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Dailies(Week July 18-21)

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57 minutes ago, vale9001 said:

130 final?. Could reach that in the next 2 weekends

 

It'll be at 112 going into the weekend, which should bring ~5.5m give or take a few hundred thousand. If it drops 20% next weekend with no competition, might reach 127 by Aug 1. Still a long way from there to 150. 

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On the day TGM cracked the all-time top 10, it posted another fantastic Tuesday hold. I honestly can't see how it misses 700m, it's constantly in Avatar territory with dailies and more than a month of summer plus LD still to come.

 

Biggest domestic 8th Tuesday:

 

1 Jan 1, 2013 Lincoln $2,463,323 1,966    $1,253     $136,652,420
2 Feb 9, 2010 Avatar     $2,025,264      3,000 $675 $633,621,035
3 Jul 19, 2022 Top Gun: Maverick $2,002,436 3,292 $608 $622,089,456
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Im really not sure what families are suppossed to watch this summer and with labor day being so far away, maverick should expand next weekend, or on august 12 at the very worst

 

even beast for some stupid reason is rated R

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5 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

Im really not sure what families are suppossed to watch this summer and with labor day being so far away, maverick should expand next weekend, or on august 12 at the very worst

 

even beast for some stupid reason is rated R

 

Families aren't really showing up, so it's not a big issue.

 

I mean, there was:

Lightyear - catastrophic fail

Minions - big success, but thanks to 13-25, not really hugely family driven

Paws of Fury - fail

Super-Pets - TBD - I think it's success is gonna ride on how much they can get 13+ to show up...although it will still be above Paws

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3 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

Some observation here, there are some strange box office trend. I thought a movie will show its leggy run potential through the weekend internal multiplier? But the recent leggy run lately like TGM, Elvis, or BP, Dog, show not much sign  of unusual strong IM to signal its subsequent leg. Same goes to Crawdads, the OW's IM was a very standard 7.5x, and a $17.3m is on the low end of the tracking but now the movie seem gaining ground for a long run. (Assuming no collapse on Wed)  

IMO, we’re still “missing” a fair amount of the GA, particularly what used to be the more casual Saturday crowd. So even when a film has good WOM, there isn’t much of a Sat increase that really helps IMs, but instead a stronger Sun hold (smaller drop). Meanwhile, the more regular movie-going crowd is showing up earlier, on Thur & Fri, which again limits higher IMs

 

 

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8 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

Im really not sure what families are suppossed to watch this summer and with labor day being so far away, maverick should expand next weekend, or on august 12 at the very worst

 

even beast for some stupid reason is rated R

 

Minions. Top Gun. Top Gun. Minions. Repeat. Repeat.

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1 minute ago, The Dark Alfred said:

 

Minions. Top Gun. Top Gun. Minions. Repeat. Repeat.

This is screaming for a crossover event

 

Top Gun: Minions 

Travel Flying GIF

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1 minute ago, The Dark Alfred said:

 

Minions. Top Gun. Top Gun. Minions. Repeat. Repeat.

yeah

but top gun is down to 3.2 k theaters and has lost lots of showtimes, and since theres pretty much nothing else for families, it should expand now

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40 minutes ago, The Dark Alfred said:

On the day TGM cracked the all-time top 10, it posted another fantastic Tuesday hold. I honestly can't see how it misses 700m, it's constantly in Avatar territory with dailies and more than a month of summer plus LD still to come.

 

Biggest domestic 8th Tuesday:

 

1 Jan 1, 2013 Lincoln $2,463,323 1,966    $1,253     $136,652,420
2 Feb 9, 2010 Avatar     $2,025,264      3,000 $675 $633,621,035
3 Jul 19, 2022 Top Gun: Maverick $2,002,436 3,292 $608 $622,089,456

It only gained 8% while most other movies went up 20+%.

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4 minutes ago, M37 said:

IMO, we’re still “missing” a fair amount of the GA, particularly what used to be the more casual Saturday crowd. So even when a film has good WOM, there isn’t much of a Sat increase that really helps IMs, but instead a stronger Sun hold (smaller drop). Meanwhile, the more regular movie-going crowd is showing up earlier, on Thur & Fri, which again limits higher IMs

 

 

 

I think we're missing families, but the more mature viewers have now joined the 13-45s in being back in full force.  So, it's really only one big demo, the Saturday/Sunday afternoon demo of families, that's not here.

 

And part of the reason they aren't there is probably no longer Covid, but the lack of affordability for the demo that needs to buy 3-6 tickets/movie in a time of high inflation.  They are the only ones that don't benefit from a subscription plan or discount plan of any type...so, they feel prices more than any other demo...

 

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5 minutes ago, Bishop54 said:

It only gained 8% while most other movies went up 20+%.

It has only had four other Tuesdays that did not follow a holiday on the Monday before it. TGM increased 11%, 14%, 2% and 21% on those Tuesdays. So yesterday’s increase was a few points below the average of those four but not too far from it.

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