Eric Prime Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 Single digits #1 it is then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flopped Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 It's hard to gauge if these preview numbers are good or bad. They start so early now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 That’s not a great number for Invitation, but on this same weekend last year R-rated known IP Candyman had a $1.9/$22M = 11.5x. And this year a higher share of locations are running reduced weekday hours, which limits potential for Thursday, especially for a PG-13 horror film missing those late shows tl;dr - wouldn’t count out keeping that $10M+ at #1 streak running for a least one more week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 For a film that was only announced with a release date 8 weeks ago and has a $10m production budget, I’m taking this as a win. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 6 minutes ago, Krissykins said: For a film that was only announced with a release date 8 weeks ago and has a $10m production budget, I’m taking this as a win. In fairness, it was always set for this date. It just underwent a title change (it was originally called The Bride) right before marketing began. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Prime Posted August 26, 2022 Author Share Posted August 26, 2022 Early RT Aud. Scores: The Invitation: 55% Three Thousand Years: 92% Breaking: 80% Note all have fewer than 50 Verified ratings, so they can all change like a dime later on. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 Looks like UA/3K Years may not report a Thursday number. Given tracking was pointing towards it being in $300K range, I’m not entirely surprised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Prime Posted August 26, 2022 Author Share Posted August 26, 2022 1 minute ago, M37 said: Looks like UA/3K Years may not report a Thursday number. Given tracking was pointing towards it being in $300K range, I’m not entirely surprised I tracked this stupid movie for nothing...🙄 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, M37 said: Looks like UA/3K Years may not report a Thursday number. Given tracking was pointing towards it being in $300K range, I’m not entirely surprised The 7:00 show at one of the busiest locations near me has sold only 20 seats so far so I wouldn't be surprised by sub-$3M for the weekend. I'd say poor Miller, but he's busy with Furiosa right now anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJG Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, Eric the Genie said: Early RT Aud. Scores: The Invitation: 55% Three Thousand Years: 92% Breaking: 80% Note all have fewer than 50 Verified ratings, so they can all change like a dime later on. 3000 Years getting that high a VA score seems like some kind of miracle. It might do numbers once it hits Prime Video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 19 minutes ago, Eric the Genie said: I tracked this stupid movie for nothing...🙄 In all sincerity, tracking these lower level releases, even if they don’t officially report Thursday and we have to rely on a ballpark range, still provides value, in terms of IMs/daily patterns and future comps. While they should be multiples higher, it’s a decent baseline/starting point for Woman King and Darling 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ipickthiswhiterose Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 Saw the Invitation at a preview last night here in the UK. It is VERY similar to Ready or Not in many ways, albeit slightly more straight-faced. Ticks every gothic box in the ledger and while not necessarily the most original narrative in the world (though film-wise is far more female gazey than most films like this...there's lots like it in literature though) it a lot of basic, clean fun. Very good date film. Might have a chance of word-of-mouthing its way around female audiences. But regardless at the budget it has, that it gets to be a/the featured film for a weekend is rather serendipitous for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 Hoping that The Invitation pulls a miracle and does 10M+ this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 10 minutes ago, CJohn said: Hoping that The Invitation pulls a miracle and does 10M+ this weekend. It would have to be a real miracle, because the highest preview to OW multiplier a horror had last year was Candyman’s 11.57x. The Invitation would need 13x + 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old Spice Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 I liked Three Thousand a lot. Gets kind of meandery in the third act, but there's a strange beauty to it that overcomes a lot of the narrative deficiencies. Unfortunately, I comprised 1/3 of the audience at the first screening, so I doubt it's long for theaters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 1 hour ago, Krissykins said: It would have to be a real miracle, because the highest preview to OW multiplier a horror had last year was Candyman’s 11.57x. The Invitation would need 13x + While accurate, the horror slate over the last 16 months has been a slew of sub-$5M forgettable titles, big & known IPs - Candyman, Quiet Place, Halloween, Scream - and summer releases like Black Phone and Old. And of those large enough to report a Thursday, all but Old (which did have an 11.2x in July) were rated R, while Invitation is PG-13, the first such offering in quite a long time. From that data set, I wouldn’t view a $10M+ weekend from a$775K Thursday as a miracle so much as just not having a truly applicable recent comp in hand to suggest otherwise (But I seem to be mostly on an island in that line of thinking …) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 (edited) FTR, my expectation was 11x for Invitation and 9.5x for TTYOL. Edited August 27, 2022 by Stealing Porthos Name XXR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Prime Posted August 27, 2022 Author Share Posted August 27, 2022 9 hours ago, AJG said: 3000 Years getting that high a VA score seems like some kind of miracle. It might do numbers once it hits Prime Video. Score's now dropped to 69%. Real "and I oop" shit. Invitation is also now at 58% and Breaking is at 69%. This weekend's gonna be rough my dudes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 Any friday numbers for holdovers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...