers finish with 133k last thurs?

[Eric Prime]

On 6/14/2023 at 3:11 AM, Eric Prime said:

Elemental Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	84	352	11295	3.12%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 68

 

Comp - T-2

3.826x of The Bad Guys (4.4M)

0.440x of Lightyear (2.29M)

0.364x of Minions 2 (3.91M)

9.263x of Paws of Fury (4.68M)

2.023x of DC Super Pets (4.45M)

8.186x of Lyle Lyle Crocodile (4.71M)

Elemental Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	84	435	11295	3.85%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 83

 

Comp - T-1

2.862x of The Bad Guys (3.29M)

0.396x of Lightyear (2.06M)

0.287x of Minions 2 (3.08M)

6.304x of Paws of Fury (3.18M)

1.521x of DC Super Pets (3.35M)

7.632x of Lyle Lyle Crocodile (4.39M)

[Eric Prime]

On 6/14/2023 at 3:18 AM, Eric Prime said:

The Flash Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	116	2847	21860	13.02%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 229

 

Comp - T-2

0.326x of The Batman (7.04M)

0.813x of Jurassic World 3 (14.64M)

0.308x of Thor 4 (8.95M)

1.477x of Black Adam (11.23M)

0.698x of Avatar 2 (11.86M)

0.440x of Ant-Man 3 (7.7M)

0.491x of Guardians 3 (8.59M)

0.696x of Spider-Verse (12.07M)

 

I'm going to be at work for the next eight hours, so I really don't want to see any meltdowns or funny business here while I'm gone and away from a computer. So everybody be on their best behavior, okay? T_T

The Flash Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	116	3362	21860	15.38%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 515

 

Comp - T-1

0.341x of The Batman (7.37M)

0.808x of Jurassic World 3 (14.54M)

0.316x of Thor 4 (9.15M)

1.452x of Black Adam (11.03M)

0.739x of Avatar 2 (12.56M)

0.462x of Ant-Man 3 (8.08M)

0.509x of Guardians 3 (8.92M)

0.663x of Spider-Verse (11.5M)

[GOGODanca]

Elemental (D-0):

 

668 tickets sold at 10 AMC's (+209)/348% jump in the last 5 days)

 

The Flash (D-0):

3,449 tickets sold at 10 AMC's (+807)

 

Comp to Black Adam would be ~$11m range but that has decreased 20% over last couple days 

 

 

 

[M37]

1 hour ago, excel1 said:

 

didn't transformers finish with 133k last thurs?

Yes, but that was good for $7.6M for just Thursday, or a $57/tix PSM. Typically, DC films are MTC1 heavy, with a PSM closer to $50/tix, but something higher (like $53?) cannot be ruled out, though doubt it goes all the way up to TF/Fast X level