The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[katnisscinnaplex]

33 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Preview showtimes by hour

 

Time	Shows	%
3:00	2,435	5.87%
3:01-3:59	3,098	7.47%
4:00-4:59	5,022	12.11%
5:00-5:59	3,692	8.90%
6:00-6:59	5,336	12.87%
7:00-7:59	5,764	13.90%
8:00-8:59	4,094	9.87%
9:00-9:59	4,990	12.03%
10:00-10:59	4,596	11.08%
11:00-11:59	2,109	5.09%
12am+	338	0.81%

 

Overall there are 41,474 shows in my sample set of US theaters, showing in 3,095 locations.  

 

Comps:
Dr Strange MoM - 41,962 (3,358)

No Way Home - 40,351 (3,270)

Black Panther 2 - 40,343 (3,315)

Thor Love & Thunder - 35,169 (3,302)

Dr Strange 2 - 34,567 (3,158)

All weekend shows by hour

 

Time	Shows	%
<11:59am	22,477	9.81%
12:00-12:59	13,848	6.04%
1:00-1:59	14,835	6.47%
2:00-2:59	11,875	5.18%
3:00-3:59	19,137	8.35%
4:00-4:59	20,495	8.94%
5:00-5:59	14,932	6.52%
6:00-6:59	19,281	8.41%
7:00-7:59	22,340	9.75%
8:00-8:59	16,714	7.29%
9:00-9:59	19,096	8.33%
10:00-10:59	17,004	7.42%
11:00-11:59	7,300	3.19%
12am+	9,843	4.29%

 

Overall I've got 229,174 shows in 3,361 theaters.  Multiverse of Madness holds the record at 229,917, but there were 3,660 theaters in my sample carrying that one.  I'm guessing there have been a lot of closings in the past couple of years.

 

Full showtimes report coming soon.

[Inceptionzq]

12 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-1 Friday: 99004/568101

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-0 Friday: 111682/568101

[Eric Deetz]

Quorum Updates

The Crow T-29: 33.66% Awareness, 46.66% Interest

The Forge T-29: 15.81% Awareness, 40.56% Interest

The Front Room T-43: 19.47% Awareness, 40.04% Interest

Speak No Evil T-50: 23.33% Awareness, 46.45% Interest

Joker: Folie a Deux T-71: 54.47% Awareness, 62.65% Interest

Babygirl T-148: 10.98% Awareness, 37.77% Interest

 

Deadpool & Wolverine T-1: 74.07% Awareness, 70.07% Interest

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 90M, 80% chance of 100M, 20% chance of 200M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 100M, 50% chance of 200M

Final Interest: N/A

DC/MCU Interest: N/A

 

Harold and the Purple Crayon T-8: 27.24% Awareness, 35.35% Interest

Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M

Animation/Family Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 22% chance of 10M

Animation/Family Interest: 50% chance of 20M

 

Trap T-8: 30.74% Awareness, 50.08% Interest

Final Awareness: 40% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M

Horror Awareness: 44% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M

Final Interest: 94% chance of 10M, 81% chance of 20M

Horror Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 71% chance of 20M

 

Wolfs T-57: 21.04% Awareness, 42.57% Interest

T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M, 

Medium Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 37% chance of 20M

T-60 Interest: 61% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M

Medium Interest: 68% chance of 10M, 36% chance of 20M

[charlie Jatinder]

12 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

At ~7PM, 52900/169843 (880 showings) $650K+

Should go over 60K I think. Probably 61K. Would come around ~$38M.

Deadpool 3 MiniTC2 Final

 

Previews - 60649/169963 (882 showings) $770K

First 60K previews tracked. 

Normally this would be $38-39M, which seems about right.

[Tinalera]

Alien Romulus 

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

Thurs Aug 15 Fri Aug 16 (T-21)

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent	added shows
Vancouver	Thurs	2	5	76	1122	1198	0.0634
	Fri	2	6	35	1219	1254	0.0279
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	9	95	1390	1485	0.0639
	Fri	4	15	62	2756	2818	0.0220

[Menor the Destroyer]

Final number I had was  629884/1496333 10642969.90 10023 shows, but was missing newer shows that were added after my run Wednesday night, so could be closer to 650k. Would be pretty much in accordance with what Charlie has posted considering the higher ATP. 

 

Edited July 26 by Menor the Destroyer

[charlie Jatinder]

$38.5-39M previews.

[Grand Cine]

2 minutes ago, Menor the Destroyer said:

Final number I had was  629884/1496333 10642969.90 10023 shows, but was missing newer shows that were added after my run Wednesday night, so could be closer to 650k. Would be pretty much in accordance with what Charlie has posted considering the higher ATP. 

 

 

you have the numbers for Friday ?

[THUNDER BIRD]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

$38.5-39M previews.

More

[Menor the Destroyer]

4 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:

you have the numbers for Friday ?

Friday, 438877/1880171 7399561.45 11723 shows (approximately +110k since yesterday)

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Menor the Destroyer said:

Friday, 438877/1880171 7399561.45 11723 shows (approximately +110k since yesterday)

775-800K final. $55M+ OD.

[THUNDER BIRD]

3 minutes ago, Menor the Destroyer said:

Friday, 438877/1880171 7399561.45 11723 shows (approximately +110k since yesterday)

Is WOM showing or will we see that in walk ups.

[THUNDER BIRD]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

775-800K final. $55M+ OD.

Is that good enough.

[Madhuvan]

5 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

Is that good enough.

Will be around 93m+ Day 1. It will be close finish to 200m unless Fri and Saturday walkups are insane. 

[HummingLemon496]

Imagine telling someone a couple years ago that Deadpool 3 would almost have higher previews than Avengers 3. Crazy shit.

[Grand Cine]

32 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

775-800K final. $55M+ OD.

I think more 800-825K Final.

35 minutes ago, Menor the Destroyer said:

Friday, 438877/1880171 7399561.45 11723 shows (approximately +110k since yesterday)

It's funny because IO2 also add 110K between Thursday and Friday and add 440K during Friday.

[M37]

45 minutes ago, Menor the Destroyer said:

Final number I had was  629884/1496333 10642969.90 10023 shows, but was missing newer shows that were added after my run Wednesday night, so could be closer to 650k. Would be pretty much in accordance with what Charlie has posted considering the higher ATP. 

 

Is your sample roughly the same (or identical) to what Keyser and Zach used? Because if Charlie’s estimate is correct, that’s a very high PSM, even accounting for an adult-skewing ATP bump 

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 minute ago, M37 said:

Is your sample roughly the same (or identical) to what Keyser and Zach used? Because if Charlie’s estimate is correct, that’s a very high PSM, even accounting for an adult-skewing ATP bump 

Yeah the exact same. But even without accounting for adult skew the ATP here was higher than the 2022 releases. 

Edited July 26 by Menor the Destroyer

[Cooper Legion]

If we take it as 650k including last minute added shows, gross comp with Thor is right in line — 10643/8287.5*650/630*29=38.4M

 

With DS2 10643/10237*650/630*36=38.6M

[Menor the Destroyer]

On 7/25/2024 at 7:31 AM, Menor the Destroyer said:

Thu: 450892/1497052 7796982.98 10022 shows  +62197

Sat: 270897/1909938 4538426.28 11563 shows

 

 

Solid day. There was an issue in getting Fri data

D&W Sat: 338028/1919652 5584551.95 11660 shows +67131

 

As I mentioned yesterday I didn't get complete Fri data yesterday but later estimated it around 328k (+52k from previous day). So in raw tickets it's ahead of Fri at the same point and pace is much better.