The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Joyous Legion]

2 hours ago, ZackM said:

What are we using for The Flash comps?

Batman (dc but too big)

Balck Adam (dc but too small)

Gotg (but Flash will finish stronger)

SV2 (but Flash will finish weaker)

[MrPink]

1 minute ago, Legions of the Galaxy said:

Batman (dc but too big)

Balck Adam (dc but too small)

Gotg (but Flash will finish stronger)

SV2 (but Flash will finish weaker)

 

Throw it in a blender and surely it'll be a perfect fit.

Edited June 2, 2023 by MrPink

[IdahoJacket]

56 minutes ago, screambaby said:

How in the heck is  antman still out there?

 

 

 

Probably Antman/Guardians 3 double features at drive-ins.

[Porthos]

17 minutes ago, across the Jat verse said:

Depending on where some numbers land, 17.5-18. 

 

10 minutes ago, Legions of the Galaxy said:

Dread it…, run from it…

 

It's all my fault, everyone.  Sorry 'bout that.

[Joyous Legion]

3 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Throw it in a blender and surely it'll be a perfect fit.

This but unironically 

 

Spoiler

Chef’s tip — the best blender is a log-log regression

 

[Joyous Legion]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

 

It's all my fault, everyone.  Sorry 'bout that.

Don’t worry Porthos, you are absolved this time. Even Sacramento Dark Arts are no match for marvel 17.5 destiny

 

Spoiler

Too bad about secret wars though

 

[Cheddar Please]

do we know if ATSV's previews are due to insufficient screenings or just lower demand?

[MrPink]

Just now, Legions of the Galaxy said:

This but unironically 

 

  Hide contents

Chef’s tip — the best blender is a log-log regression

 

 

That R-squared is gonna be fresshhhhhhh

[charlie Jatinder]

will be sin to not post this.

[ZackM]

1 hour ago, ZackM said:

Ok, another lazy update...314k.  All shows being captured now.

Now at 324k with a solid ATP.  Should finish around 327k.  I don't see why 19m should be off the table.

[screambaby]

I feel like this weekend is gonna be like the ol 79 year old roller coaster at whalom park....

[raegr]

18 minutes ago, Legions of the Galaxy said:

Batman (dc but too big)

Balck Adam (dc but too small)

Gotg (but Flash will finish stronger)

SV2 (but Flash will finish weaker)

Will it really beat GOTG?

[raegr]

Oppenheimer IMAX is selling really well in Toronto 

[Joyous Legion]

15 minutes ago, raegr said:

Will it really beat GOTG?

To be clear finish stronger in terms of %, not raw.  

[DAJK]

If this comes at 17.5-18 I don’t think any of us should be disappointed. That’s still a fantastic number, the movie is going to be 2/3’s of its predecessor’s DOM total by the end of its OW which is incredible.

 

Are my comps (Pacific NW/British Columbia) pointing to 20M+? Sure, but movies can overperform or underperform regionally. The beauty of the tracking thread is that each individual tracker’s data should be taken as simply one data point that paints a larger picture. 

[XXR & Friends]

18 minutes ago, raegr said:

Will it really beat GOTG?

 

Its previews total will not beat GOTG3.

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

Yeah regardless of where it lands on current projections we got nothing to be disappointed about. I may have jumped the gun with my earlier post but an opening in the range of Guardians is still great to see.

[Liiviig 1998]

So previews will come close to GOTG and QM .

 

Still great number .

 

What's the baseline expectation for Friday .

 

[Cappoedameron]

This thing is looking to have an insane increase in it's OW compared to the first one, that's something to be immensely proud of and probably a thank you to Netflix because it did monster numbers in the streaming market.

[raegr]

47 minutes ago, Legions of the Galaxy said:

To be clear finish stronger in terms of %, not raw.  

oh ok