2024 Box Office Predictions and Discussion

[Flip]

I'm extremely confident in Inside Out 2. I can't envision a scenario where it isn't #1 WW, and it will be #1 DOM if Deadpool moves to 2025

[MovieMan89]

1 hour ago, Flip said:

I'm extremely confident in Inside Out 2. I can't envision a scenario where it isn't #1 WW, and it will be #1 DOM if Deadpool moves to 2025

I think it’s a giant 50/50 personally since I think a sequel has all kinds of potential to come off unnecessary and cash grabby. I think the GA will turn on it very fast if that’s the case. This is not Frozen 2 or Incredibles 2 where it’s guaranteed big success no matter what. 

Edited October 29, 2023 by MovieMan89

[lab276]

Next year looks apocalyptic my God. What the hell is even coming out?

[emoviefan]

9 minutes ago, lab276 said:

Next year looks apocalyptic my God. What the hell is even coming out?

It's not  that bad if the strike ends  in these next few days  Not great though.  2021 is a pretty good comparison.  The early part of the year is gong to be pretty empty save for a few movies. The second half should pick up.

[Mojoguy]

13 minutes ago, lab276 said:

Next year looks apocalyptic my God. What the hell is even coming out?

The studios made their bed by not quickly ending the strikes in good faith, now they and we are going to suffer for it with many movies having Transformers 2 level bad scripts.

[Morieris]

18 minutes ago, lab276 said:

Next year looks apocalyptic my God. What the hell is even coming out?

 

The one thing I still have hope of coming out is Sonic 3.

[Flip]

16 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I think it’s a giant 50/50 personally since I think a sequel has all kinds of potential to come off unnecessary and cash grabby. I think the GA will turn on it very fast if that’s the case. This is not Frozen 2 or Incredibles 2 where it’s guaranteed big success no matter what. 

I'm not really sure why you'd think that. It's not like the original was a shut door affair when it finished. There's definitely still more to be told that isn't cash-grabby.

[AniNate]

There are certainly legit sequel possibilities with IO, but I'm far less confident in the execution with Docter not directing. That coupled with Kaling and Hader not returning does on paper give the sense that it's more a business decision than a creative one. Worst case scenario (ie Cars sequel level reception) I can see it struggling to beat $200mil domestic.

 

 

Edited October 29, 2023 by AniNate

[MovieMan89]

4 minutes ago, AniNate said:

There are certainly legit sequel possibilities with IO, but I'd be a lot more confident in it if Docter were directing. That coupled with Kaling and Hader not returning does on paper give the sense that it's more a business decision than a creative one. Worst case scenario (ie Cars sequel level reception) I can see it struggling to beat $200mil domestic.

I think it can go Lightyear with similar reception. This is not one of those “too big to fail” sequels like the ones I mentioned. Pixar is obviously not too big to fail anymore either. It absolutely depends on how it’s received. 

[kayumanggi]

CHANGES

05.17 | IF

06.28 | A QUIET PLACE: DAY ONE

11.15 | ALTO KNIGHTS (formerly WISE GUYS)

 

REMOVED FROM 2024

ELIO

SNOW WHITE

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING II

Edited October 30, 2023 by kayumanggi

[cooldude97]

GxK top five here we come

[kayumanggi]

RELEASE SCHEDULE BY MAJOR STUDIOS

 

DISNEY

05.24 | KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES

06.14 | INSIDE OUT II

07.26 | DEADPOOL III

08.16 | ALIEN: ROMULUS

11.08 | AMATEUR

11.29 | UNTITLED DISNEY ANIMATION

12.20 | MUFASA: THE LION KING

 

LIONSGATE

02.09 | 2 WIN

02.23 | ORDINARY ANGELS

03.08 | IMAGINARY

03.22 | ARTHUR THE KING

04.26 | UNSUNG HERO

06.07 | BALLERINA

08.09 | BORDERLANDS

 

PARAMOUNT

01.12 | MEAN GIRLS

02.16 | BOB MARLEY: ONE LOVE

05.17 | IF

06.28 | A QUIET PLACE: DAY ONE

09.13 | TRANSFORMERS ONE

10.18 | SMILE II

11.22 | GLADIATOR II

12.20 | SONIC THE HEDGEHOG III

 

SONY

01.12 | THE BOOK OF CLARENCE

02.09 | IT ENDS WITH US

02.16 | MADAME WEB

03.29 | GHOSTBUSTERS II

05.10 | MY EX-FRIEND'S WEDDING

05.24 | GARFIELD

06.14 | BAD BOYS IV

06.28 | HORRORSCOPE

08.02 | HAROLD AND THE PURPLE CRAYON

08.23 | UNTITLED KENDRICK BROTHERS FILM

08.30 | KRAVEN THE HUNTER

11.08 | VENOM III

12.13 | KARATE KID

 

UNIVERSAL

01.05 | NIGHT SWIM

02.02 | ARGYLLE

02.09 | LISA FRANKENSTEIN

02.16 | UNTITLED UNIVERSAL FILM

02.23 | DRIVE-AWAY DOLLS

03.01 | THE FALL GUY

03.08 | KUNG FU PANDA IV

04.05 | UNTITLED UNIVERSAL EVENT FILM

04.19 | UNTITLED MONSTER THRILLER BY RADIO SILENCE

05.17 | UNTITLED UNIVERSAL EVENT FILM

06.21 | UNTITLED UNIVERSAL EVENT FILM
07.05 | DESPICABLE ME IV

07.19 | TWISTERS

08.09 | SPEAK NO EVIL

09.13 | UNTITLED BLUMHOUSE PRODUCTIONS FILM

09.20 | UNTITLED DREAMWORKS ANIMATION FILM

09.27 | UNTITLED MONKEYPAW HORROR/THRILLER FILM

10.18 | UNTITLED BLUMHOUSE PRODUCTIONS FILM

11.01 | UNTITLED UNIVERSAL EVENT FILM

11.29 | WICKED I

12.27 | UNTITLED JORDAN PEELE FOURTH FILM

 

WARNER BROS.

03.15 | DUNE II

03.29 | MICKEY 17

04.12 | GODZILLA X KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE

05.24 | FURIOSA

06.07 | THE WATCHERS

06.28 | HORIZON: AN AMERICAN SAGA I

08.02 | TRAP
08.16 | HORIZON: AN AMERICAN SAGA II

09.06 | BEETLEJUICE II

10.04 | JOKER: FOLIE Á DEUX

11.15 | ALTO KNIGHTS

12.13 | THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE WAR OF THE ROHIRRIM

 

OTHERS

01.12 | THE BEEKEPER

01.26 | UNDERDOGGS

03.08 | CABRINI

04.26 | CHALLENGERS

08.09 | FLINT STRONG

 

*wide releases only / dates are all Friday

[kayumanggi]

No Disney release until late May.

[WorkingonaName]

1. Wicked: $1.1B

2. Joker Folie a Deux: $1B

3. Disciple Me 4: $850M

4. Inside Out 2: $850M

5. Gladiator 2: $800M

6. Deadpool 3: $800M

7. Dune 2: $750M

8. GVK: $700K

9. Horizon part 2: $700M

10. Beetlejuice 2: $600M

[kayumanggi]

1 hour ago, WorkingonaName said:

1. Wicked: $1.1B

2. Joker Folie a Deux: $1B

3. Disciple Me 4: $850M

4. Inside Out 2: $850M

5. Gladiator 2: $800M

6. Deadpool 3: $800M

7. Dune 2: $750M

8. GVK: $700K

9. Horizon part 2: $700M

10. Beetlejuice 2: $600M

 

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:

No Disney release until late May.

Yep but that run of Apes, IO2, DP 3 could really deliver. The later two should be the top 2 movies of the summer. Heck even Alien Romulus could even make it 4 in a row if it is as good as Sir Ridley say it is.  It it hilarious though that they are relying on Fox movies next year. 

[kayumanggi]

2 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

Yep but that run of Apes, IO2, DP 3 could really deliver. The later two should be the top 2 movies of the summer. Heck even Alien Romulus could even make it 4 in a row if it is as good as Sir Ridley say it is.  It it hilarious though that they are relying on Fox movies next year. 

 

I agree. It's not necessarily about the number of movies, but the quality. However, since they have few releases, they can't afford to have multiple misses. Their 2022 has not been really good despite the fact that four of their movies are in the top 10.

[emoviefan]

Looking at next year it's crazy there is no movie likely to have a bigger opening weekend than FNAF just did until maybe Inside Out 2.  There are def some possible breakouts if quality, WOM and marketing deliver. Argyle in Feb, The Fall Guy, Dune 2 and Ghostbusters: FE in March. GodzillaVKong 2 in April and Apes and Furiosa in May. Of course some of these movies will change dates. Apes or Furiosa will change dates for sure. 

[Flip]

5 hours ago, WorkingonaName said:

1. Wicked: $1.1B

2. Joker Folie a Deux: $1B

3. Disciple Me 4: $850M

4. Inside Out 2: $850M

5. Gladiator 2: $800M

6. Deadpool 3: $800M

7. Dune 2: $750M

8. GVK: $700K

9. Horizon part 2: $700M

10. Beetlejuice 2: $600M

this is crazy, but I admire the boldness.

 

1. Inside Out 2: 1.1B

2. Deadpool 3: 1.03B

3. DM4: 940m

4. Joker 2: 770m

5. Mufasa: 670m

6. Dune Part 2: 660m

7. Venom 3: 645m

8. Gladiator 2: 630m

9. Passion of the Christ 2: 610m

10. Godzilla X Kong: 595m

 

[YM!]

1 hour ago, emoviefan said:

Looking at next year it's crazy there is no movie likely to have a bigger opening weekend than FNAF just did until maybe Inside Out 2.  There are def some possible breakouts if quality, WOM and marketing deliver. Argyle in Feb, The Fall Guy, Dune 2 and Ghostbusters: FE in March. GodzillaVKong 2 in April and Apes and Furiosa in May. Of course some of these movies will change dates. Apes or Furiosa will change dates for sure. 

Think Kung Fu Panda should do it if it stays there.