The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Porthos]

On 7/11/2024 at 2:30 AM, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-15 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	254	27531	34416	6885	20.01%

 

Total Showings Added Today	4
Total Seats Added Today	321
Total Seats Sold Today	105

 

T-15 Comp

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	67.44		182	10209		0/351	32227/42436	24.06%		21117	32.60%		24.28m
L&T	108.36		150	6354		0/228	25246/31600	20.11%		16962	40.59%		31.42m
BP2	100.81		126	6830		2/294	30194/37024	18.45%		16800	40.98%		28.23m
AM3	149.12		153	4617		0/238	28177/32794	14.08%		10475	65.73%		26.10m
GOTG3	194.11		69	3547		0/203	25548/29095	12.19%		10750	64.05%		33.97m
Bats	175.50		111	3923		0/280	30855/34778	11.28%		11757	58.56%		37.91m
Dune 2	320.23		56	2150		0/171	22589/24739	8.69%		6001	114.73%		38.43m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1591/13029  [12.21% sold]
Matinee:    439/4466  [9.83% | 6.38% of all tickets sold]
3D:             809/7387  [10.95% | 11.75% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        3319/11526  [28.80% | 48.21% of all tickets sold]
———    
DP3 sold       88 seats today at same sources of tracking I had for Captain Marvel
DP3 sold     100 seats today at the same sources of tracking I had for TROS
———

***EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL COMP***    
DP3 = 1.65458x Captain Marvel at the same sources of tracking at T-15 [40.31m] [ATP adj'ed by 118%]   

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-14 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	287	30109	37168	7059	18.99%

 

Total Showings Added Today	33
Total Seats Added Today	2752
Total Seats Sold Today	174

 

T-14 Comp

	%		Sold T-14	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	67.88		190	10399		0/351	32037/42436	24.51%		21117	33.43%		24.44m
L&T	107.79		195	6549		0/228	25051/31600	20.72%		16962	41.62%		31.26m
BP2	99.99		230	7060		2/294	29934/37024	19.07%		16800	42.02%		28.00m
AM3	148.08		150	4767		0/238	28027/32794	14.54%		10475	67.39%		25.91m
GOTG3	196.41		47	3594		0/203	25501/29095	12.35%		10750	65.67%		34.37m
Bats	172.72		164	4087		0/285	31380/35467	11.52%		11757	60.04%		37.31m
Dune 2	318.69		65	2215		0/171	22519/24734	8.96%		6001	117.63%		38.24m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1648/13029  [12.65% sold]
Matinee:    457/4466  [10.23% | 6.47% of all tickets sold]
3D:             825/7745  [10.65% | 11.69% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        3365/11729  [28.69% | 47.67% of all tickets sold]
———    
DP3 sold     168 seats today at same sources of tracking I had for Captain Marvel
DP3 sold     171 seats today at the same sources of tracking I had for TROS
———

***EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL COMP***    
DP3 = 1.65x Captain Marvel at the same sources of tracking at T-14 [40.20m] [ATP adj'ed by 118%]   

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Twisters, T-8 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 24

New Sales : 4

Growth: 20%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 21

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.1

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

EA sales: 64

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 4/7

Early Evening: 20/7

Late Evening: 0/7

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 0/3

Dolby: 16/8

IMAX: 6/6

4DX: 2/3

 

Previews Comps

1.200x Fall Guy for $3.8M

0.343x KOTPOTA for $1.7M

0.480x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $2.8M

0.124x HG: BoSS for $0.7M

0.324x Furiosa for $1.1M

 

Comps with EA rolled into previews 

1.257x KOTPOTA for $6.3M

1.760x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $8.8M

0.456x HG: BoSS for $2.3M

1.189x Furiosa for $5.9M

 

EA Comp

1.306x Fall Guy for $1.0M

 

Some weird numbers because it looks like a large EA group cancelled. Other than that, just modest growth off a low baseline. It's going to take until next week before we get a true sense here.

 

Twisters, T-7 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 32

New Sales : 3

Growth: 33%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 21

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.5

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

EA sales: 71

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 4/7

Early Evening: 28/7

Late Evening: 0/7

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 0/3

Dolby: 20/8

IMAX: 6/6

4DX: 6/3

 

Previews Comps

1.600x Fall Guy for $5.0M

0.427x KOTPOTA for $2.1M

0.552x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $3.2M

0.152x HG: BoSS for $0.9M

0.323x Furiosa for $1.1M

 

Comps with EA rolled into previews 

1.373x KOTPOTA for $6.9M

1.776x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $8.9M

0.490x HG: BoSS for $2.5M

1.040x Furiosa for $5.2M

 

EA Comp

1.449x Fall Guy for $1.2M

 

It had a pretty good day.

[Cooper Legion]

On 6/9/2024 at 8:28 PM, Joyous Legion said:

Made a minor update in my private sheet, might as well share I guess. Not much changed, still far out, still high uncertainty

 

T-46
Legion DPW OWForecastMatrix		Thursday Preview Gross Range
		$30.00	$31.25	$32.50	$33.75	$35.00	$36.25	$37.50	$38.75	$40.00
Thur / Wknd Ratio (IM)	4.825	$144.75	$150.78	$156.81	$162.84	$168.88	$174.91	$180.94	$186.97	$193.00
	4.9	$147.00	$153.13	$159.25	$165.38	$171.50	$177.63	$183.75	$189.88	$196.00
	4.975	$149.25	$155.47	$161.69	$167.91	$174.13	$180.34	$186.56	$192.78	$199.00
	5.05	$151.50	$157.81	$164.13	$170.44	$176.75	$183.06	$189.38	$195.69	$202.00
	5.125	$153.75	$160.16	$166.56	$172.97	$179.38	$185.78	$192.19	$198.59	$205.00
	5.2	$156.00	$162.50	$169.00	$175.50	$182.00	$188.50	$195.00	$201.50	$208.00
	5.275	$158.25	$164.84	$171.44	$178.03	$184.63	$191.22	$197.81	$204.41	$211.00
	5.35	$160.50	$167.19	$173.88	$180.56	$187.25	$193.94	$200.63	$207.31	$214.00
	5.425	$162.75	$169.53	$176.31	$183.09	$189.88	$196.66	$203.44	$210.22	$217.00

Very boring run so far to be honest. Recent pace is decent enough given how long it’s been on sale but not really exciting, considering Thor reception and ATP diffs should be unlikely to dip below 30, on other hand high 30s seems tough to reach without really sizzling reception buzz for final few days. Might drag IM’s up slightly next update depending on how Fri paces vs Thor 

 

T-14
Legion DPW OWForecastMatrix		Thursday Preview Gross Range
		$30.00	$31.00	$32.00	$33.00	$34.00	$35.00	$36.00	$37.00	$38.00
Thur / Wknd Ratio (IM)	4.825	$144.75	$149.58	$154.40	$159.23	$164.05	$168.88	$173.70	$178.53	$183.35
	4.9	$147.00	$151.90	$156.80	$161.70	$166.60	$171.50	$176.40	$181.30	$186.20
	4.975	$149.25	$154.23	$159.20	$164.18	$169.15	$174.13	$179.10	$184.08	$189.05
	5.05	$151.50	$156.55	$161.60	$166.65	$171.70	$176.75	$181.80	$186.85	$191.90
	5.125	$153.75	$158.88	$164.00	$169.13	$174.25	$179.38	$184.50	$189.63	$194.75
	5.2	$156.00	$161.20	$166.40	$171.60	$176.80	$182.00	$187.20	$192.40	$197.60
	5.275	$158.25	$163.53	$168.80	$174.08	$179.35	$184.63	$189.90	$195.18	$200.45
	5.35	$160.50	$165.85	$171.20	$176.55	$181.90	$187.25	$192.60	$197.95	$203.30
	5.425	$162.75	$168.18	$173.60	$179.03	$184.45	$189.88	$195.30	$200.73	$206.15

[Eric Deetz]

9 hours ago, misterpepp said:

 

Damn, y'all really didn't care about this one! 😂

I don't like using the whole "who is the audience for this" for movies, but in Harold's case...who does this actually appeal to?

[katnisscinnaplex]

21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Twisters	T-7	Jax	5	57	6	143	9,841	1.45%
		Phx	7	36	5	127	6,843	1.86%
		Ral	8	45	11	135	6,354	2.12%
	Total		20	138	22	405	23,038	1.76%
Twisters (EA)	T-6	Jax	5	11	37	227	2,391	9.49%
		Phx	1	2	4	21	618	3.40%
		Ral	2	2	4	47	412	11.41%
	Total		8	15	45	295	3,421	8.62%

 

Twisters (Total) T-7 adjusted comps

 - Fall Guy (Total) - 3.167x (9.98m)

 - Godzilla x Kong - .901x (8.12m)

 - Kingdom of Apes (Total) - 1.304x (8.6m)

 - No Time to Die (Total) - .795x (5.2m)

 - Ghostbusters FE - 1.468x (6.46m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .635x (5.58m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Total) - .178x (3.51m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.68m

 

Another solid day of +10%! 

 

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Twisters	T-6	Jax	5	57	19	162	9,841	1.65%
		Phx	7	36	15	142	6,843	2.08%
		Ral	8	45	17	152	6,354	2.39%
	Total		20	138	51	456	23,038	1.98%
Twisters (EA)	T-5	Jax	5	11	22	249	2,391	10.41%
		Phx	1	2	2	23	618	3.72%
		Ral	2	2	2	49	412	11.89%
	Total		8	15	26	321	3,421	9.38%

 

 

Twisters (Total) T-6 adjusted comps

 - Fall Guy (Total) - 3.12x (9.83m)

 - Godzilla x Kong - .883x (7.96m)

 - Kingdom of Apes (Total) - 1.299x (8.58m)

 - No Time to Die (Total) - missed

 - Ghostbusters FE - 1.567x (6.89m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .649x (5.71m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Total) - .183x (3.61m)

 - Furiosa - 2.176x (7.62m)

 - Bad Boys (Total) - 1.483x (8.71m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - 1.803x (8.49m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.87m

 

Pace chart:

 

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Twisters Total	31.47%	16.07%	-	11.00%
Fall Guy Total	31.05%	12.11%	19.76%	12.67%
Godzilla x Kong	33.74%	24.16%	-	13.26%
Kingdom of Apes Total	25.37%	15.72%	8.46%	11.36%
Ghostbusters: FE	24.94%	8.31%	18.41%	3.98%
M:I 7 Total	25.71%	14.27%	18.97%	8.61%
Top Gun 2 Total	22.31%	13.97%	18.94%	7.99%
Furiosa	40.55%	25.98%	-	19.00%
Bad Boys 4 Total	38.99%	14.59%	-	22.72%
Bullet Train Total	41.31%	27.21%	-	20.73%

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/11/2024 at 10:38 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Deadpool Wolverine	T-14	Jax	5	121	298	2,255	17,101	13.19%
		Phx	6	144	227	2,072	21,547	9.62%
		Ral	8	145	134	1,900	16,253	11.69%
	Total		19	410	659	6,227	54,901	11.34%

*New sales since T-20

 

Deadpool Wolverine T-14 adjusted comps

 - Dr Strange 2 - .63x (23.24m)

 - Thor 4 - 1.194x (35.46m)

 - Batman (Total) - 1.365x (30.78m)

 - Ant-Man 3 - 1.706x (29.85m)

 - No Way Home - .378x (20.04m)

 

Show counts at T-14

 - Dr Strange 2 - 415

 - Thor 4 - 285

 - Batman (Total) - 346

 - Ant-Man 3 - 278

 - No Way Home - 346

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Deadpool Wolverine	T-13	Jax	5	125	30	2,285	17,504	13.23%
		Phx	6	148	69	2,141	21,941	9.76%
		Ral	8	145	58	1,958	16,253	12.05%
	Total		19	418	157	6,414	55,698	11.52%

 

Deadpool Wolverine T-13 adjusted comps

 - Dr Strange 2 - .634x (23.37m)

 - Thor 4 - missed

 - Batman (Total) - missed

 - Ant-Man 3 - missed

 - No Way Home - .368x (19.49m)

 - Black Panther 2 - 1.02x (29.24m)

Edited July 13 by katnisscinnaplex

[Eric Deetz]

Quorum Updates

The Crow T-43: 33.63% Awareness, 45.8% Interest

Never Let Go T-78: 18.68% Awareness, 41.91% Interest

Joker: Folie a Deux T-85: 51.62% Awareness, 60.68% Interest

White Bird: A Wonder Story T-85: 11.95% Awareness, 38.85% Interest

Wicked T-134: 43.79% Awareness, 48.03% Interest

Levon's Trade T-190: 9.92% Awareness, 35.92% Interest

 

Fly Me to the Moon T-1: 44.18% Awareness, 44.17% Interest

Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M, 48% chance of 20M

Medium Awareness: 83% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

Medium Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 23% chance of 20M

 

Longlegs T-1: 26.82% Awareness, 46.68% Interest

Final Awareness: 20% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 25% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

Horror Interest: 43% chance of 10M

 

Twisters T-8: 56.43% Awareness, 56.15% Interest

Final Awareness: 73% chance of 30M, 35% chance of 40M, 23% chance of 50M, 15% chance of 60M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M

Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 75% chance of 40M, 25% chance of 50M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

Tentpole Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 23% chance of 20M

 

Speak No Evil T-64: 21.9% Awareness, 44.14% Interest

T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M

Horror Awareness: 56% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M

T-60 Interest: 60% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M

Horror Interest: 65% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M

[Gavin Feng]

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

$3.3M previews

[katnisscinnaplex]

14 hours ago, DAJK said:

Do we know how many theaters are playing Longlegs previews tonight? Because if the 4 theaters I’m tracking for it tonight, only 1 is even playing it tonight. The three others all don’t start until tomorrow.

In my US sample, it had showings in 2,022 theaters last night.

 

Horror preview comps in the same set of theaters:
X (2,216)
Immaculate (1,846)

Green Knight (2,138)

Talk to Me (1,902)

Last Voyage (2,146)

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/5/2024 at 4:00 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	TC	Shows	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D
Despicable Me 4 (5-Day)	3,323	209,858	156,820	53,038	8,418	30,325
Despicable Me 4 (3-Day)	3,323	130,130	97,751	32,379	5,126	18,549
Inside Out 2	2967	72,583	62,201	10,382	1,649	8,080
A Quiet Place: Day One	3,019	65,143	63,633	1,510	296	0
MaXXXine	2181	32,174	32,140	34	0	0
Horizon Chapter 1	2,729	28,169	28,113	56	0	0
Bad Boys: Ride or Die	2041	24,238	24,208	30	0	0
Sound of Hope	2,042	22,042	22,022	20	0	0
Kinds of Kindness	799	8,735	8,735	0	0	0
The Bikeriders	1,304	8,232	8,229	3	0	0
Kill (Hindi)	723	6,113	6,113	0	0	0
Blue Lock The Movie	749	3,904	3,904	0	0	0
Thelma	517	3,445	3,445	0	0	0
Kingdom of the Apes	588	3,035	3,021	14	0	0

 

US Showtime Sample 7/5-7/7

 

Opening weekend showtime comps

Despicable Me (5-day) - 209,858 (3,323 TC)

 - Puss in Boots (5-day) - 117,093 (3,434)

 - Strange World (5-day) - 105,995 (3,347)

 

Despicable Me (3-day) - 130,130 (3,323 TC)

 - Across the Spiderverse (3-day) - 113,094 (3,484)

 - Minions 2 (3-day) - 127,925 (3,602)

 - Lightyear (3-day) - 132,571 (3,392)

 - Super Mario Bros (3-day) - 147,070 (3,292)

 

MaXXXine - 32,174 (2,181 TC)

 - Men - 31,745 (2,100)

 - Three Thousand Years of Longing - 32,529 (2,230)

 - Memory - 31,063 (2,233)

 - Green Knight - 30,531 (2,468)

 - Immaculate - 33,647 (2,104)

 - X - 34,402 (2,619)

 

Sound of Hope - 22,042 (2,042 TC)

 - Chosen 3: Ep 1/2 - 22,999 (1,970)

 - Chosen 4: Ep 7/8 - 20,593 (2,167)

 

T-1 Week showtime comps

Fly Me to the Moon (7/5 EA) - 952

Fly Me to the Moon (7/6 EA) - 953

 - Bullet Train EA - 887

 - Top Gun EA - 1,031 (944)

 - Dog EA - 1,111

 

Fly Me to the Moon - 29,997 (2,137 TC)

 - Crawdads - 29,677 (2,121)

 - Joy Ride - 29,656 (1,840)

 - 80 for Brady - 30,871 (2,381)

 - I Wanna Dance - 28,953 (2,345)

 - Challengers - 28,782 (1,949)

 - No Hard Feelings - 27,994 (1,836)

 

Longlegs - 21,420 (1,394 TC)

 - Last Voyage - 21,520 (1,552)

 - Back to Black - 20,355 (1,499)

 - Missing - 20,308 (1,615)

 - Last Night in Soho - 20,306 (1,787)

 - Blackening - 19,750 (1,221)

 - X - 19,249 (1,746)

 

Lion King (Re-release) - 17,196 (911 TC)

 - Titanic (re-release) - 17,111 (1,598)

 - No Way Home (re-release) - 15,478 (1,821)

 

T-2 Week previews comps

Twisters (7/17 EA) - 1,149 (983 TC)

 - Kingdom of Apes EA - 1,133 (961)

 - Creed 3 EA - 1,126 (889)

 - Top Gun EA - 970 (932)

 - Fall Guy EA - 1,190 (952)

 

Twisters - 13,352 (2,428 TC)

 - Ghostbusters FE - 12,645 (2,430)

 - Godzilla x Kong - 12,011 (2,175)

 - Indiana Jones - 13,664 (2,536)

 

Disciples in the Moonlight (OD) - 1,577 (1,102 TC)

 

T-3 Week previews comps

Deadpool & Wolverine - 27,246 (2,613 TC)

 - Black Panther 2 - 28,981 (2,733)

 - Dr Strange 2 - 30,203 (2,704)

 - Thor 4 - 23,551 (2,550)

 - Ant-Man 3 - 23,525 (2,664)

Movie	TC	Shows	Change	Standard	Last PSA	PLF	IMAX	3D
Despicable Me 4	3,441	102,526	-21.21%	78,557	576.42	23,969	4,473	12,337
Inside Out 2	2,880	59,121	-18.55%	51,349	417.65	7,772	1,345	5,291
Fly Me to the Moon	2,848	47,730		47,367		363
A Quiet Place: Day One	2,743	45,488	-30.17%	44,069	316.31	1,419	273
Longlegs	2211	41,974		41,888		86
MaXXXine	2002	26,545	-17.50%	26,544	208.40	1
The Lion King	1,223	20,775		20,775		0
Bad Boys: Ride or Die	1770	19,878	-17.99%	19,854	274.42	24
Horizon: Chapter 1	2,135	17,130	-39.19%	17,103	190.34	27
Sound of Hopet	1,883	14,945	-32.20%	14,942	139.68	3
Indian 2	499	6,471		6,241		230	68
Kingdom of the Apes	865	3,623	19.37%	3,614	214.25	9
The Bikeriders	593	3,546	-56.92%	3,534	155.52	12
Kinds of Kindness	613	3,142	-64.03%	3,142	99.08	0

 

US Showtime Sample* 7/12 Weekend

*Not all theaters included

Opening weekend showtime comps

Fly Me to the Moon - 47,730 (2,848 TC)

 - Challengers - 52,837 (2,903)

 - Marry Me - 53,179 (3,172)

 - I Wanna Dance - 49,709 (3,156)

 - Dog - 48,752 (3,099)

 - Arthur the King - 46,715 (2,851)

 - Bros - 46,647 (2,995)

 - Joy Ride - 46,097 (2,561)

 

Longlegs - 41,974 (2,211 TC)

 - Bones & All - 45,531 ( 2,384)

 - Prey for the Devil - 45,409 (2,659)

 - The Menu - 45,234 (2,830)

 - Escape Room 2 - 45,204 (2,482)

 - Tarot - 45,125 (2,634)

 - Don't Breathe 2 - 43,638 (2,644)

 - The Invitation - 43,127 (2,655)

 - The Northman - 40,906 (2,890)

 - Malignant - 40,566 (2,998)

 - Talk to Me - 37,809 (2,113)

 

Lion King (Re-release) - 20,775 (1,223 TC)

 - Titanic (re-release) - 27,826 (2,172)

 - Shrek 2 (re-release) - 11,820 (1,281)

 

T-1 Week showtime comps

Twisters (7/17 EA) - 1,339 (1,026 TC)

 - Kingdom of Apes EA - 1,169 (993)

 - Creed 3 EA - 1,188 (945)

 - Top Gun EA - 1,008 (942)

 - Fall Guy EA - 1,253 (1,003)

 

Twisters - 72,804 (2,769 TC)

 - Indiana Jones - 76,495 (2,876)

 - Godzilla x Kong - 74,106 (2,729)

 - Bad Boys - 73,445 (2,584)

 - Morbius - 72,706 (2,812)

 - Transformers - 72,589 (2,647)

 - Eternals - 71,800 (2,852)

 - Ghostbusters FE - 70,344 (2,813)

 

Disciples in the Moonlight (3-Day) - 4,262 (1,066 TC)

 - I Heard the Bells - 4,407 (1,028)

 - Left Behind - 5,344 (1,331)

 

T-2 Week previews comps

Deadpool & Wolverine - 28,339 (2,729 TC)

 - Dr Strange 2 - 31,994 (2,883)

 - Black Panther 2 - 29,365 (2,794)

 - No Way Home - 26,573 (2,835)

 - Thor 4 - 24,565 (2,756)

 - Ant-Man 3 - 23,932 (2,752)

 

T-5 Week previews comps

Alien: Romulus - 6,900 (1,455 TC)

 - Nope - 7,656 (1,929)

 - Fall Guy - 7,376 (2,130)

 - Oppenheimer - 5,849 (2,131)

[jeffthehat]

22 hours ago, jeffthehat said:

Indiana

Longlegs T-0

Sales	Seats	Shows
1175	5451	59

TC=24, pulled 11AM EST

Comps

2.95x Bikeriders T-0 = $3.8m

0.69x Bad Boys 4 T-0 = $3.9m

1.18x Furiosa T-0 = $4.1m

0.77x AQP D1 T-0 = $5.2m

 

AVG = $4.25m

 

AQP D1 underperformed a lot here so that's bringing the average up. Still, doin well here

Indiana Lite

Longlegs Fri T-0

Sales	Seats	Shows
1164	7027	61

TC=10, pulled 10AM EST

Comps

2.66x Bikeriders Fri T-0 = $7.4m

1.15x Furiosa Fri T-0 = $7.9m

0.63x AQP D1 Fri T-0 = $9.9m

 

AVG = $8.44m

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Fly Me to the Moon (Thu) - 113/3,110 (37 shows)

Longlegs (Thu) - 656/2,098 (24 shows)

 

Fly Me comps

 - Ticket to Paradise - .504x (555k)

 - Challengers - .958x (1.53m)

 - Easter Sunday - 1.712x (856k)

 - Bullet Train - .245x (821k)

 

Longlegs comps

 - Nope - .516x (3.3m)

 - Don't Worry Darling - 1x (3.11m)

 - The Northman - 2.84x (3.83m)

 - M3GAN - 1.51x (4.15m)

 - Crawdads - 1.276x (2.55m)

Santikos Tracking

 

Fly Me to the Moon (Fri) - 182/4,325 (21 shows)

Longlegs (Fri) - 1,208/4,965 (23 shows)

 

Fly Me comps

 - Ticket to Paradise - .277x (1.47m)

 - Challengers - .778x (3.19m)

 - Easter Sunday - .731x (1.12m)

 - Bullet Train - .201x (1.66m)

 

Adjusted comps

 - Paradise - 2.31m

 - Challengers - 1.82m

 - Easter - 1.15m

 - Bullet Train - 1.76m

 - Civil War - 1.79m

 - Elvis - 2.32m

 - Barbie - 2.08m

 

This is really disappointing.  Looking like around 2.1m for true Friday

 

Longlegs comps

 - Nope - .652x (8.57m)

 - Don't Worry Darling - 1.389x (8.84m)

 - Crawdads - 1.518x (7.99m)

 - Strangers - 1.017x (3.86m)

 

Adjusted comps

 - Nope - 7.78m

 - Don't Worry - 8.53m

 - Crawdads - 9.39m

 - Strangers - 5.64m

 - Tarot - 5.58m

 - First Omen - 5.69m

 

I'm thinking around 5.75m for true Friday.

[abracadabra1998]

Missed my updates yesterday because of some personal life upheaval, should be back on Sunday with some numbers.

 

Great job everyone as always, we hit the warning bell on both Longlegs (for the good) and Fly Me to the Moon (for the bad) earlier than anyone else, and got them generally right  we slayed ❤️ 

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Alien Romulus	T-34	Jax	5	33	32	32	5,520	0.58%
		Phx	6	27	36	36	5,437	0.66%
		Ral	6	32	29	29	4,694	0.62%
	Total		17	92	97	97	15,651	0.62%

 

Day 1 comps

 - Ghostbusters: FE - .471x (2.07m)

 - Halloween Ends - .584x (3.23m)

 - Quite Place 3 - .588x (4m)

[Shawn Robbins]

This week's 5-week tracking from BOT:

 

Site: https://boxofficetheory.com/5-week-tracking-alien-romulus-30m-debut-healthy-in-early-pre-sales-twisters-and-deadpool-wolverine-still-shining-in-late-stage-models/

 

via Substack: https://boxofficetheory.substack.com/p/5-week-box-office-tracking-alien

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

24 minutes ago, Shawn Robbins said:

This week's 5-week tracking from BOT:

 

Site: https://boxofficetheory.com/5-week-tracking-alien-romulus-30m-debut-healthy-in-early-pre-sales-twisters-and-deadpool-wolverine-still-shining-in-late-stage-models/

 

via Substack: https://boxofficetheory.substack.com/p/5-week-box-office-tracking-alien

Good to see with Romulus. Covenant opened to 36.2M in 2017 (46.4M today), hoping it can get close to that. 

[Boxofficerules]

22 minutes ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

Good to see with Romulus. Covenant opened to 36.2M in 2017 (46.4M today), hoping it can get close to that. 

Romulus probably didn’t cost as much 

[keysersoze123]

There is BOGO offer for Xfinity customers for Twisters next week. Let us see if that bumps up sales for the movie. For now I dont see how its even coming close what Shawn has put up. Low 50s if everything goes well at this point. 

[VanillaSkies]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

There is BOGO offer for Xfinity customers for Twisters next week. Let us see if that bumps up sales for the movie. For now I dont see how its even coming close what Shawn has put up. Low 50s if everything goes well at this point. 

Do we know how much “reach” Xfinity has? Like, in comparison to T-mobile, what kind of customer base?