The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

do they mean 4,000 theatres or 4,000 screens?

4000 screens would mean around 12K shows. Let us see what @katnisscinnaplex is able to pull and then we will know if that was a typo or if its accurate. Existing theaters can add more screens for sure.

[Bob Train]

Crazy how a potential $150m+ opener just spawned in out of nowhere. What a weird year.

 

Edited August 31, 2023 by Bob Train

[vafrow]

14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

 

https://moviescast.xyz/the-eras-tour-and-amc-infuriates-studios-creates-chaos-indiewire/

 

The bit about the legality of the distributor dictating pricing is interesting.

 

I wonder if the decision to release Thursday to Sundays is about maintaining that this is a special event, rather than a normal film distribution, to get around some legalities.

[keysersoze123]

As of now Eras shows are starting Friday at 6PM. So its friday previews(that too later start than most movies these days) and 2 day weekend 🙂

[abracadabra1998]

On 8/27/2023 at 3:42 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Equalizer 3 (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	83	19	113	15100	0.75

 

Comps:

1.19x The Woman King- $2.03 Million

1.55x Gran Turismo- $2.17 Million

0.48x Blue Beetle- $1.58 Million

 

A mish-mash of not so great comps that mostly point to around 2 million at the moment.

 

Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 (T-11):

Day: T-11	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 14 theaters	28	13	18	2978	0.6

 

Comps (Just Thursday):

0.82x Strays- $900k

0.72x Joy Ride- $792k

 

I imagine demand these last few days has been way more concentrated on National Cinema Day than both of these, so we'll see if they accelerate now.

 

Sooooooo I was doing my count for Taylor and thinking "huh I mean these are very good, but like nothing amazing why is BOT losing their minds over th..JABDUAHDADASDAUGEWYFIHDQ I WAS COUNTING THE WRONG DAY (the following Thursday).

 

 

Anyways, I'm gonna have to redo all of that, so I'll check back in later this evening. Meanwhile, here are some things you probably care about way less.

 

Minneapolis-St.Paul Area Previews:

 

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 (T-7):

Day: T-7	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 17 theaters	32	34	52	3501	1.49

 

Comps:

1.04x Strays (TOTAL): $1.14 Million

0.71x Joy Ride (TOTAL): $784k

 

Great jump from last update, next update will have No Hard Feelings as another comp.

 

The Nun II (T-7):

Day: T-7	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 17 theaters	62	51	51	11088	0.46

 

Comps:

0.65x Insidious: Red Door- $3.27 Million

 

Great start since it just went on sale (Insidious had been on sale for over a week at that point).

[Cmasterclay]

Between Sound of Freedom and Eras Tour, a huge year for fake movies spearheaded by the two craziest types of white women - MAGA and Swifties.

[ChipDerby]

Harkins in AZ started selling showtimes, and those are also selling out OW. Very curious if it will have an Oppenheimer effect on the AZ Mills IMAX.

[vale9001]

Lately seems like every music concert or documentary was destinated for streaming services. Swift last tour for example was a Netflix release. 

 

After the news yesterday of Scorsese movie being a Wide release with probably months of theaters exclusive the news of the eras tour on the big screen is amazing.

The barbenheimer really Is having a big impact, It's making the live experience and theaters cool again.

 

Narrative around Marvel movies was "well they have their fanbases from pre pandemic", for top gun and avatar "they were very awaited and Cameron Is something by his own league when It's about watching It on a big screen"

 

But two originals movie being so big, so discussed and big in the pop culture really made the big screen cool again .

 

 

[keysersoze123]

8 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Between Sound of Freedom and Eras Tour, a huge year for fake movies spearheaded by the two craziest types of white women - MAGA and Swifties.

its true but I am sad that you are comparing swifties with magaidiots. Unless they are both 🙂

[Grebacio]

3 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

 

More showings just became available 👀

 

ngl, I wanted Exorcist to keep the old date just to see if its drop could be worse than Taylor's concert

[keysersoze123]

@IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son at least for saturday just MTC1/2 is almost 11K shows and so it has to be more than 4000 screens. When you add up the rest, it will be way more than that.

[vale9001]

3 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

ngl, I wanted Exorcist to keep the old date just to see if its drop could be worse than Taylor's concert

Anyway for the exorcist imo 6th october would have been a better release date from the start. 

Edited August 31, 2023 by vale9001

[VanillaSkies]

With the announcement of Exorcist moving, our local Landmark theatre has already opened up IMAX showings for the full day all weekend instead of just the once a day showtime. I’m assuming others follow suit. 
It would be ridiculous to think that with no major film opening against it this weekend that theatres would just say “nah, we’re good” and not add additional showtimes. Every weekend after it has competitors, so why wouldn’t theatres want to maximize that first weekend. AMC is the distributor, they aren’t going to restrict themselves from making money..

[lorddemaxus]

27 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Between Sound of Freedom and Eras Tour, a huge year for fake movies spearheaded by the two craziest types of white women - MAGA and Swifties.

Pretty sure the venn diagram of both is a circle

Edited August 31, 2023 by lorddemaxus

[VanillaSkies]

35 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

As of now Eras shows are starting Friday at 6PM. So its friday previews(that too later start than most movies these days) and 2 day weekend 🙂

Here in Canada, we have showtimes starting as early as noon on Friday. I find it odd it’s not the same there.

[bastian]

5 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

I know we are in the middle of Swift mayhem, but Equalizer sales are going crazy today

I seriously don’t get this Taylor Swift obsession. 

[TwoMisfits]

46 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

Crazy how a potential $150m+ opener just spawned in out of nowhere. What a weird year.

 

 

Welcome to the post-Covid era of following box office.  Nothing's certain, anything can surprise - it makes it very, very fun again:)!

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, VanillaSkies said:

Here in Canada, we have showtimes starting as early as noon on Friday. I find it odd it’s not the same there.

I looked at all big markets at Fandango. Shows are starting at 6PM at least in US.

[DAJK]

In Canada, walkups for Equalizer are pretty solid tonight (presales weren’t great though so maybe it’s just making up for lost time). That being said, it’s encouraging, and enough for me to expect 3M tonight if not slightly more.

[keysersoze123]

Its good that despite Swift mania, Equalizer 3 is having a great final day. MTC1 is up to 66K+ and I feel even 80K can happen. I am definitely seeing close to 4m than 3m previews.

Edited August 31, 2023 by keysersoze123