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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

119

14274

16579

2305

13.90%

 

Total Showings Added Today

1

Total Seats Added Today

35

Total Seats Sold Today

241

 

T-4 Comps

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-4

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

NTTD

135.35

 

157

1703

 

0/145

20757/22460

7.58%

 

3737

61.68%

 

8.39m

TGM

32.33

 

476

7130

 

0/271

30179/37309

19.11%

 

11474

20.09%

 

6.23m

JWD

43.75

 

649

5268

 

0/224

22664/27932

18.86%

 

4456

51.73%

 

7.88m

BA

122.22

 

216

1886

 

0/169

22425/24311

7.76%

 

4494

51.29%

 

9.29m

A2

45.25

 

408

5094

 

0/204

22706/27800

18.32%

 

8986

25.65%

 

7.69m

Scream 6

182.65

 

115

1262

 

0/78

8602/9864

12.79%

 

3134

73.55%

 

10.41m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Wick 4's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     517/3784  [13.66% sold]
Matinee:    115/1253  [9.18% | 4.99% of all tickets sold]

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

152

16697

19344

2647

13.68%

 

Total Showings Added Today

33

Total Seats Added Today

2765

Total Seats Sold Today

342

 

T-3 Comps

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-3

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

NTTD

140.72

 

178

1881

 

0/157

21272/23153

8.12%

 

3737

70.83%

 

8.72m

TGM

34.14

 

624

7754

 

1/324

33685/41439

18.71%

 

11474

23.07%

 

6.57m

JWD

43.66

 

795

6063

 

0/281

26773/32836

18.46%

 

4456

59.40%

 

7.86m

BA

121.87

 

286

2172

 

0/223

27742/29914

7.26%

 

4494

58.90%

 

9.26m

A2

47.72

 

453

5547

 

0/277

27377/32924

16.85%

 

8986

29.46%

 

8.11m

Scream 6

174.95

 

251

1513

 

0/102

10725/12238

12.36%

 

3134

84.46%

 

9.97m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Wick 4's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       576/5962  [9.66% sold]
Matinee:    126/1836  [6.86% | 4.76% of all tickets sold]

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2 things on John Wick 3 (I have to run, so I can update other movies later):

 

1, TMobile $5 deal arrives today for JW3.

2, My 2 locals set and gave JW3 15 and 11 showings, so the same as Creed 3 at 1 and a little less than Creed 3 at the other.  So, Creed 3 would probably be my mental "rough weekend guestimate" number since they are both sequels, both with $5 deals, and both with similar sets,

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21 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

I didn't track the Amazon Prime showings so anything I would post would be off.

Not an issue. Its too far off the actual release to just ignore.

 

Only shows within week leading to previews matter. I am not including Prime screening for any of analysis.

 

That's just $700K or so random gross.

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John Wick 4

Thurs Mar 23 Fri Mar 24 (T=3)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Vancouve Thurs 3 15 823 4418 5241 0.1570
  Fri 3 17 890 2641 3531 0.2520
               
    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Calgary Thurs 4 20 240 3445 3685 0.0651
  Fri 4 17 465 3215 3680 0.1263
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Mario Brothers

Thurs April 6, Fri April 7 (T-17)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Vancouve Thurs 3 15 823 4418 5241 0.1570
  Fri 3 17 890 2641 3531 0.2520
               
    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Calgary Thurs 4 20 240 3445 3685 0.0651
  Fri 4 17 465 3215 3680 0.1263


(I am not covering Wed Special preview numbers)

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John Wick: Chapter 4, counted yesterday for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 336 (6 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 316 (6 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18):
73 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9):
37 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11):
103 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16):
547 (11 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal):
637 (10 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in
7 theaters: 2.049.

Comps (all films counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): Creed III (5.45M from previews) had 584 sold tickets (this film must have had very good walk-ups),
BT (4.6M) had 879,
Uncharted
(3.7M) had 868,
Angel Has Fallen
(1.5M) had 199
and Plane
(435k) had 89 sold tickets.

Some comps make it look too good at the moment and of course it's easier to have good jumps with low sales on Monday so the JW4 comp will come down to earth a bit in the next few days. But 8M+ could happen.

JW4, counted yesterday for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 419 (7 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 258 (10 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18):
58 (6 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9):
19 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11):
82 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16):
417 (13 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal):
502 (13 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in
7 theaters: 1.755.

Comps (all films counted on Monday of the release week for Friday): Creed III had 667 sold tickets,
BT had 655,
H&S had 1.234,
F9 had 1.656,
Top Gun 2 had 2.714,
Uncharted had 715,
Angel Has Fallen had 136
and Plane had 83 sold tickets.


As I said yesterday, the chances that JW4 reaches 70M OW are very good IMO.
It has still few showtimes
in comparison to other big openers but that will probably change till tomorrow.
Another good sign is that its sales are pretty even in the different regions. In the last few weeks often half of the total number of presales came only from one theaters, the AMC in LA. But in this case every region seems to like it.

Edited by el sid
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On 3/19/2023 at 12:55 AM, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

how well do regal mystery screenings do?

people seemed excited at first, but I cant imagine many not bailing after the 5th consecutive mediocrity

The gimmick seems to be a hit since people love surprises, and Missing was received very well as it was the third Mystery Movie.

 

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4 hours ago, Tinalera said:

John Wick 4

Thurs Mar 23 Fri Mar 24 (T=3)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Vancouve Thurs 3 15 823 4418 5241 0.1570
  Fri 3 17 890 2641 3531 0.2520
               
    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Calgary Thurs 4 20 240 3445 3685 0.0651
  Fri 4 17 465 3215 3680 0.1263

 

4 hours ago, Tinalera said:

Mario Brothers

Thurs April 6, Fri April 7 (T-17)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Vancouve Thurs 3 15 823 4418 5241 0.1570
  Fri 3 17 890 2641 3531 0.2520
               
    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Calgary Thurs 4 20 240 3445 3685 0.0651
  Fri 4 17 465 3215 3680 0.1263


(I am not covering Wed Special preview numbers)

@Tinalera can you check. Both the numbers seem to be the same. It would really weird both movies have the same number of shows and same number of ticket sales :-)

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On 3/19/2023 at 4:31 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Mario MTC1 April 5(OD) - 49902/811528 847649.72 4042 shows. 

 

Definitely looking at a big opening day and sales over the weekend are great as well. 

Mario MTC1 OD - 53910/818774 910231.32 4089 shows

 

Not bad at all considering its more than 2 weeks away. 

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On 3/20/2023 at 5:37 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

THURSDAY PREVIEWS 

GREATER ORLANDO AREA

 

JOHN WICK 4

 

T-3

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

78

1952

12982

15.0%

*numbers taken at approx 5:00pm EST

 

SEATS

SOLD TODAY

                185

 

 

NEW SHOWINGS ADDED

                  5

 

The pace is amazing. $70M+ here we come

 

 

THURSDAY PREVIEWS 

GREATER ORLANDO AREA

 

JOHN WICK 4

 

T-2

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

95

2436

14836

16.4%

*numbers taken at approx 7:00pm EST

 

SEATS

SOLD TODAY

                484

 

 

NEW SHOWINGS ADDED

                  17

 

Lots of new showings added today, with amazing sales growth. Strong critics reactions definitely catalyzed sales. 

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4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

@Tinalera can you check. Both the numbers seem to be the same. It would really weird both movies have the same number of shows and same number of ticket sales 🙂

 I may very well have copy pasted the wrong one...let me check

 

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Yes Sorry I accidently did John wick for Mario LOL These are mario numbers. 

 

    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Vancouve Thurs 3 17 80 4353 4433 0.0180
  Fri 3 19 247 4394 4641 0.0532
               
    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Calgary Thurs 3 13 46 3021 3067 0.0149
  Fri 3 16 220 3352 3572 0.0615
Edited by Tinalera
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John Wick Marcus (from last night, so no impact from Atom deal yet)

 

Thursday

Showtimes: 473

Seats Sold: 5840/71157

 

Comps:

0.95x Black Adam (7.22 million)

 

Friday

Showtimes: 685

Seats Sold: 6718/107734

 

1.55x Creed 3 (25.4 million) 

(adjusting for blocked seats, the "true" comp is likely closer to 30 million, which will certainly drop throughout the final week)

 

Edited by Menor Reborn
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50 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

Yes Sorry I accidently did John wick for Mario LOL These are mario numbers. 

 

    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Vancouve Thurs 3 17 80 4353 4433 0.0180
  Fri 3 19 247 4394 4641 0.0532
               
    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Calgary Thurs 3 13 46 3021 3067 0.0149
  Fri 3 16 220 3352 3572 0.0615

Seems like these are great results.

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16 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

@Menor Reborn 

 

Atom deal? That could explain why my John Wick numbers jumped by over 40% today 

 

I think the same Atom deal pushed Creed from 45- 50 into the high 50s range (maybe it was heading that way anyway?) and this deal could be pushing JW into the high 70s range now perhaps instead of 70. 

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