The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[MightyDargon]

1 minute ago, Ronin46 said:

 

Come on now. Could very well go below 30.

28-33 mil IMO. Still think being a sequel means it burns more audience opening night (Thurs.)

[TheFlatLannister]

1 minute ago, Ronin46 said:

 

Come on now. Could very well go below 30.

idk preview numbers are a lot better than originally anticipated. @keysersoze123 has 3.7M 

From there It would only need an ~8x IM to get it to $30M

 

Obviously, it could still miss the $30M mark but it'll be close imo 

[Ronin46]

4 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

idk preview numbers are a lot better than originally anticipated. @keysersoze123 has 3.7M 

From there It would only need an ~8x IM to get it to $30M

 

Obviously, it could still miss the $30M mark but it'll be close imo 

 

Its 3.4.

[GOGODanca]

that 3.4 is also boosted by spring break which will make this more frontloaded than normal and the early audience reception doesn't suggest some massive saturday/sunday growth

[Welcbr12]

39 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

Oof, $3.4m Thursday it is, per Deadline!

 

Below previews for Birds of Prey oh God 💀

[TheFlatLannister]

THURSDAY PREVIEWS 

GREATER ORLANDO AREA

 

JOHN WICK 4

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
70	1531	11882	12.8%

^{*numbers taken at approx 11:00am EST}

 

Very strong preview numbers. Will update numbers daily until T-1

[Menor the Destroyer]

Shazam 2 Marcus Friday:

 

Shows: 889

Sold: 6163/135477

 

It's below Bullet Train which is the closest comp at the moment. It underindexed here yesterday so I won't use exact comps, accounting for that looks like 8m true Friday depending on walkups. 

Edited March 17, 2023 by Menor Reborn

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, Menor Reborn said:

Shazam 2 Marcus Friday:

 

Shows: 889

Sold: 6163/135477

 

It's below Bullet Train which is the closest comp at the moment. It underindexed here yesterday so I won't use exact comps, accounting for that looks like 8m true Friday depending on walkups. 

I think it can go higher. But we have to wait until evening to be sure. 

[Tinalera]

John Wick 4

Thurs Mar 23 Fri Mar 24 (T-8)

Eastern Canada (Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Newfoundland)

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
NS	Thurs	4	23	109	4924	5033	0.0216
	Fri	4	11	119	2993	3112	0.0382
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
NB	Thurs	4	18	47	3211	3258	0.0144
	Fri	3	10	11	2629	2640	0.0041
NFLD	Thurs	1	9	74	1762	1836	0.0419
	Fri	1	4	44	876	925	0.0475

 

 

Canada roundup for t-10 to t-8/T-7

 

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouve	Thurs	3	15	305	3154	3459	0.0881
Calgary	Thurs	4	13	88	2811	2899	0.0303
Toronto	Thurs	4	38	413	8571	8984	0.0459
Montreal	Thurs	4	30	296	9634	9930	0.0298
NS	Thurs	4	23	109	4924	5033	0.0216
NB	Thurs	4	18	47	3211	3258	0.0144
NFLD	Thurs	1	9	74	1762	1836	0.0419
Total		24	146	1332	34067	35399	0.0376
Vancouve	Fri	3	17	388	3430	3818	0.1016
Calgary	Fri	4	17	180	3479	3659	0.0491
Toronto	Fri	4	21	708	5172	5880	0.1204
Montreal	Fri	3	12	354	3927	4281	0.0826
NS	Fri	4	11	119	2993	3112	0.0382
NB	Fri	3	10	11	2629	2640	0.0041
NFLD	Fri	1	4	44	876	925	0.0475
Total		22	92	1804	22506	24315	0.0741

 

 

Note about T-8-technically its T-7 But some lets just say computer issues and stuff with data and stuff lol. Will be noted on future comps to John Wick about the discrepency

[Dragoncaine]

RIP Lance Reddick 

 

 

[Eric the IF]

Quorum Updates

Inside T-1: 17.81% Awareness, 5.52 Interest

Moving On T-1: 22.48%, 5.39

A Good Person T-15: 18.95%, 5.39

Mafia Mamma T-29: 18.83%, 5.17

The Super Mario Bros. Movie T-20: 55.57%, 6.04

The Pope's Exorcist T-29: 26.03%, 5.21

Renfield T-29: 24.21%, 5.05

Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret T-43: 19.19%, 4.89

The Little Mermaid T-71: 57.22%, 5.9

 

Shazam! Fury of the Gods T-1: 55.49% Awareness, 5.64 Interest

Final Awareness: 92% chance of 20M, 77% chance of 30M, 54% chance of 40M, 38% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 20M, 30% chance of 30M, 22% chance of 40M, 15% chance of 50M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 60M

DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 70M

[Eric the IF]

14 hours ago, Eric Batson said:

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	71	1042	13379	7.79%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 51

 

Comp - T-7

2.511x of The Suicide Squad (10.29M)

1.004x of Venom 2 (11.64M)

0.987x of No Time to Die (6.22M)

1.126x of Dune (5.74M)

2.706x of Uncharted (10.01M)

1.171x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (7.02M)

0.497x of Top Gun 2 (9.57M)

0.466x of Jurassic World: Dominion (8.38M)

3.177x of Bullet Train (14.61M)

0.386x of Avatar 2 (6.55M)

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	71	1144	13379	8.55%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 102

 

Comp - T-6

2.482x of The Suicide Squad (10.17M)

1.024x of Venom 2 (11.88M)

1.004x of No Time to Die (6.33M)

1.130x of Dune (5.76M)

2.832x of Uncharted (10.48M)

1.183x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (7.1M)

0.497x of Top Gun 2 (9.57M)

0.488x of Jurassic World: Dominion (8.78M)

3.117x of Bullet Train (14.34M)

0.397x of Avatar 2 (6.76M)

[Eric the IF]

14 hours ago, Eric Batson said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	159	1185	31960	3.71%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 50

 

Comp - T-20

0.804x of Sing 2 (7.83M)

3.229x of Sonic 2 (20.18M)

22.358x of Minions 2 (240.35M)

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	159	1267	31960	3.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 82

 

Comp - T-19

0.860x of Sing 2 (8.37M)

3.160x of Sonic 2 (19.75M)

18.362x of Minions 2 (197.39M)

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

John Wick 4 MTC1 (T-6) - 48084/450159 867947.18 2262 shows

 

Another increase of pace today. 

John Wick 4 MTC1 (T-5) - 51383/449309 924370.41 2261 shows

 

Sales for past day did not increase from previous day. But its in a good position for final surge from Monday onwards. 

 

[Porthos]

On 3/17/2023 at 2:38 AM, Porthos said:

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	113	13827	15571	1744	11.20%

 

Total Showings Added Today	4
Total Seats Added Today	272
Total Seats Sold Today	161

 

T-7 Comps

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	133.95		130	1302		0/144	21051/22353	5.82%		3737	46.67%		8.30m
TGM	29.35		373	5943		0/271	31366/37309	15.93%		11474	15.20%		5.65m
JWD	44.89		314	3885		0/223	23869/27754	14.00%		4456	39.14%		8.08m
BA	124.84		123	1397		0/152	21562/22959	6.08%		4494	38.81%		9.49m
A2	41.98		232	4154		0/184	21975/26129	15.90%		8986	19.41%		7.14m
Scream 6	172.84		117	1009		0/77	8738/9747	10.35%		3134	55.65%		9.85m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Wick 4's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     404/3784  [10.68% sold]
Matinee:    77/1253  [6.15% | 4.42% of all tickets sold]

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	113	13673	15571	1898	12.19%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

154

 

T-6 Comps

	%		Sold T-6	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	133.01		125	1427		0/145	21026/22453	6.36%		3737	50.79%		8.25m
TGM	29.93		399	6342		0/271	30967/37309	17.00%		11474	16.54%		5.76m
JWD	45.52		285	4170		0/223	23587/27757	15.02%		4456	42.59%		8.19m
BA	124.79		124	1521		0/163	22454/23975	6.34%		4494	42.23%		9.48m
A2	43.23		236	4390		0/184	21739/26129	16.80%		8986	21.12%		7.35m
Scream 6	177.05		63	1072		0/77	8675/9747	11.00%		3134	60.56%		10.09m

FIINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Wick 4's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     437/3784  [11.55% sold]
Matinee:    84/1253  [6.70% | 4.43% of all tickets sold]

[Tinalera]

Dungeons and dragons

Thurs Mar 30 and Fri Mar 31 (T-13)

Toronto and Montreal Canada

 

 

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Toronto	Thurs	4	15	59	4056	4115	0.0143
	Fri	3	19	73	5260	5333	0.0136
Montreal		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
	Thurs	3	8	29	2342	2371	0.0122
	Fri	3	11	123	3034	3157	0.0389

[keysersoze123]

Dungeons and Dragons MTC1

March 22 - 1868/5597 27830.12 50 shows

March 26 - 4078/20616 41733.96 176 shows

March 29 - 1195/36805 22895.54 172 shows 

Previews !!! - 10483/369890 179309.23 1797 shows

 

Beyond these there are shows tomorrow for just Amazon Prime members. But those are just available through Atom if I am not wrong and I cannot track them. 

 

I think this will out open Shazam 2. Let us hope with great reviews buzz continue to build up with early shows reactions. 

 

@katnisscinnaplex can you get show counts across chains for all these early shows. Just to see what its going to gross before its opening thursday. 

[Pinacolada]

29 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Dungeons and Dragons MTC1

March 22 - 1868/5597 27830.12 50 shows

March 26 - 4078/20616 41733.96 176 shows

March 29 - 1195/36805 22895.54 172 shows 

Previews !!! - 10483/369890 179309.23 1797 shows

 

Beyond these there are shows tomorrow for just Amazon Prime members. But those are just available through Atom if I am not wrong and I cannot track them. 

 

I think this will out open Shazam 2. Let us hope with great reviews buzz continue to build up with early shows reactions. 

 

@katnisscinnaplex can you get show counts across chains for all these early shows. Just to see what its going to gross before its opening thursday. 

Yeah just looking off the Atom app, the theaters around me look like they're selling pretty well for the 3/19 Amazon Prime special screenings for Dungeons and Dragons. One of my local theaters added a second showing.

[cookie]

FWIW, John Wick has more than quadrupled Shazam's sales here through the same point, and that's with two fewer screenings. D&D has multiple preview screenings next week, so it's going to be harder to track, but they seem to be selling okay given they're not advertised at all.

[TheFlatLannister]

THURSDAY PREVIEWS 

GREATER ORLANDO AREA

 

JOHN WICK 4

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
72	1665	12330	13.5%

*numbers taken at approx 4:00pm EST

 

SEATS SOLD TODAY

134

 

 

NEW SHOWINGS ADDED

2

 

 

Amazing pace so far