BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[IndustriousAngel]

The way it's holding up, 8mil admissions total is the lower limit I'd say. 9mil possible and 10mil at least not impossible! Even if holidays will end, there's simply no to very little competition on the horizon, it will keep the bigger and biggest screens all through January and on. Mid-Feb there will be Antman3 but Antman was not very big here.

[Taruseth]

4 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

The way it's holding up, 8mil admissions total is the lower limit I'd say. 9mil possible and 10mil at least not impossible! Even if holidays will end, there's simply no to very little competition on the horizon, it will keep the bigger and biggest screens all through January and on. Mid-Feb there will be Antman3 but Antman was not very big here.

I like your optimism I am not there yet though - thinking 8m should happen and its heading for 8.5m; though to be honest today doesn't look as bad as new years eve should (or normally does) - so I hope you are right - 9.17m would make it the biggest movie since the first Avatar (with ATP 13€ that would be €119m - so right where the first ended up (with the 2010 and 2022 rereleases)).

[Aristis]

Frohes neues Jahr to all

 

Hopefully it'll be a better Box Office year than the last ones. 

[Issac Newton]

@IndustriousAngel @Aristis @Taruseth

[IndustriousAngel]

happy new year everyone and to a better BO and many fine runs!

[Aristis]

2nd Trend

 

#1 Avatar 2 1,05M (+43%) 4,7M 

#2 PiB2 210k (+74%/+40%) 570k

#3 Hotzenplotz 90k (+105%) 475k

#4 Oskars Kleid 75k (+88%) 195k

#5 Dance with somebody 45k (+96%/+15%) 127,5k

 

This would be enough for the 9th best 3rd WE and it should pass 6M next WE, if it follows RO - and it held better until now. 

Edited January 1, 2023 by Aristis

[Taruseth]

Happy New Year everyone 

 

 

1050k - wow - I am starting to hope for 1m next weekend (sounds crazy - I know, but considering how much better it's holding than RO).

If Avatar 2 manages 742k over the weekdays it would get the best 3rd week ever.

If it manages 640k over the weekdays it would get the second-best 3rd week ever (only behind the first Harry Potter).

 

I know that 1m 4th weekend would be the 2nd best 4th weekend ever - only behind Titanic, but one can hope.

[titanic2187]

Too bad they aren't replacing NY holiday with Monday here. 1m+ 4th weekend isn't entirely impossible since Friday is a public holiday for some states and NYE (Saturday) was a suppressed day.

 

 

[Brainbug]

Gotta say, Avatar 2 has already been the best post-Covid run of the german box office. Feels like its numbers come from a movie of the early 2010s/2000s, not from a present film.

 

Exciting stuff! Means that our box office not totally dead and buried yet.

[IndustriousAngel]

1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

Exciting stuff! Means that our box office not totally dead and buried yet.

Really exciting, yes - but otoh, there's such an overall lack of appealing releases over the holidays, that's hard to swallow. right now, it's Avatar or nothing it seems, and that's a bit sad - since summer, we've seen a lot of especially domestic releases doing surprisingly good business, and that's obviously over with Avatar grabbing nearly the whole evening and many afternoons, too.

[Aristis]

22 hours ago, Aristis said:

3rd Trend

 

#1 Avatar 2 1,05M (+43%) 4,7M 

#2 PiB2 210k (+74%/+40%) 570k

#3 Hotzenplotz 90k (+105%) 475k

#4 Oskars Kleid 75k (+88%) 195k

#5 Dance with somebody 45k (+96%/+15%) 127,5k

Monday numbers 

 

Avatar 2 1,07M (+45%) 4,715M

 

The rest mostly stable. 

[charlie Jatinder]

9m+ seems like a lock. Time to start thinking of 10M perhaps.

[LPLC]

So the top 3 all time (in lc) in Germany will be James Cameron at #1, then James Cameron at #2 and finally James Cameron at #3 ? This is interesting and funny  

[Taruseth]

3 hours ago, LPLC said:

So the top 3 all time (in lc) in Germany will be James Cameron at #1, then James Cameron at #2 and finally James Cameron at #3 ? This is interesting and funny  

Yeah - needs 103m for #3 that's 8m (or less) and it's very likely it gets there (like 90%).

I think even in admissions there is a solid shot at most adm. since Avatar in 2009 - it needs 9.2m for that - before this weekend I was pretty certain it will fall short - now I'd say it's the area where it's headed.

 

 

And maybe it even gets to @Bruce idea of becoming #1 - that would need an insane 9.8m admissions and is made even harder by Titanic getting a rerelease.

 

 

Edited January 2, 2023 by Taruseth

[Poseidon]

13 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

9m+ seems like a lock. Time to start thinking of 10M perhaps.

 

No, I don't think it's a lock. Of course there's no competition at all, but we've seen many healthy runs over christmas with the Hobbit movies f.e., that dropped off quite a bit after holidays were over. The first Hobbit was at about 80% of its run when holidays were over. 

Lets say Avatar makes another 1,4m-1,5m admissions by sunday, that puts us in the range of 6,2m. With a Hobbit run from there it'd end at around 7,75m admissions.

 

I think it will do better, but 9m is quite a stretch from there. The next weekend will hint at where the journey is going. 

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, Poseidon said:

 

No, I don't think it's a lock. Of course there's no competition at all, but we've seen many healthy runs over christmas with the Hobbit movies f.e., that dropped off quite a bit after holidays were over. The first Hobbit was at about 80% of its run when holidays were over. 

Lets say Avatar makes another 1,4m-1,5m admissions by sunday, that puts us in the range of 6,2m. With a Hobbit run from there it'd end at around 7,75m admissions.

 

I think it will do better, but 9m is quite a stretch from there. The next weekend will hint at where the journey is going. 

9M looked like a lock if it had followed Rogue One for next 3 days but yeah MON isn't looking as big as it would have, so 9M is no longer lock

[Poseidon]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

9M looked like a lock if it had followed Rogue One for next 3 days but yeah MON isn't looking as big as it would have, so 9M is no longer lock

 

Yeah well, that's no surprise though, it was pretty much the same story during weekdays last week, but that might have been due to a limit in capacity for Avatar. 

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, Poseidon said:

 

Yeah well, that's no surprise though, it was pretty much the same story during weekdays last week, but that might have been due to a limit in capacity for Avatar. 

Last weekdays yeah was probably capacity thing on TUE & WED but atleast MON growth was better than Rogue One.

[Danhjpn]

5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Last weekdays yeah was probably capacity thing on TUE & WED but atleast MON growth was better than Rogue One.

8m is still pretty likely?

[upriser7]

wait do we have already have Monday numbers ?