The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/11/2024 at 3:04 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Alamo Drafthouse Dune Part 2

T-18 Thursday

175 Showings

7512

+212

25893

ATP:

18.39

1.882

Indiana Jones T-18

13.55M

 

T-19 Friday

253 Showings

8422

+241

37718

ATP:

17.96

2.473

Indiana Jones T-19

41.54M

 

T-20 Saturday

261 Showings

10014

+299

39076

ATP:

17.40

2.960

Indiana Jones T-20

55.00M

 

T-21 Sunday

238 Showings

5919

+189

35376

ATP:

17.56

3.465

Indiana Jones T-21

62.72M

Alamo Drafthouse Dune Part 2

T-17 Thursday

175 Showings

7715

+203

25893

ATP:

18.35

2.030	Oppenheimer T-17	21.32M
1.830	Indiana Jones T-17	13.18M

1.082

Batman T-17*

19.04M

*Doesn't include Batman EA sales I missed

 

T-18 Friday

253 Showings

8667

+245

37718

ATP:

17.91

2.278	Oppenheimer T-18	51.30M
2.424	Indiana Jones T-18	40.73M

1.285

Batman T-18

45.09M

 

T-19 Saturday

261 Showings

10292

+278

39076

ATP:

17.36

2.194	Oppenheimer T-19	58.26M
2.921	Indiana Jones T-19	54.28M

1.813

Batman T-19

78.43M

 

T-20 Sunday

238 Showings

6167

+248

35376

ATP:

17.53

2.111	Oppenheimer T-20	48.94M
3.287	Indiana Jones T-20	59.50M

2.691

Batman T-20

91.86M

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/11/2024 at 3:05 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Emagine Entertainment Dune Part 2

T-18 Thursday

104 Showings

924

+30

17568

1.135

Indiana Jones T-18

8.17M

 

T-19 Friday

162 Showings

1153

+100

27667

3.083

Indiana Jones T-19

51.79M

 

T-20 Saturday

168 Showings

1048

+47

28817

4.617

Indiana Jones T-20

85.78M

 

T-21 Sunday

162 Showings

329

+55

27939

3.826

Indiana Jones T-21

69.24M

Emagine Entertainment Dune Part 2

T-17 Thursday

104 Showings

978

+54

17358

1.309	Oppenheimer T-17	13.75M
1.143	Indiana Jones T-17	8.23M

 

T-18 Friday

162 Showings

1198

+45

27352

2.037	Oppenheimer T-18	45.88M
3.003	Indiana Jones T-18	50.44M

 

T-19 Saturday

168 Showings

1093

+45

28395

2.767	Oppenheimer T-19	72.64M
4.651	Indiana Jones T-19	86.42M

 

T-20 Sunday

162 Showings

348

+19

27624

1.766	Oppenheimer T-20	40.97M
3.910	Indiana Jones T-20	70.77M

[YM!]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Kung Fu Panda 4 MTC1

Previews - 3670/306190 53459.98 2009 shows +732

Friday - 3403/448696 48694.69 2811 shows

 

2.5 days later and I want to see how Friday sales are. Feels like Elemental to me.  

I’m curious and still early, how does MTC2 look, as that’s seems to be the bigger one for Comcast stuff.

[filmlover]

33 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

i know this is tracking thread and i hate when people on twitter who have like 12 dollars in their bank account and will spend at least 8 of it on a starbucks drink discuss movie economics..... but.. 70 million for Bob Marley seems crazy

 

And even if it overperforms tracking which seems likely for the initial opening, at least... that budget is tough to recover

 

15 minutes ago, babz06 said:

Probably music rights? Maybe they production was large? . I can’t imagine this cast had high salaries which would be the only other plausible reason. 

Recreating an entire era from decades ago doesn't exactly come cheap either.

[CJohn]

70M for Bob Marley is NUTS

[Last Man Standing]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

70M for Bob Marley is NUTS

Less than what Elvis cost.

[abracadabra1998]

On 2/11/2024 at 12:49 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Opening Day:

 

The Chosen S4, Eps 4-6 (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 17 theaters	28	210	210	2580	8.14

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		84	84	40
Marcus:		62	62	29.52
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		64	64	30.48

 

Comps:

0.39x The Chosen S4 Eps 1-3: $565k

1.24x After Death: $495k

1.63x The Shift: $605k

 

Average: $555k

 

Interesting that it's selling so much worse than the first few "episodes" but in truth I know almost nothing about these "movies" so I can't really tell you why

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Opening Day:

 

The Chosen S4, Eps 4-6 (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 16 theaters	28	36	246	2580	9.53

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		103	19	41.87
Marcus:		69	7	28.05
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		74	10	30.08

 

Comps:

0.41x The Chosen S4 Eps 1-3: $585k

1.3x After Death: $520k

1.82x The Shift: $680k

 

Average: $595k

[abracadabra1998]

On 2/10/2024 at 10:10 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day:

 

Madame Web (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	134	204	549	23609	2.33

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		342	110	62.3
MTC1:		287	98	52.28
Marcus:		94	28	17.12
Alamo:		46	16	8.38
Other chains:		122	62	22.22

 

Comps:

1.28x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.76 Million

1.5x Wonka: $5.25 Million

0.52x BoSS: $3 Million

2.33x Blue Beetle: $7.68 Million

0.41x MI7 (TUE): $2.84 Million

 

Average: $4.91 Million

 

Really really good update, but it's a funky T-7 to T-4 update compared to other movies that had previews on Thursday, hence me adding the MI7 comp. Tomorrow should balance it out since people will be busy watching the Superbowl. Also, like @Porthos mentioned, slightly higher portion of matinee tickets (but not as much as you'd think, since it's not a holiday). Pretty positive update though, no way around it

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day:

 

Madame Web (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	139	214	763	24019	3.18

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		472	130	61.86
MTC1:		370	83	48.49
Marcus:		125	31	16.38
Alamo:		61	15	7.99
Other chains:		207	85	27.13

 

Comps:

1.3x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.83 Million

1.5x Wonka: $5.24 Million

0.53x BoSS: $3.03 Million

2.13x Blue Beetle: $7.01 Million

0.43x MI7 (TUE): $3 Million

 

Average: $4.82 Million

 

This is over 2 days, didn't track yesterday because of the Superbowl. Blue Beetle is skewing things quite a bit but this is doing pretty well, can see close to 5 million for OD.

[keysersoze123]

45 minutes ago, YM! said:

I’m curious and still early, how does MTC2 look, as that’s seems to be the bigger one for Comcast stuff.

its not working at  all in past few days and early sales for family flicks are almost non existent over at MTC2. Its more walkup friendly or only very fan driven movies sell. 

[abracadabra1998]

On 2/10/2024 at 10:19 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day:

 

Bob Marley: One Love (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	98	637	1499	13467	11.13

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		559	234	37.29
MTC1:		548	243	36.56
Marcus:		282	110	18.81
Alamo:		168	73	11.21
Other chains:		501	211	33.42

 

Comps:

0.46x The Color Purple: $7.03 Million

3.69x Napoleon (TUE): $11.08 Million

5.28x The Creator: $8.45 Million

 

Average: $8.85 Million

 

This is the Color Purple 2.0, except the PLF percentage is a little higher. Swapped out KoFM for Napoleon, feels like a better comp; don't know about the Creator but leaving it there for now. High single digits sounds right.

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day:

 

Bob Marley: One Love (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	105	573	2072	14376	14.41

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		792	233	38.22
MTC1:		773	225	37.31
Marcus:		371	89	17.91
Alamo:		197	29	9.51
Other chains:		731	230	35.28

 

Comps:

0.48x The Color Purple: $7.42 Million

3.42x Napoleon (TUE): $10.26 Million

4.89x The Creator: $7.82 Million

 

Average: $8.5 Million

 

I do not have T-1 numbers for either TCP or The Creator, so I'm gonna have to get creative tomorrow. Anyways, this is selling crazy well in non-MTC1 chains, I am very impressed. The only knock is ATP is pretty low due to PLF (and a few more matinee sessions than usual previews), but still higher than The Color Purple. High single digits sounds right but we will see how this finishes, my comps are not very adequate for this so I wanna be a little more cautious than usual.

 

[TheTom]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Not sure I got your question. + number is delta from the previous update. I just call it out so that you can see how the daily pace is trending. In this case the number is 72643 - 63125 = 9518/ 

 

i mean on Saturday as you can see you reported it had sold 9898 tickets, then you reported that yesterday it got +1209 tickets sold, so 9898+1208 makes 11107, that’s why I think there’s a typo there because you put 11207. Gotcha?

Edited February 13 by TheTom

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

DUNE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-18

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
554	4611	104695	4.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

116

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1912

*46 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-18

 

(1.589x) of Oppenheimer $16.69M 

(1.045x) of Indy 5 $7.52M 

(2.436x) of Wonka $8.52M 

(2.249x) of Aquaman 2 $10.12M 

 

Comps AVG: $10.71M

FLORIDA 

 

DUNE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
566	4707	106182	4.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

96

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

8

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1976

*64 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-17

 

(1.620x) of Oppenheimer $17.01M 

(1.070x) of Indy 5 $7.70M 

(2.504x) of Wonka $8.77M 

(2.298x) of Aquaman 2 $10.34M 

 

Comps AVG: $10.96M

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
486	5072	93918	5.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

294

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1374

*102 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(1.258x) of Blue Beetle $4.15M 

(0.984x) of AquaMan 2 $4.43M 

 

COMP AVG: $4.29M

 

Posting this last because of the Superbowl

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
587	5472	112537	4.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

400

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

101

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1599

*225 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(1.306x) of Blue Beetle $4.31M 

(0.998x) of AquaMan 2 $4.49M 

 

COMP AVG: $4.40M

 

Seems to be converging around $4.5M

[Flip]

4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Kung Fu Panda 4 MTC1

Previews - 3670/306190 53459.98 2009 shows +732

Friday - 3403/448696 48694.69 2811 shows

 

2.5 days later and I want to see how Friday sales are. Feels like Elemental to me.  

Not good, especially since it got a spot right at the start of OT (when I guess most people were watching). 
 

I can say (anecdotally) however, that it got the most hype of any trailer at the party I was at.

[leoh]

24 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
587	5472	112537	4.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

400

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

101

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1599

*225 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(1.306x) of Blue Beetle $4.31M 

(0.998x) of AquaMan 2 $4.49M 

 

COMP AVG: $4.40M

 

Seems to be converging around $4.5M

wow a great increase in capacity for Madame Web from 93918 seats to 112537

[TheFlatLannister]

FLORIDA 

 

Bob Marley: One Love

 

Wednesday

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
675	12725	134295	9.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

(5.335x) of Argylle $9.07M 

 

*Orlando*

(0.353x) of TCP $5.58M 

 

COMP AVG: $7.36M

Edited February 13 by TheFlatLannister

[jeffthehat]

On 2/9/2024 at 11:19 AM, jeffthehat said:

 

Indiana Valentine's Day T-5

 

MOVIE	TC	SALES	SEATS	SHOWS	GROWTH
Bob Marley	28	1647	22823	148	+35.3%
Madame Web	27	829	29756	160	+30.7%

 

Marley almost at 2x Madame Web sales and growing 

 

Indiana Valentine's Day T-2

 

MOVIE	TC	SALES	SEATS	SHOWS	GROWTH
Bob Marley	28	2459	22093	160	+49.3%
Madame Web	27	1185	29344	168	+42.9%

 

Thursday T-3

MOVIE	TC	SALES	SEATS	SHOWS	GROWTH*
Bob Marley	25	377	19009	130	+76.17%
Madame Web	23	461	24863	138	+78.6%

*since T-8 Thursday

 

[abracadabra1998]

37 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

 

*Orlando*

(5.335x) of TCP $5.58M 

Multiplier is off here, probably 0.335?

[TheFlatLannister]

22 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Multiplier is off here, probably 0.335?

lol wtf nice catch. Multi should be 0.353x

[Cmasterclay]

FWIW Bob Marley seems to have tactile, period sets and costumes, which run up the budget. I think it is high even considering that but I won't complain too much about doing that when they somehow made a Wicked movie look like it was filmed in a broom closet apparently (and for much more expensive)