The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[TheFlatLannister]

On 2/12/2024 at 7:23 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

DUNE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
566	4707	106182	4.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

96

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

8

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1976

*64 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-17

 

(1.620x) of Oppenheimer $17.01M 

(1.070x) of Indy 5 $7.70M 

(2.504x) of Wonka $8.77M 

(2.298x) of Aquaman 2 $10.34M 

 

Comps AVG: $10.96M

FLORIDA 

 

DUNE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
566	4854	106182	4.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

147

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

2004

*28 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-16

 

(1.538x) of Oppenheimer $16.15M 

(1.074x) of Indy 5 $7.73M 

(2.486x) of Wonka $8.70M 

(2.249x) of Aquaman 2 $10.12M 

 

Comps AVG: $10.68M

[vafrow]

Taking a look at sales tonight, and both MW and OL doing good sales. Both should finish strong for my T-1 tomorrow.

[leoh]

6 minutes ago, vafrow said:

Taking a look at sales tonight, and both MW and OL doing good sales. Both should finish strong for my T-1 tomorrow.

Here in NY as well it’s been the best selling day in AMC Theaters for both. It seems people aren’t giving a f*** to the bad reviews critics gave to both MW and OL lol

Edited February 14 by leoh

[TheFlatLannister]

On 2/12/2024 at 7:31 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
587	5472	112537	4.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

400

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

101

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1599

*225 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(1.306x) of Blue Beetle $4.31M 

(0.998x) of AquaMan 2 $4.49M 

 

COMP AVG: $4.40M

 

Seems to be converging around $4.5M

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-1 *Final Update

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
587	7125	112537	6.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1653

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

2016

*417 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(1.326x) of Blue Beetle $4.38M 

(1.087x) of AquaMan 2 $4.89M 

 

COMP AVG: $4.64M

 

Will be at work tomorrow so this is the final update. 

Looks like over $4.5M, with possible $5M day depending on walkups 

[JustWatching]

Eyeballing my two local theaters:

 

Cinemark:

OL: 58 tix sold for tomorrow

MW: 19

 

Emagine:

OL: 411, includes two 90-95% sold out shows

MW: 159, of which 116 are PLF

 

so yeah, anecdotally can confirm OL outselling MW by x2 plus.

[leoh]

16 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-1 *Final Update

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
587	7125	112537	6.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1653

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

2016

*417 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(1.326x) of Blue Beetle $4.38M 

(1.087x) of AquaMan 2 $4.89M 

 

COMP AVG: $4.64M

 

Will be at work tomorrow so this is the final update. 

Looks like over $4.5M, with possible $5M day depending on walkups 

Yeah as it stands now, Madame Web will have better first day than Aquaman and Blue Beetle.
 

MB is having a really good  boost here in NY (unironically) since the terrible critics reviews started popping up on internet. On this track, Madame Web may get a 5.5M+ (+/- 0.25) on VDay. 

Edited February 14 by leoh

[vafrow]

13 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Dune Part 2, Western GTA (southern Ontario), T-17 Thursday previews and T-13 EA shows

 

Previews

Total Sales: 352

New Sales: 5

Growth: 1.4%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 19.6

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 7/2

Early Evening: 276/9

Late Evening: 69/7

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 78/7

IMAX: 191/4

VIP: 73/5

4dx: 10/2

 

Comps (no EA)

1.158 of Marvels for $7.6M

 

EA shows

 

Tickets sold: 405

Showtimes/Theatres: 2

Increase: 12

Growth: 3.1%

 

Still at a low growth stage. We need those social media reactions later this week.

 

Dune Part 2, Western GTA (southern Ontario), T-16 Thursday previews and T-12 EA shows

 

Previews

Total Sales: 373

New Sales: 21

Growth: 6.0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 20.7

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 7/2

Early Evening: 294/9

Late Evening: 72/7

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 81/7

IMAX: 207/4

VIP: 75/5

4dx: 10/2

 

Comps (no EA)

1.188 of Marvels for $7.8M

 

EA shows

 

Tickets sold: 417

Showtimes/Theatres: 2

Increase: 12

Growth: 3.0%

 

I thought id do my Dune update a little early so I have more time for the final updates on MW amd OL tomorrow.

 

Better day today, helped it catch it's comp.

[HummingLemon496]

19 minutes ago, leoh said:

Yeah as it stands now, Madame Web will have better first day than Aquaman and Blue Beetle.
 

MB is having a really good  boost here in NY (unironically) since the terrible critics reviews started popping up on internet. On this track, Madame Web may get a 5.5M+ (+/- 0.25) on VDay. 

 

Damn

Edited February 14 by HummingLemon496

[TheTom]

28 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

 

Damn

Madame Web big boost trackers are reporting looks like the more you talk to people not to watch a movie the more they get into watching it hahahahah

[abracadabra1998]

On 2/12/2024 at 6:12 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day:

 

Madame Web (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	139	214	763	24019	3.18

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		472	130	61.86
MTC1:		370	83	48.49
Marcus:		125	31	16.38
Alamo:		61	15	7.99
Other chains:		207	85	27.13

 

Comps:

1.3x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.83 Million

1.5x Wonka: $5.24 Million

0.53x BoSS: $3.03 Million

2.13x Blue Beetle: $7.01 Million

0.43x MI7 (TUE): $3 Million

 

Average: $4.82 Million

 

This is over 2 days, didn't track yesterday because of the Superbowl. Blue Beetle is skewing things quite a bit but this is doing pretty well, can see close to 5 million for OD.

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day:

 

Madame Web (T-1):

Day: T-1	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	151	295	1058	24727	4.28

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		640	168	60.49
MTC1:		432	62	40.83
Marcus:		199	74	18.81
Alamo:		89	28	8.41
Other chains:		338	131	31.95

 

Growth Rate (%):
1-Day:	38.66
3-Day:	92.71

 

Comps (1-day and 3-day growth rates in parentheses):

1.42x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $6.39 Million (26%, 73%)

1.7x Wonka: $5.96 Million (21%, 69%)

0.6x BoSS: $3.44 Million (22%, 67%)

2.3x Blue Beetle: $7.57 Million (28%, 95%)

0.45x MI7 (TUE): $3.12 Million (29%, 69%)

 

Average: $5.3 Million

 

Very very good last update from me, I will go bold based on my numbers, fully acknowledging that DC comps are rough here (and as always, without any walk-up info, so take it with a huge grain of salt), and predict $5.2M, +/- 0.3.

[abracadabra1998]

On 2/12/2024 at 6:18 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day:

 

Bob Marley: One Love (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	105	573	2072	14376	14.41

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		792	233	38.22
MTC1:		773	225	37.31
Marcus:		371	89	17.91
Alamo:		197	29	9.51
Other chains:		731	230	35.28

 

Comps:

0.48x The Color Purple: $7.42 Million

3.42x Napoleon (TUE): $10.26 Million

4.89x The Creator: $7.82 Million

 

Average: $8.5 Million

 

I do not have T-1 numbers for either TCP or The Creator, so I'm gonna have to get creative tomorrow. Anyways, this is selling crazy well in non-MTC1 chains, I am very impressed. The only knock is ATP is pretty low due to PLF (and a few more matinee sessions than usual previews), but still higher than The Color Purple. High single digits sounds right but we will see how this finishes, my comps are not very adequate for this so I wanna be a little more cautious than usual.

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day:

 

Bob Marley: One Love (T-1):

Day: T-1	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	132	839	2911	17740	16.41

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		1155	363	39.68
MTC1:		1039	266	35.69
Marcus:		490	119	16.83
Alamo:		243	46	8.35
Other chains:		1139	408	39.13

 

 

Growth Rate (%):
1-Day:	40.49
3-Day:	94.2

 

Comps (1-day and 3-day growth rates in parentheses):

5.46x Boys on the Boat (SUN): $9.5 Million (N/A)

2.21x Renaissance by Beyonce: $11.19 Million  (7%, 12%)

3.2x Napoleon (TUE): $9.59 Million (50%, 124%)

1.32x Paw Patrol: $8.99 Million (N/A, 153%)

1.27x MI7 (TUE): $8.9 Million (28%, 69%)

1.47x Indy: $10.57 Million (15%, 65%)

 

Average: $9.79 Million

 

Told ya yesterday I was gonna have to get creative with comps... my thought process was basically anything that was more adult targeted (BotB, Napoleon, MI7, Indy) and then mix in one of the few Opening Day comps I have (Paw Patrol, LOL I know, but most anything else I have are previews), and finally mix something in that accounts for the likelier more urban demographics (Beyonce). Add everything up, and you mostly see something in the 9-10 range. Add in the really really good growth rate this is showing, so this will be my super wide, shitty comps-based, dumb prediction: $10 Million, +/- 0.5.

Edited February 14 by abracadabra1998

[TheFlatLannister]

On 2/12/2024 at 8:05 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

Bob Marley: One Love

 

Wednesday

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
675	12725	134295	9.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

(5.335x) of Argylle $9.07M 

 

*Orlando*

(0.353x) of TCP $5.58M 

 

COMP AVG: $7.36M

FLORIDA 

 

Bob Marley: One Love

 

Wednesday

 

T-1 *Final Update

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
747	19243	148921	12.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 10:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

6518

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

72

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

(5.411x) of Argylle $9.20M 

(3.873x) of Mean Girls $12.78M 

COMP AVG: $10.99M

 

Pretty insane growth. Tempted to say this goes over $10M+ for V-DAY

[DAJK]

I certainly did NOT expect One Love to play nearly as strong in Canada as it would in the US. Alas, the only thing I see holding it back tomorrow here is capacity. Yep, it’s at that point. Theaters (either contractually or because of lack of foresight) booked Madame Webb in the bigger/multiple auditoriums, rather than One Love. While Webb isn’t selling terribly, it’s at a fraction of what I’m seeing from One Love. 
 

It looks like theaters are scrambling to try and add showtimes tomorrow. 
 

For now, I’ll go with 5-6M for Madame Webb, and 10-12 for One Love (maybe a bit higher?). That being said, I could also see both of these being one-day wonders.

[babz06]

6 minutes ago, DAJK said:

I certainly did NOT expect One Love to play nearly as strong in Canada as it would in the US. Alas, the only thing I see holding it back tomorrow here is capacity. Yep, it’s at that point. Theaters (either contractually or because of lack of foresight) booked Madame Webb in the bigger/multiple auditoriums, rather than One Love. While Webb isn’t selling terribly, it’s at a fraction of what I’m seeing from One Love. 
 

It looks like theaters are scrambling to try and add showtimes tomorrow. 
 

For now, I’ll go with 5-6M for Madame Webb, and 10-12 for One Love (maybe a bit higher?). That being said, I could also see both of these being one-day wonders.

Jamaicans make up 30% of the black population in Canada. So it makes sense. 

[M37]

20 minutes ago, DAJK said:

For now, I’ll go with 5-6M for Madame Webb, and 10-12 for One Love (maybe a bit higher?). That being said, I could also see both of these being one-day wonders.

Fwiw, I’m a bit lower, rounded range of $8-$10M+ and $4-$5M+
Do think the holiday is increasing the pre-buy rate, but at expense of potential walk-ups, so won’t see the typical final growth as what would normally be decent comps

 

Also think Madame manages to not be quite doubled up by Marley (>50%), as capacity will be a bit of a limiting factor for the latter, perhaps benefiting the former from spillover 

[crazymoviekid]

NEW JERSEY (2 Theaters)

 

Bob Marley: One Love T-0:

 

Theater 1: 337 Tickets
Theater 2: 215 Tickets

 

The Color Purple: $7.38M
Boys in the Boat: $7.22M
Beyoncé: $12.64M
Air: $14.70M

 

Great last day of sales. Even more encouraging, they opened up more screens for tomorrow. As long as the pace keeps up, I say $7.25M+.

 

 

Madame Web T-0:

 

Theater 1: 27 Tickets
Theater 2: 40 Tickets

 

Anyone But You: $2.21M
AatLK: $5.64M
THG:BoSaS: $2.77M
Shazam 2: $4.75M

 

Pretty weak last day. Reviews didn't help. Looking at $4.5M-$5.5M.
 

Edited February 14 by crazymoviekid

[dallas]

Madame Web

 

Wednesday Opening

 

T-1

Tickets Sold: 289 (+73)

Growth: 34%

% PLF: 25%

5 theaters/25 showtimes

 

Comps:

(1.482x) of Mean Girls - $4.82 Million

(1.074x) of Aquaman 2 - $4.8 Million

(3.959x) of Argylle - $6.73 Million

COMPS AVG - $5.45 Million

 

Meh final day. Fell against all comps. Should land around $5M +/- $0.25M, could go higher or lower depending on walkups. 

[keysersoze123]

One thing is this is not a preview day but full day of BO. Normally MTC1 ratios are much higher for previews than Friday BO. Reason is smaller markets/theaters dont do previews and so MTC1 does skew even more. It would be interesting to see where Marley and Webb land tomorrow. Is it closer to previews or Friday ratio. 

[keysersoze123]

On 2/12/2024 at 10:04 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Quick update. 

Bob Marley MTC1 VD - 90251/529810 1361253.93 3549 shows +17608

 

 

Let us see if momentum continues till wednesday. I have to say double digit OD is in play. 

Bob Marley MTC1

VD - 131687/575582 1965410.85 3988 shows +41436

Friday - 19371/627538 301930.37 3922 shows

 

 

Definitely hitting double digits. 

[charlie Jatinder]

29 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Bob Marley MTC1

VD - 131687/575582 1965410.85 3988 shows +41436

Friday - 19371/627538 301930.37 3922 shows

 

 

Definitely hitting double digits. 

That’s a ridiculous jump lol

 

Edit: hmm. There was T mobile offer but still insane.

Edited February 14 by charlie Jatinder