BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[IndustriousAngel]

what did MI4 open to?

Even less but with the publicity from MI4 and now the heavy promotion, I hoped that MI5 might get to 500k. MI4 was a chrismas release, so very strong weekdays and good holds.

[IndustriousAngel]

Final weekend estimates are online:

 

#1: MI5 - 300k admissions

#2: Minions - 175k (-50%)

#3: Pixels - 105k (-55%)

#4: MMXXL - 70k (-50%)

#5: Ant-Man - 45k (-50%)

 

as witnessed by the horrible drops, it's an overall very slow weekend, the opening of MI5 doesn't look too shabby in that context. Problem is, the weather is supposed to stay very sunny, so I don't expect much rebound next weekend. With those numbers, I don't think it can reach MI4's total.

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	Mission: Impossible 5	287.869	612	470	321.822	-	1
2	Minions	194.927	796	245	5.520.743	-47	6
3	Pixels	122.557	640	191	479.417	-50	2
4	Magic Mike XXL	78.410	491	160	739.465	-47	3
5	Ant-Man	51.477	445	116	421.744	-41	3
6	Paper Towns	40.323	379	106	171.259	-50	2
7	Jurassic World	33.341	364	92	3.983.997	-42	9
8	Unfriended	32.896	365	90	622.581	-57	4
9	Honig im Kopf	27.870	105	265	7.059.582	+22	33
10	Kartoffelsalat	23.447	466	50	293.544	-50	3
11	Ooops! Die Arche ist weg...	19.076	385	50	78.832	-38	2
12	Terinator Genisys	17.795	328	54	767.879	-59	5
13	Learning to Drive	15.814	95	166	22.851	-	1
14	Ted 2	13.838	243	57	1.164.443	-45	7
15	Victoria	12.058	97	124	264.018	+6	9
16	Taxi Teheran	11.252	125	90	97.364	-45	3
17	La famille Bélier	9.520	21	453	406.936	+169	23
18	While We're Young	9.039	82	110	43.028	-48	2
19	Quést-ce que on a fait au Bon Dieu	8.148	19	429	3.874.643	-59	55
20	About a Girl	6.899	91	76	21.947	-	1

 

The only wide opener, MI5, did about what could be expected - I hoped it could get to 500k but with weather at the summeriest it just was not possible.

Among holdovers, JW and Ant-Man had comparatively good drops, but the story this weekend was once more "Honig im Kopf" which managed a further increase and is back in the Top10! It's now nr.40 on Germany's all-time list (by admissions); not only did it win 2014 but it might end up with a bigger total than any 2015 release, too - and 2015 was looking MUCH stronger than 2014! Incredible …

 

Next weekend: The weather stays sunny and there are three (3) wide releases released on an unwilling clientele: Fantastic Four (maybe Ant-Man numbers, the horrible reviews swapped over from the US, so everything over 100k is already a small victory), "Trainwreck" (I hope for a positive surprise here, the evening is less hampered by weather - 200k admissions would be nice) and "The Man from UNCLE" (hard to predict; it's different in tone from MI5 but basically the same target demo - 200k seem possible but I'd bet on a lot less - again, 100 - 150k would be ok under the circumstances).

[MinaTakla]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total

drop

week

1

Mission: Impossible 5

287.869

612

470

321.822

-

1

2

Minions

194.927

796

245

5.520.743

-47

6

21.947

 

Thanks Industrious. Am thinking 6m viewers could be the ceiling for Minions at the moment in Germany - perhaps falling a bit below 53m euro total?

Edited August 11, 2015 by MinaTakla

[lab276]

66.8m tickets for the first half of 2015, 10m more than last year so far.

[IndustriousAngel]

Thanks Industrious. Am thinking 6m viewers could be the ceiling for Minions at the moment in Germany - perhaps falling a bit below 53m euro total?

No I don't think 6mil is the ceiling; they're well liked among the target demo and there's no competition anywhere. In 2 weeks "Der kleine Rabe Socke 2" will open but that will hardly make a dent into the Minions' run (the first one had less then 500k admissions total), and afterwards it's Minions-Only time until the middle of October (Hotel Transsylvania 2). I see at least 6,5mil but possibly 7mil total.

[miketheavenger]

No I don't think 6mil is the ceiling; they're well liked among the target demo and there's no competition anywhere. In 2 weeks "Der kleine Rabe Socke 2" will open but that will hardly make a dent into the Minions' run (the first one had less then 500k admissions total), and afterwards it's Minions-Only time until the middle of October (Hotel Transsylvania 2). I see at least 6,5mil but possibly 7mil total.

That's not quite true. Inside Out Comes out October 1st if I'm not mistaken. But it really doesn't make much of a difference.

[IndustriousAngel]

That's not quite true. Inside Out Comes out October 1st if I'm not mistaken. But it really doesn't make much of a difference.

you're right, I overlooked that.but by then Minions will be in week 14, shouldn't hurt too much (apart from the fact that I really don't know how much the target demo overlaps)

 

how much do you guess IO can make in Germany? I'm thinking along 1,3 to 1,7 mil admissions total ... reviews were very good but it's been out for a while now.

 

btw, UNCLE seem in for a quick death ... absolutely underwhelming numbers, won't make much dent in MI5

Edited August 12, 2015 by IndustriousAngel

[miketheavenger]

you're right, I overlooked that.but by then Minions will be in week 14, shouldn't hurt too much (apart from the fact that I really don't know how much the target demo overlaps)

 

how much do you guess IO can make in Germany? I'm thinking along 1,3 to 1,7 mil admissions total ... reviews were very good but it's been out for a while now.

 

btw, UNCLE seem in for a quick death ... absolutely underwhelming numbers, won't make much dent in MI5

I don't know. Pixar hasn't fared too well here with their last few movies, so anything above 1,5mil should probably be considered a success, though I obviously hope for more.

[terrestrial]

Insidekino has some interesting (to me) 1st halfyear comparison details

 

 

Official FFA-numbers

 

1st 1/2 year 66,8 Mio. German went to the cinema, 18,9 % or. 10,6 Mio.more than lat year (56,2 Mio. admissions).

The sum increased 21,1 % from €449,9 Mio. to €545,0 Mio..

The average ticket price increased 1,9 % from €8,01 to €8,16.

German produced movie's percentage sank 31,6 % = last year (17,6 Mio.) to this year 26,8 % (17,7 Mio.) with slightly increasing admissions.

3D decreased from 21,6 % (12,0 Mio.) down to 15,7 % (10,4 Mio.)

 

More details to find at FFA...

 

= confirmed FFA the InsideKino-calculations of last month,the 1st 1/2 year of 2015 is the best admissions year since 11 ears (last year the worst since an even longer time)

 

	2015	2014	2013	2012	2011	2010	2009	2008	2007	2006	2005	2004	2003	2002	2001	2000	1999	1998	1997	1996	1995	1994	1993	1992
admissins	66,8	56,2	62,7	62,3	61,5	60,2	64,9	61,0	60,0	65,0	60,3	72,3	71,3	80,4	79,7	74,3	66,7	73,6	66,3	60,4	57,6	61,4	57,7	49,2
sum	545,0	449,9	496,3	462,7	452,3	441,9	421,4	372,4	364,2	383,9	352,6	419,6	414,0	474,0	442,1	4050	361,1	410,2	347,6	304,3	279,2	291,4	264,4	201,2
av.Ticket	8,16	8,01	7,92	7,42	7,36	7,34	6,49	6,10	6,07	5,90	5,84	5,80	5,81	5,89	5,55	5,45	5,41	5,57	5,24	5,04	4,84	4,74	4,58	4,38
locations	890	894	904	913	941	957	985	1.015	1.024	1.027	1.008	1.038	1.058	1.047	1.041	1.071	1.073	1.070	1.084	1.096	1.109
screens	4.638	4.605	4.607	4.596	4.647	4.673	4.749	4.824	4.832	4.828	4.875	4.847	4.868	4.825	4.738	4.734	4.458	4.267	4.097	3.900	3.842
%	26,8	31,6	26,8	20,9	20,4	20,3	25,4	33,9	19,6	20,0	19,0	13,2	17,1	13,1	13,0	15,3	15,1	8,8	23,4	19,5	11,7
% 3D	15,7	21,6	22,6	17,0	19,8	21,7

 

[IndustriousAngel]

die 3D die!

 

it's nice to see how domestic productions slowly find their audiences - pre2005 the market share was usually <15%, nowadays 25% seem normal and even 30% don't seem that extraordinary anymore. Still far away from the french market but it's definitely getting better!

[juni78ukr]

Top10 in USD. Honig im Kopf returned to top10. 

 

http://www.kinobusiness.com/news/germaniya-kassovye-sbory-za-uik-end-6-9-avgusta-2015/

[IndustriousAngel]

First (and very wobbly) estimates for Germany's weekend from insidekino.de:

 

#1: MI5 - 225k admissions (-20%)

#2: Minions - 200k (+5%)

#3/4: Trainwreck / Pixels with 100k each

 

That's pretty poor for the openers - neither FF nor UNCLE reaching 100k, and I was hoping for double the numbers from Trainwreck. otoh, very nice for the Minions; 7mil total now looking very good!

[BenedictL11]

First (and very wobbly) estimates for Germany's weekend from insidekino.de:

 

#1: MI5 - 225k admissions (-20%)

#2: Minions - 200k (+5%)

#3/4: Trainwreck / Pixels with 100k each

 

That's pretty poor for the openers - neither FF nor UNCLE reaching 100k, and I was hoping for double the numbers from Trainwreck. otoh, very nice for the Minions; 7mil total now looking very good!

FF4 = Bye Felicia!

[The Dark Alfred]

That is an incredible hold for MI5 considering the new openers targeting its demo regardless their poor quality. WoM must be strong. What's coming out next week? Will it stay ahead of Minions to threepeat?

Edited August 16, 2015 by Alfredstellar

[IndustriousAngel]

That is an incredible hold for MI5 considering the new openers targeting its demo regardless their poor quality. WoM must be strong. What's coming out next week? Will it stay ahead of Minions to threepeat?

Well, weather is probably the stronger factor than WOM (look at Minions) but yes, it might 3peat because there's nothing opening for the action crowd (nothing big at all, actually)

[Giesi]

I kinda hope IO bombs here in Germany, so Disney abandons the plan to release all summer Pixar movies in fall. What's up with these spaced out release dates? It's really bothering me.

[keysersoze123]

I kinda hope IO bombs here in Germany, so Disney abandons the plan to release all summer Pixar movies in fall. What's up with these spaced out release dates? It's really bothering me.

 

I think that's because good weather screws up BO in summer and in the fall there is great consistency overall. I dont think there is anything wrong in disney strategy. Not just for germany but also for Italy where summer seem to be horrible time to release.

[Olive]

Minions making 7M admissions in Germany is worse than TF4 making $320M in China.

[IndustriousAngel]

final weekend estimate is online; not much different:

 

#1: MI5 - 225k admissions (-20%)

#2: Minions - 200k (+5%)

#3: Trainwreck - 125k (better than first estimates)

#4: Pixels  - 90k (-25%)

#5: UNCLE - 70k

#6: F4 - 65k (trainwreck ...)

#7: MM XXL - 55k (-30%)