The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[TheFlatLannister]

On 12/17/2023 at 6:37 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

MIGRATION 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
176	306	33106	0.92%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

31

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-4

 

(0.723x) of Trolls 3 $940k Previews

(0.379x) of Elemental $909k Previews

Comps AVG: $925k

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

MIGRATION 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
176	321	33106	0.97%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

15

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(0.704x) of Trolls 3 $915k Previews

(0.358x) of Elemental $860k Previews

Comps AVG: $888k

[TheFlatLannister]

On 12/17/2023 at 6:57 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
191	1264	38536	3.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

48

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-4

 

(1.185x) of Blue Beetle $3.91M Previews

(0.377x) of The Flash $3.66M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.79M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
191	1396	38536	3.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

132

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(1.278x) of Blue Beetle $4.22M Previews

(0.386x) of The Flash $3.75M Previews

(0.459x) of The Marvels $3.03M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.67M

[dallas]

Early but I predict that WB will win 2024 over Disney and Universal. 

[filmlover]

Random.

 

 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 12/17/2023 at 6:51 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Color Purple

 

Christmas 

 

T-8

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
172	4541	32294	14.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

342

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

2

 

COMPS

T-8

 

Comps with Thursday-Tuesday previews *Not good comps because Thursday/Tuesday previews compared to full day Holiday of Box office* 

(6.071x) of TMNT $23.37M 

(1.470x) of TLM $15.14M 

Comps AVG: $19.26M

 

Kind of experimenting with comps here 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Color Purple

 

Christmas 

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
172	4909	32294	15.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

368

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

2

 

COMPS

T-7

 

Comps with Thursday-Tuesday previews *Not good comps because Thursday/Tuesday previews compared to full day Holiday of Box office* 

(6.519x) of TMNT $25.10M 

(1.538x) of TLM $15.85M 

Comps AVG: $20.48M

[abracadabra1998]

On 12/14/2023 at 10:43 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Christmas Day:

 

The Color Purple (T-11):

Day: T-11	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 16 theaters	73	395	1492	7831	19.05

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		78	40	5.23
MTC1:		625	168	41.89
Marcus:		203	44	13.61
Alamo:		162	22	10.86
Other chains:		502	161	33.65

 

Comps:

6.17x Wonka: ??? (going with the $3.5 Million number that seems to be the consensus --> $21.58 Million)

3.9x Killers of the Flower Moon: $10.13 Million

1.53x FNAF: $15.76 Million

0.86x Barbie (THU): $18.33 Million

 

Unadjusted Average: $16.45 Million 

 

Adjusted* Average: $11.52 Million

 

*Adjusted down %30 from key's numbers, not my own tracking

 

As for Mean Girls, for some reason it seems like the MTC1 theaters around town haven't added any showings, so it wouldn't make much sense to start tracking it. Going to wait for them to add it before setting up sheets.

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Christmas Day:

 

The Color Purple (T-7):

Day: T-7	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	91	818	2310	10634	21.72

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		116	38	5.02
MTC1:		987	362	42.73
Marcus:		326	123	14.11
Alamo:		213	51	9.22
Other chains:		784	282	33.94

 

Thursday Comps:

7.73x Wonka: $27.04 Million

4.3x Killers of the Flower Moon: $11.18 Million

1.85x FNAF: $19.1 Million

0.8x Barbie (THU): $16.89 Million

 

Unadjusted Average: $18.55 Million; Adjusted* Average: $12.43 Million

*Adjusted down %33

 

Unadjusted Comps:

11.97x Wish (TUE): $21.54 Million

8.49x Napoleon (TUE): $25.48 Million

2.57x MI7 (TUE): $17.99 Million

4.7x Paw Patrol (FRI OD): $31.99 Million

 

Average: $24.25 Million

 

I don't know man, it's all a bit silly really.

[dallas]

Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom

 

Thursday Previews

 

T-3

166 tickets sold 

 

(1.307x) of Wonka - $4.57M

(3.609x) of Migration - ???

 

Terrible comps, I know. I've just started tracking so I dont have very good comps to put this against. If I had to guess, this will hit $3.5-4M in previews for a ~$20M opening. Legs should be good unless the movie is plain terrible. 

[dallas]

Migration

 

Thursday Previews

 

T-3

46 tickets sold

 

(0.362x) of Wonka - $1.27M

(0.227x) of Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom - ???

 

Same case with my previous post. Bad comps. Migration is probably DOA. Could pull good legs like Puss in Boots 2, but I doubt it. 

 

[M37]

46 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

ANYONE BUT YOU

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
147	212	27006	0.79%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(0.930x) of Greek Wedding 3 $511k Previews

(1.752x) of Priscilla $788k Previews

Comps AVG: $650k

 

*Not counting EA sales* 

Might be worth roping in No Hard Feelings as a comp too

 

(not that anyone really cares what this film makes)

[keysersoze123]

On 12/17/2023 at 3:40 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 144221/373283 1823287.77 2639 shows

12/26 - 38031/341952 483451.01 2392 shows

 

 

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 157371/393245 1986805.97 2770 shows

12/26 - 41994/358197 534336.8 2496 shows

 

its more than a day(28 hrs ish worth of data), but this is something unprecedented. Probably still honing in on 20m OD unless final day walkups are not great. 

[CJohn]

The Color Purple really gonna slay hard. Good. Hopefully Migration has some great legs even if it opens with only 10M or so.

[abracadabra1998]

1 hour ago, M37 said:

Might be worth roping in No Hard Feelings as a comp too

 

(not that anyone really cares what this film makes)

 

 

I care about this movie and wanna see it do well!

 

🥺 If only to see an original rom com do well in this day and age...

[ringedmortality]

1 minute ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

 

I care about this movie and wanna see it do well!

 

🥺 If only to see an original rom com do well in this day and age...

 

I just want another movie to make over 30M DOM at the very least

[VanillaSkies]

3 hours ago, filmlover said:

Random.

 

 

Looking at various MTC1 theatres in NY and LA, this is actually selling pretty decently for tomorrow? Maybe a sign it will be a walk-up movie? I wonder if it’s good, if they are giving it this last minute sneak. 
 

EDIT - hmmm, looks like Wednesday night preview showings have just popped up now too. They’re definitely trying to get word of mouth going for the weekend. But is it any good?!?!? 

Edited December 19, 2023 by VanillaSkies

[filmlover]

I was actually looking forward to Anyone But You when it was first announced since it would be nice to see Powell score a win as a lead and the director made some of the better comedies of the early 2010s but it's shaping up to be a total dump of a release that won't go anywhere between the botched and confused marketing campaign, unproven stars in the leads, poor release date, and a theatrical climate that clearly doesn't favor comedies right now. Hard to imagine it's going to make much more than Bros did at this point.

[lorddemaxus]

6 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I was actually looking forward to Anyone But You when it was first announced since it would be nice to see Powell score a win as a lead and the director made some of the better comedies of the early 2010s but it's shaping up to be a total dump of a release that won't go anywhere between the botched and confused marketing campaign, unproven stars in the leads, poor release date, and a theatrical climate that clearly doesn't favor comedies right now. Hard to imagine it's going to make much more than Bros did at this point.

If you're talking about Easy A, he didn't write that. He did write Friends with Benefits though and that film is ridiculously boring

Edited December 19, 2023 by lorddemaxus

[filmlover]

8 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

If you're talking about Easy A, he didn't write that. He did write Friends with Benefits though and that film is ridiculously boring

I was speaking specifically about movies he directed only. I actually liked FWB, no classic but certainly better than a number of the junky comedies made during that period where Hollywood was chasing that Hangover/Bridesmaids R-rated comedy money until that particular well had completely run dry.

[TheFlatLannister]

2 hours ago, M37 said:

Might be worth roping in No Hard Feelings as a comp too

 

(not that anyone really cares what this film makes)

I attempted to earlier this afternoon but it spit out a high number so I just left it out

 

 

($1.55m)

Note: No Hard Feelings had a great late surge here so I will try again on T-0

[abracadabra1998]

7 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

I attempted to earlier this afternoon but it spit out a high number so I just left it out

 

 

($1.55m)

Note: No Hard Feelings had a great late surge here so I will try again on T-0

 

Mine would be at over $2 million so same lol... I think No Hard Feelings just had a super strong late surge a la Insidious where it makes most situations hard to compare it with.

[abracadabra1998]

Night Swim went on sale today... ran some numbers quickly and got 14 tickets sold in this first day, around half of Thanksgiving's first day. Anyways, pretty irrelevant and won't update until after Christmas but did want to give that heads up that it is now on sale.