The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[jeffthehat]

On 9/29/2023 at 11:02 AM, jeffthehat said:

 

Eras Malco Theaters T-14

 

Theater count - 24

Show count - 106

Seats sold - 6157

Total seats - 17681

% sold - 34.8%

New sales - 85 (+1.4%)

7-day average of new sales - 86 tickets/day

 

Looks like it's trended up here. 

 

Weekly growth

 

T-34 to T-28: +376 (+7.7%)

T-27 to T-21: +240 (+4.5%)

T-20 to T-14: +576 (+10.1%)

 

Comp at my local Malco

 

Barbie T-2 hours (1.19x) - $26.7m / $38.5m ATP Adjusted (+45%)

 

 

 

Eras Malco Theaters T-12 (two days of sales)

 

Theater count - 24

Show count - 106

Seats sold - 6320

Total seats - 17681

% sold - 35.7%

New sales - 166 (+2.7%)

3-day average of new sales - 83.7 tickets/day

 

Def trended up here. Seeing more action in 9/10 pm shows. Expect this chain will sell more in the second half of the presales window than the first. 

 

Comp at local Malco

 

Barbie T-2 hours (1.23x) - $27.5m / $39.8m ATP adjusted (+45%)

[vafrow]

25 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Come into my middle school classroom and you will see a loooooot of enthusiasm for it, which did surprise me when I first heard them starting to talk about it. I’ve been a little higher on it because of this, it should have more teen audiences than other horrors this year 

 

I think M3GAN is going to be the most apt comparison for audiences. I saw that in the theatre, and there were groups of kids in the 10-12 age corridor. That was female oriented, while FNAF is more male driven, but both cases I think are going to serve as a lot of kids introduction to horror movies.

[vafrow]

Just a heads up, Cineplex has upgraded their app. 

 

I just downloaded the new version, and it's going to make my updates a lot harder to execute.

 

I'm going to play around with it a bit, but, I might have to change my approach, and may not be able to cover as many theatres.

 

Edit: It's worse than I thought. They no longer display the amount of seats sold or still available. I don't have the skill or patience of @Tinalerato do the manual counting.

Edited October 1, 2023 by vafrow

[Sparkle Jump Rope Queen]

 

[Madhuvan]

4 minutes ago, Sparkle Jump Rope Queen said:

 

He is kind of right.

December has many movies and Eras Tour could get extended too if it plays for 4 weekends.

[XXR vs XXR]

10 minutes ago, Sparkle Jump Rope Queen said:

 

I’m a bit confused about what the Renaissance film is going to be. It doesn’t sound like it’s going to be a pure concert film like TET. Definitely feels like they’re not maximizing its potential with some of the choices they’re making.

[Bob Train]

I mean...Even if the Beyonce tour "only" opens with say $50m, that would still be a huge hit. Not on the level of Eras tour, yes, but stuff like the MJ concert movie and Justin Bieber only did $70m total DOM, so it would still become the 2nd highest-grossing concert movie DOM. Perspective is important.

 

Either way, early December is always one of the deadest parts of the year, so it will surely help with that. Online fans arguing is not important, in the grand scheme of things.

Edited October 1, 2023 by Bob Train

[Sparkle Jump Rope Queen]

4 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

I mean...Even if the Beyonce tour "only" opens with say $50m, that would still be a huge hit. Not on the level of Eras tour, yes, but stuff like the MJ concert movie and Justin Bieber only did $70m total DOM, so it would still become the 2nd highest-grossing concert movie DOM. Perspective is important.

 

Either way, early December is always one of the deadest parts of the year, so it will surely help with that. Online fans arguing is not important, in the grand scheme of things.

50m is kinda an insane number i don't see renaissance film pulling that. i see it doing +20m max

[Sparkle Jump Rope Queen]

15 minutes ago, XXR's Eras Tour said:

I’m a bit confused about what the Renaissance film is going to be. It doesn’t sound like it’s going to be a pure concert film like TET. Definitely feels like they’re not maximizing its potential with some of the choices they’re making.

apparently it's a documentary like the super bowl film or whatever where there'll be behind the scenes footage. 

[Madhuvan]

Just now, Sparkle Jump Rope Queen said:

50m is kinda an insane number i don't see renaissance film pulling that. i see it doing +20m max

Ticket is prices at $22m ,even more than Eras Tour.

20m is easy. I agree with 45-50m range.

[Sparkle Jump Rope Queen]

6 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

Ticket is prices at $22m ,even more than Eras Tour.

20m is easy. I agree with 45-50m range.

domestic? 

[Eric Furiosa]

Moderation

 

We have a thread for the Renaissance movie. Please stay on topic.

 

(Also, can we just not share EC anymore? We don't need his ass in this place)

[Jsmitty]

Don’t see a thread for this (If there is I apologize) but Postcard From Earth opens Friday as an exclusive at The New Vegas Sphere. I’m curious if that’s something that will report daily/weekly grosses….

[TheFlatLannister]

On 9/24/2023 at 5:07 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Saturday sales 

ORLANDO-GAINSVILLE-DAYTONA 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
370	10742	70636	15.2%

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

Looks like the seats were actually "blocked" so Saturday sales are actually behind Friday sales. 

 

0.967x behind Friday sales.

 

Sunday sales 

ORLANDO-GAINSVILLE-DAYTONA 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
372	5888	72601	8.1%

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

192 seats sold over the past week

 

0.548x behind Saturday sales.

0.530x behind Friday sales. 

Saturday sales 

ORLANDO-GAINSVILLE-DAYTONA 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
373	10824	71482	15.1%

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

82 seats sold over the past week

 

0.953x behind Friday sales.

 

Sunday sales 

ORLANDO-GAINSVILLE-DAYTONA 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
372	6170	71307	8.7%

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

282 seats sold over the past week

 

0.570x behind Saturday sales.

0.543x behind Friday sales. 

 

Good growth for Sunday over the week, but really bad growth for Saturday. 

[Porthos]

13 hours ago, Porthos said:

Will say that I have no idea how much fan rush/frontloading is going on but it has indeed already sold more than 60 tickets region wide in the now 2+ hours since sales went live.

 

That's.... That's not nothing, especially given it appears to be mostly a soft-launch at 9pm local time via mostly WOM on Twitter.  At least I think it was a soft-launch.

 

Gonna be real curious to see a full day's worth of sales numbers and how they compare/contrast to various films.

 

*checks again a few hours into Day 1*

*sees 84 tickets at Century Arden alone*

*grimaces*

*starts setting up sheets*

 

[vale9001]

Beyoncé is getting more than 50% of the movie box office. When She can make like 35-40M  even from "Just" 80m final box office I guess She doesn't give a s... about media, fans or whatever comparing the two movies 🤣. I would be like her 😅

[Porthos]

11 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

*checks again a few hours into Day 1*

*sees 84 tickets at Century Arden alone*

*grimaces*

*starts setting up sheets*

 

 

Done setting up seats check:  388/7262 tickets sold.

 

For perspective, Five Nights at Freddy's has already passed the Day 1 of Scream VI (213 tickets sold) and is zeroing in on the first day of John Wick 4 (481 tickets sold).

 

Not saying this is breaking out, folks, but it's a really  good not-even-over-Day-1.

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-9	22	79	0	17	117	16,150	0.72%
T-8	22	80	0	7	124	16,341	0.76%
T-7	22	80	0	5	129	16,341	0.79%
T-6	22	80	0	10	139	16,341	0.85%
T-5	22	80	0	22	161	16,341	0.99%
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.497x	=	$1.54m
Strays					1.412x	=	$1.55m
A Haunting In Venice					1.548x	=	$1.86m
Talk To Me					3.500x	=	$4.36m
The Last Voyage of the Demeter					4.472x	=	$3.35m
Insidious: The Red Door					1.288x	=	$6.44m
The Nun II					1.594x	=	$4.94m
The Creator					0.958x	=	$1.53m
Saw X					1.578x	=	$3.16m

 

Best since day 1. Should ramp up from here finally.

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-8	22	80	0	7	124	16,341	0.76%
T-7	22	80	0	5	129	16,341	0.79%
T-6	22	80	0	10	139	16,341	0.85%
T-5	22	80	0	22	161	16,341	0.99%
T-4	22	80	0	30	191	16,341	1.17%
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.513x	=	$1.59m
Strays					1.528x	=	$1.68m
A Haunting In Venice					1.553x	=	$1.86m
Talk To Me					3.673x	=	$4.57m
The Last Voyage of the Demeter					4.659x	=	$3.49m
Insidious: The Red Door					1.117x	=	$5.58m
The Nun II					1.802x	=	$5.59m
The Creator					1.032x	=	$1.65m
Saw X					1.492x	=	$2.98m

 

Best day so far - improving on all comps as I hoped, bar Insidious and Saw.

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour							OK
Friday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-17	20	163	0	76	11,464	28,984	39.55%
T-16	20	163	0	68	11,532	28,984	39.79%
T-15	20	163	0	47	11,579	28,984	39.95%
T-14	20	163	0	76	11,655	28,984	40.21%
T-13	20	163	0	65	11,720	28,984	40.44%
T-0 Comps						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie				1.185x	=	$25.01m	$37.52m
Oppenheimer				2.407x	=	$25.27m	$37.91m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny				3.886x	=	$27.98m	$41.97m

 

*+50%

 

On 9/24/2023 at 9:44 PM, Hilts said:

Saturday (+7(.5) days of sales)

328 showings (+5)

6,619 total sold (+319)

58.4% of Friday (previously 57.2%)

 

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour							OK
Friday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-16	20	163	0	68	11,532	28,984	39.79%
T-15	20	163	0	47	11,579	28,984	39.95%
T-14	20	163	0	76	11,655	28,984	40.21%
T-13	20	163	0	65	11,720	28,984	40.44%
T-12	20	163	0	73	11,793	28,984	40.69%

 

MTC1: 6,860/11,422 - 60.1% sold - 2.6% growth

MTC2: 1,877/6,420 - 29.2% sold - 5.6% growth

MTC3: 2,116/6,396 - 33.1% sold - 5.2% growth

Other: 940/7,449 - 12.6% sold - 8.4% growth

 

T-0 Comps						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie				1.193x	=	$25.17m	$37.75m
Oppenheimer				2.422x	=	$25.43m	$38.15m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny				3.910x	=	$28.15m	$42.23m
T-12 Comp						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie (EA)				19.758x	=	$21.73m	$32.60m

 

*+50%

 

Saturday (+7 days of sales)

332 showings (+4)

6,921 total sold (+302)

58.7% of Friday (previously 58.4%)

 

Friday and Saturday very similar pace but has definitely kicked up a notch since last week.

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

Killers of the Flower Moon							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2.30pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-23	20	80	0	198	493	15,114	3.26%
T-22	20	80	0	150	643	15,114	4.25%
T-21	20	80	0	83	726	15,114	4.80%
T-20	21	82	0	116	842	15,266	5.52%
T-19	21	82	0	113	955	15,266	6.26%
Comps
Oppenheimer					1.321x	=	$13.87m
Barbie					0.768x	=	$17.06m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					2.258x	=	$19.87m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					1.282x	=	$9.23m
Sound of Freedom					1.417x	=	$7.37m
Asteroid City					17.685x	=	$19.45m

 

Really good day again, still outpacing everything.

 

Killers of the Flower Moon							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2.30pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-22	20	80	0	150	643	15,114	4.25%
T-21	20	80	0	83	726	15,114	4.80%
T-20	21	82	0	116	842	15,266	5.52%
T-19	21	82	0	113	955	15,266	6.26%
T-18	21	82	0	93	1,048	15,266	6.86%
Comps
Oppenheimer					1.381x	=	$14.50m
Barbie					0.810x	=	$17.98m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					2.197x	=	$19.33m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					1.345x	=	$9.69m
Sound of Freedom					1.405x	=	$7.31m
Asteroid City					17.180x	=	$18.90m