The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[keysersoze123]

11 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I don't know why you aren't impressed by pace though. 7.7K is insanity. Barbie had 11K on SAT before release.

I am very impressed with the levels for sure. There are factors like VD being a strong day for BO and Bob Marley is a legendary singer. But its no trending up like most movies would. I actually expected it to hit 9K levels by now. 

 

While Barbie comps make it crazy, dont forget this is a full day wednesday release as opposed to Thursday previews. Plus presales spectacularly skew for Marley for VD. Its selling negligible after that while Barbie at this point was selling way stronger over the weekend than previews. 

[Boxofficerules]

52 minutes ago, ViewerAnon said:

I need the engagement, it feeds me, it doesn't matter if the information is accurate or not. Cliiiiiiiiiicks.

Have you heard anything about Imaginary?

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Part 2 Denver Showings

Early Access:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
860	12	1353	63.56%

 

Thursday Previews:

AMC Westminster 24

Total

414

1794

23.08%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

360

1388

25.94%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1686	65	18719	9.01%	13	91

 

1.537	Oppenheimer T-19	16.14M
2.566	Indiana Jones T-19	18.48M

0.938

Batman T-19*

20.26M

*Includes EA sales, all other comps Thursday previews only

Dune Part 2 Denver Showings

Early Access:

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
879	19	1353	64.97%

 

Thursday Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

427

1794

23.80%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

375

1388

27.02%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1746	60	18719	9.33%	13	91

 

2.575

Indiana Jones T-18

18.54M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Alamo Drafthouse Dune Part 2 [+2 days of sales]

T-19 Thursday

175 Showings

7300

+376

25893

ATP:

18.45

2.053	Oppenheimer T-19	21.56M
1.852	Indiana Jones T-19	13.34M

1.123

Batman T-19*

19.77M

*Doesn't include Batman EA sales I missed

 

T-20 Friday

253 Showings

8181

+501

37718

ATP:

17.99

2.329	Oppenheimer T-20	52.44M
2.464	Indiana Jones T-20	41.40M

1.349

Batman T-20

47.33M

 

T-21 Saturday

261 Showings

9715

+535

39076

ATP:

17.42

2.261	Oppenheimer T-21	60.04M
2.917	Indiana Jones T-21	54.19M

1.962

Batman T-21

84.87M

 

T-22 Sunday

238 Showings

5730

+423

35376

ATP:

17.60

2.224	Oppenheimer T-22	51.58M
3.439	Indiana Jones T-22	62.25M

3.063

Batman T-22

104.55M

Alamo Drafthouse Dune Part 2

T-18 Thursday

175 Showings

7512

+212

25893

ATP:

18.39

1.882

Indiana Jones T-18

13.55M

 

T-19 Friday

253 Showings

8422

+241

37718

ATP:

17.96

2.473

Indiana Jones T-19

41.54M

 

T-20 Saturday

261 Showings

10014

+299

39076

ATP:

17.40

2.960

Indiana Jones T-20

55.00M

 

T-21 Sunday

238 Showings

5919

+189

35376

ATP:

17.56

3.465

Indiana Jones T-21

62.72M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Emagine Entertainment Dune Part 2 [+2 days of sales]

T-19 Thursday

104 Showings

894

+69

17568

1.322	Oppenheimer T-19	13.89M
1.116	Indiana Jones T-19	8.04M

 

T-20 Friday

162 Showings

1053

+103

27667

1.976	Oppenheimer T-20	44.49M
2.909	Indiana Jones T-20	48.87M

 

T-21 Saturday

168 Showings

1001

+108

28817

2.836	Oppenheimer T-21	74.44M
4.700	Indiana Jones T-21	87.32M

 

T-22 Sunday

162 Showings

274

+33

27939

1.566	Oppenheimer T-22	36.31M
3.383	Indiana Jones T-22	61.23M

Emagine Entertainment Dune Part 2

T-18 Thursday

104 Showings

924

+30

17568

1.135

Indiana Jones T-18

8.17M

 

T-19 Friday

162 Showings

1153

+100

27667

3.083

Indiana Jones T-19

51.79M

 

T-20 Saturday

168 Showings

1048

+47

28817

4.617

Indiana Jones T-20

85.78M

 

T-21 Sunday

162 Showings

329

+55

27939

3.826

Indiana Jones T-21

69.24M

[PrinceRico]

So this Bob Marley movie is about to break out?

[TheTom]

2 minutes ago, PrinceRico said:

So this Bob Marley movie is about to break out?

 

OL seems to be an one day movie event, like The Color Purple. 

Edited February 12 by TheTom

[TheFlatLannister]

On 2/10/2024 at 8:13 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
486	4733	93918	5.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

481

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1272

*125 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-4

 

(1.192x) of Blue Beetle $3.93M 

(1.006x) of AquaMan 2 $4.53M 

 

COMP AVG: $4.23M

 

Yeah, this is doing well? I was expecting it to be DOA, but it keeps rising *at least for OD* 

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
486	5072	93918	5.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

294

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1374

*102 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(1.258x) of Blue Beetle $4.15M 

(0.984x) of AquaMan 2 $4.43M 

 

COMP AVG: $4.29M

 

Posting this last because of the Superbowl

[TheFlatLannister]

On 2/10/2024 at 8:07 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

DUNE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-19

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
554	4495	104695	4.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

92

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1866

*32 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-19

 

(1.598x) of Oppenheimer $16.77M 

(1.044x) of Indy 5 $7.51M 

(2.449x) of Wonka $8.57M 

(2.278x) of Aquaman 2 $10.25M 

 

Comps AVG: $10.78M

FLORIDA 

 

DUNE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-18

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
554	4611	104695	4.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

116

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1912

*46 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-18

 

(1.589x) of Oppenheimer $16.69M 

(1.045x) of Indy 5 $7.52M 

(2.436x) of Wonka $8.52M 

(2.249x) of Aquaman 2 $10.12M 

 

Comps AVG: $10.71M

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am very impressed with the levels for sure. There are factors like VD being a strong day for BO and Bob Marley is a legendary singer. But its no trending up like most movies would. I actually expected it to hit 9K levels by now. 

 

While Barbie comps make it crazy, dont forget this is a full day wednesday release as opposed to Thursday previews. Plus presales spectacularly skew for Marley for VD. Its selling negligible after that while Barbie at this point was selling way stronger over the weekend than previews. 

Full day or half day doesn’t really matter on weekdays. 
 

I know sales after VD are shit but VD alone is absolutely incredible.

[charlie Jatinder]

7 hours ago, ViewerAnon said:

 

omg if I turn on Twitter ad revenue can I say "Current data shows DUNE 2 opening lower than THE MARVELS"? My engagement will be through the roof and I can move to a tropical island.

You can do a tweet after some time in reply with 

 

“in India”.

[vafrow]

On the subject of One Love, do we have any understanding of this huge one day event level surge?

 

With Color Purple, wasn't there specific church groups booking out full venues? 

 

Do we know of similar push around this, or is this fully organic. 

 

Sales look to be a mix of couples and larger groups from what I can see, but it's hard to parse at the speed things have sold.

 

Valentine's Day seems like an odd day for film like this to be so front loaded.

 

 

[Eric Prime]

 

[Speedorito]

10 minutes ago, Eric Creed said:

 

Ariana and Spongebob’s epic love story will carry Wicked to a billion, just wait.

[keysersoze123]

40 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Full day or half day doesn’t really matter on weekdays. 
 

I know sales after VD are shit but VD alone is absolutely incredible.

Not on VD for sure. 

[leoh]

14 minutes ago, Eric Creed said:

 

Wicked being the most mentioned movie during the Super Bowl is really surprising.

[dallas]

Madame Web

 

Wednesday Opening

 

T-3

Tickets Sold: 173 (+29)

Growth: 20% 

% PLF: 32%

5 theaters/21 showtimes

 

Comps:

(1.454x) of Mean Girls - $4.73 Million

(1.055x) of Aquaman 2 - $4.75 Million

(3.761x) of Argylle - $6.39 Million

COMPS AVG - $5.29 Million

 

Sorry for being away for a few days. Been busy and haven't had time to post any updates. Madame Web is doing quite well though. I definitely think $5-6M OD is where it lands at the moment. No Bob Marley comps anymore since my TCP comps got erased for some reason. Still think that goes pretty high though. 

[leoh]

1 hour ago, dallas said:

Madame Web

 

Wednesday Opening

 

T-3

Tickets Sold: 173 (+29)

Growth: 20% 

% PLF: 32%

5 theaters/21 showtimes

 

Comps:

(1.454x) of Mean Girls - $4.73 Million

(1.055x) of Aquaman 2 - $4.75 Million

(3.761x) of Argylle - $6.39 Million

COMPS AVG - $5.29 Million

 

Sorry for being away for a few days. Been busy and haven't had time to post any updates. Madame Web is doing quite well though. I definitely think $5-6M OD is where it lands at the moment. No Bob Marley comps anymore since my TCP comps got erased for some reason. Still think that goes pretty high though. 

Sure, right now 5M+ seems to be where Madame Web is going to on VDay, it has also had a pretty good increase in sales in NY AMC theatres since Wednesday. This also matches the good increase on VDay sales that Madame Web is having in Florida (as reported by @TheFlatLannister) and in St Paul area (via @abracadabra1998).
 

 

 

PS:

I was missing your reports 

Edited February 12 by leoh

[keysersoze123]

On 2/10/2024 at 10:09 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Bob Marley MTC1

VD - 63125/456969 954568.59 2940 shows +7710

Friday - 9898/386515 152702.86 2304 shows +1066

 

Pace seems flat but at a high level for VD. It will not hit the number I expected yesterday by tomorrow night. Still I will stick to what I predicted earlier. 

Bob Marley MTC1

VD - 72643/459026 1097764.45 2963 shows +9518

Friday - 11207/387877 173974.29 2310 shows +1309

 

Good bump considering SB. 

Edited February 13 by keysersoze123

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Madame Web MTC1

VD - 27555/602978 456471.09 2973 shows +2582

Friday - 10057/587876 171096.55 2739 shows +734

 

Wait where is this 30m prediction coming for this movie. I am seeing around 20m till president's day. Its presales skew VD and that is pacing < 1/3rd of Marley. Not sure if its even hitting 4m OD. Needs strong finish and we have not seen any acceleration so far. 

 

 

Madame Web MTC1

VD - 31148/603046 513815.40 2974 shows +3593

Friday - 11186/587800 190025.38 2740 shows +1129

 

Very good increase for this movie as well. Let us how final  2 days of PS and then walkups go. 4m+ look likely unless walkups are terrible.