Legion Again Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, Eric the Tethered said: What else was going to replace Thor? Nope? I agree small loss makes sense, but I was expecting more than 5 considering plf and single screen locs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said: Nope? I agree small loss makes sense, but I was expecting more than 5 considering plf and single screen locs. Thor and Minions are basically THE headlining July movies, so both will be sticking around for a long time in terms of theater counts. NOPE is way more niche being a R rated horror. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doffy Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 30 minutes ago, Eric the Tethered said: What else was going to replace Thor? Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doffy Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 17 minutes ago, Mojoguy said: Thor and Minions are basically THE headlining July movies, so both will be sticking around for a long time in terms of theater counts. NOPE is way more niche being a R rated horror. Thor should lose more shows than others minions just lost 200. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 Thor seem stabilising faster than MoM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liiviig 1998 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 19 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: Thor seem stabilising faster than MoM. Thur will be around 4.2m Using antman 2 third weekend comp 4.2 6.3/+50% 9.3/+47% 7.6/-18% 23.4m weekend just under 50% drop. DS2 had a third weekend drop of 47.7% drop. Strange still performing a little better. Basing on my projections weekend would be around 277m and playing like strange onwards would get it to around 330m but DS2 dropped 50% in fourth weekend due to TGM. Thinking 335m+ for thor if weekend prediction holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
krla Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 2 hours ago, Doffy said: Wtf Thor only lost 5 screens? 5 theaters. It's probably down many more screens and showings than that. It'll make roughly over $5,000 per theater this weekend. If you're running a theater, the only movie that will earn more is Nope. Most theaters have multiple screens, no reason to not show both. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 This Thursday 2022 outgrosses 2021 full DOM gross. 4.5 billion in the first 6 months and a half. This year it should finish over 8 billion. A shame August, September & October feel so weak besides a couple movies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torontofan Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 Thor likely will kick around till end of August Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 8 hours ago, Liiviig 1998 said: Thur will be around 4.2m Using antman 2 third weekend comp 4.2 6.3/+50% 9.3/+47% 7.6/-18% 23.4m weekend just under 50% drop. DS2 had a third weekend drop of 47.7% drop. Strange still performing a little better. Basing on my projections weekend would be around 277m and playing like strange onwards would get it to around 330m but DS2 dropped 50% in fourth weekend due to TGM. Thinking 335m+ for thor if weekend prediction holds. The loss of both PLF screens with their high ATP and premium pricing in some MTCs is going to knock down the grossing potential more than a before times release like Ant-Man. Expect a bigger Thursday drop ($3.7-$3.85), and Sat has been weaker, unlikely to get that +47% Sat, more like +35%. Thor should drop in -55% range, low $20s weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrPink Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 (edited) 11 hours ago, Legion and Thunder said: Nope? I agree small loss makes sense, but I was expecting more than 5 considering plf and single screen locs. I would guess many places that are single screen locations, are in the areas that are not going to go for Nope. Edited July 22, 2022 by MrPink 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, MrPink said: I would guess many places that are single screen locations, are in the areas that are not going to go for Nope. Good point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 10 minutes ago, MrPink said: I would guess many places that are single screen locations, are in the areas that are not going to go for Nope. Along those lines, a Rated R feature is not really drive-in friendly, where is usually where these big summer openings lose some locations in week 3. Although, not as bad some of the 50 Shades DI issues 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liiviig 1998 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 (edited) 38 minutes ago, M37 said: The loss of both PLF screens with their high ATP and premium pricing in some MTCs is going to knock down the grossing potential more than a before times release like Ant-Man. Expect a bigger Thursday drop ($3.7-$3.85), and Sat has been weaker, unlikely to get that +47% Sat, more like +35%. Thor should drop in -55% range, low $20s weekend What's do you think the Fri jump will be?. Because it can easily miss 20m with Antman 2/BW third weekend Fri jumps. 55% drop would be the same as BW third weekend. If Thurs numbers come in that range Weekend at end 274-275m and playing like BW onwards gets it to 325-326m. Edited July 22, 2022 by Liiviig 1998 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric the Ape Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 Plus like krla said, my main thing is that theaters don't really have anything to replace Thor with this weekend. At most midsize 12-screeners, Nope will only take up 1-2 screens, and those movies are likely the only movies to get above 20M for the weekend. Like what else was going to replace Thor? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 9 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said: What's do you think the Fri jump will be?. Because it can easily miss 20m with Antman 2/BW third weekend Fri jumps. 55% drop would be the same as BW third weekend. Not too much lower than last Fri, so +60%? The majority of the PLF loss effect will be baked into the Thursday drop, since Nope took over all but the first show yesterday. Overall like 5.4-5.5x wherever the Thursday number winds up landing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 So does anybody have any educated guesses as to what they think Nope preview number might be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, baumer said: So does anybody have any educated guesses as to what they think Nope preview number might be? 6-7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doffy Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, baumer said: So does anybody have any educated guesses as to what they think Nope preview number might be? Maybe 7m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, baumer said: So does anybody have any educated guesses as to what they think Nope preview number might be? $6.5M-ish per tracking thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
