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Shawn Robbins

The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

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On 6/21/2024 at 7:19 AM, vafrow said:

 

Quiet Place Day One, T-7, Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 43

New Sales: 14

Growth: 19%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 3.1

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Tickets by Showtime Slot 

Late Afternoon: 3/2

Early Evening: 33/6

Late Evening: 7/6

 

Tickets by Format

Dolby: 15/7

IMAX: 20/5

4DX: 8/2

 

Comps

0.573x KOTPOTA for $2.9M

 0.434x Furiosa for $1.5M

0.381x KFP4 for $1.4M

 

Average: $2.2M

 

Still not very active. 

 

Quiet Place Day One, T-6, Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 48

New Sales: 5

Growth: 12%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 3.4

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Tickets by Showtime Slot 

Late Afternoon: 3/2

Early Evening: 38/6

Late Evening: 7/6

 

Tickets by Format

Dolby: 15/7

IMAX: 25/5

4DX: 8/2

 

Comps

0.578x KOTPOTA for $2.9M

 0.457x Furiosa for $1.6M

0.356x KFP4 for $1.4M

 

Average: $2.1M

 

Still waiting for something to start moving.

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On 6/21/2024 at 7:14 AM, vafrow said:

 

Despicable Me 4, T-13 Wednesday Opening, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 100

New Sales: 9

Growth: 10%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 38

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.6

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime Slot

Noon: 14/8

Early Afternoon: 29/8

Late Afternoon: 15/8

Early Evening: 40/7

Late Evening: 2/7

 

Sales by Format

Regular: 9/7

Regular 3D: 2/5

Dolby: 64/14

Dolby 3D: 4/2

IMAX: 21/10

 

Comps

2.857x Inside Out 2 for $37.1M

1.852x Kung Fu Panda 4 for $8.9M

2.222x GB:FE for $8.2M

4.167x Wonka for $14.6M

25.000x Garfield for $47.5M

33.333x IF for $58.3M

Average: $29.1M

 

Steady and consistent.

 

Despicable Me 4, T-12 Wednesday Opening, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 112

New Sales: 12

Growth: 12%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 38

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.9

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime Slot

Noon: 15/8

Early Afternoon: 29/8

Late Afternoon: 15/8

Early Evening: 51/7

Late Evening: 2/7

 

Sales by Format

Regular: 9/7

Regular 3D: 5/5

Dolby: 73/14

Dolby 3D: 4/2

IMAX: 21/10

 

Comps

2.732x Inside Out 2 for $35.5M

2.074x Kung Fu Panda 4 for $10.0M

2.333x GB:FE for $8.6M

4.308x Wonka for $15.1M

28.000x Garfield for $53.2M

14.000x IF for $24.5M

Average: $24.5M

 

It's staying above 10% a day. Remarkable consistency.

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15 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Deadline just reported $1.45 Million for Bikeriders from “advance screenings and Thursday previews”

 

Underperformed in my market for sure but I wonder how much was actually EA versus Thursday 

We might never know 🥲

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On 6/21/2024 at 8:42 AM, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-35 Thursday: 24878/207557

T-36 Friday: 15212/271893

T-37 Saturday: 10852/284179

T-38 Sunday: 3505/282093

 

Numbers from yesterday

CANADAMTC1 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-34 Thursday: 25079/207557

T-35 Friday: 15426/271893

T-36 Saturday: 11021/284179

T-37 Sunday: 3550/282093

 

Yesterday's numbers again

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On 6/21/2024 at 8:44 AM, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 Despicable Me 4

T-13 Wednesday: 1167/230098

T-14 Thursday: 255/229845

T-15 Friday: 441/235194

T-16 Saturday: 781/238202

CANADAMTC1 Despicable Me 4

T-12 Wednesday: 1317/230098

T-13 Thursday: 273/229845

T-14 Friday: 487/235194

T-15 Saturday: 848/238202

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On 6/21/2024 at 8:46 AM, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 A Quiet Place Day One

T-7 Thursday: 614/85461

T-8 Friday: 725/142506

T-9 Saturday: 377/157746

T-10 Sunday: 173/156530

CANADAMTC1 A Quiet Place Day One

T-6 Thursday: 681/85461

T-7 Friday: 841/142506

T-8 Saturday: 411/157746

T-9 Sunday: 197/156530

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MaXXXine, counted yesterday for Friday, July 5, had already 247 sold tickets (with shows in 6 theaters, no shows in the small AMC in Texas). 14 days left.

Solid presales everywhere and very good ones in the AMCs Universal Cinema and Metreon in California. 

 

Rough comps (all 4 movies counted also for Friday): X (4.3M OW) had 50 sold tickets on Monday of the release week = 10 days left for MaXXXine to increase the margin. 

Pearl (4.3M OW) had 50 sold tickets with 8 days left and 98 sold tickets on Monday of the release week = 6 respectively 10 days left to increase the margin. 

Infinity Pool (2.5M OW) had on Monday of the release week 68 sold tickets. 

And Halloween Ends (40.05M OW) had with 10 days left 424 sold tickets. 

 

The Watchers (7M OW) had with 8 days left and counted for Thursday 37 sold tickets. 

And The Strangers: Chapter One (11.8M OW) had on Monday of the release week 215 sold tickets for Thursday. 

 

You see, it's looking good in my theaters 🙂.

 

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10 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Rather than totally free tickets like KFP4 got, XFinity has just released a BOGO to DM4 for all Xfinity Reward members...

 

Getting the ball rolling for the kid movie...

Some of these companies are realizing that when you give people a bit of a break you end up making even more money! Who'd have thunk it? 

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On 6/18/2024 at 10:54 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 3714/66111 80510.26 291 shows

Previews(7/18) - 8960/547819 174987.72 2682 shows

 

11 days of update. Not much of a pace yet. 

Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 4135/66111 89428.73 291 shows +421

Previews(7/18) - 9772/548350 190707.74 2688 shows +812

 

Slightly under 4 days of presales. Still terrible. 

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17 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 4135/66111 89428.73 291 shows +421

Previews(7/18) - 9772/548350 190707.74 2688 shows +812

 

Slightly under 4 days of presales. Still terrible. 

I hope final week will be really good because at this rate the opening will be not good at all

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On 6/17/2024 at 5:12 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 


A QUIET PLACE: DAY ONE

 

Thursday 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

485

2425

95249

2.5%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

214

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

1

 

COMPS

T-10

(1.104x) of Furosia $3.86M

(1.186x) of Apes $5.93M 

(1.836x) of Civil War $5.32M 
Comps AVG: $5.04M 

 

No change in prediction 

FLORIDA 


A QUIET PLACE: DAY ONE

 

Thursday 

 

T-5

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

485

2900

95249

3.0%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

217

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-5

(0.952x) of Bad Boys 4 $5.62M

(1.050x) of Apes $5.25M 

(1.514x) of Civil War $4.39M 
Comps AVG: $5.09M 

 

Still looking at $5M, with a chance at $6M

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2 hours ago, AniNate said:

Maybe it's just me but Bikeriders seems to be selling really well around here today. Feel like that Deadline weekend estimate is gonna be a massive lowball

Please please please

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On 6/21/2024 at 10:44 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Horizon Chapter 1 MTC1

Previews - 2809/102774 34324.43 958 shows

Friday - 3283/156107 39994.11 1416 shows

 

If this was the only data on the movie, I would have predicted a mega bomb. But this is not a MTC1 movie. So data is irrelevant. 

Horizon Chapter 1 MTC1

Previews(T-5) - 3407/104211 41459.35 971 shows +598 

Friday - 4147/157981 50308.53 1434 shows +864

 

Almost 2 days worth(at least day hours) worth of data. I ran it now to gauge the pace. Nothing to say about this except its not gong to be about previews . May be walkups on thursday would take it above 1m previews. Probably low double digit OW as older audience would come come over the weekend. if it over performs in heartland it could even hit low teens. But that is the peak I see.  

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On 6/17/2024 at 3:14 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Despicable Me 4 MTC1 Friday - 5491/1068097 86945.53 5612 shows

 

I thought its possible that it could be backloaded. Nah. let us see where things stand Monday after next. As of now it has sold < 1 ticket per show 🙂

 

On 6/17/2024 at 10:41 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Despicable Me 4 MTC1 OD - 12016/1049671 201872.01 5540 shows +3587

 

few hours under a week of updates. Pace is really meh. I will see how the pace goes up this week but its slipping against IO2 Friday. IO2 had probably the best finish any movie has ever had and so the comps will be worse. If I have to guess its looking at 25m ish for wednesday and 5 day in 110m ish levels. 

Despicable Me 4 MTC1

Wednesday(T-11) - 18815/1068220 313345.80 5642 shows +6799

Friday(7/5) - 7398/1093314 119132.42 5750 shows +1907

 

Wednesday pace seem to be going up. Friday is moribund. 

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On 6/21/2024 at 7:44 PM, keysersoze123 said:

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-6) - 32283/526248 648723.39 2570 shows +2002 

Friday - 22622/966263 437411.88 4736 shows +2110

 

Slowly going up. Monday pace will be critical to see where it ends up. its ahead of Apes at the moment. So still going for 6/50 OW. 

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-5) - 34775/526898 696110.83 2573 shows +2492

Friday - 25125/967597 484581.09 4746 shows +2503

 

Definitely looking like its accelerating for final surge. Based on Inside Out 2 hold this weekend, it will need high 50s OW to win the weekend. I wont rule it out but it will need final week similar to Apes to get there. 

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On 6/19/2024 at 11:28 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Opening Day:

 

Despicable Me 4 (T-14):

Day: T-14 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 24 theaters 298 119 181 48842 0.37

 

Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage:
PLFs: 111 77 61.33
MTC1: 79 36 43.65
Other chains: 102 83 56.35

 

Comps:

0.83x Inside Out 2: $10.79 Million

1.34x Kung Fu Panda 4: $5.08 Million (17 theaters)


Not bad at this point of its run, all about the final week and walk-ups though obviously

 

Minnesota Opening Day:

 

Despicable Me 4 (T-11):

Day: T-11 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 24 theaters 301 102 283 49281 0.57

 

Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage:
PLFs: 148 37 52.3
MTC1: 130 51 45.94
Other chains: 153 51 54.06

 

Comps (previews):

1.01x Inside Out 2: $13.19 Million

1.5x Kung Fu Panda 4: $5.71 Million (17 theaters)

 

Comps (Opening Day):

0.88x Paw Patrol The Mighty Movie: $5.99 Million (17 theaters)

 

Really good update, hope it continues trending upward

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42 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Opening Day:

 

Despicable Me 4 (T-11):

Day: T-11 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 24 theaters 301 102 283 49281 0.57

 

Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage:
PLFs: 148 37 52.3
MTC1: 130 51 45.94
Other chains: 153 51 54.06

 

Comps (previews):

1.01x Inside Out 2: $13.19 Million

1.5x Kung Fu Panda 4: $5.71 Million (17 theaters)

 

Comps (Opening Day):

0.88x Paw Patrol The Mighty Movie: $5.99 Million (17 theaters)

 

Really good update, hope it continues trending upward

These numbers are terrible. if it opens to say 20m OD, that is not good. But that said you dont have any good comps. We dont have too many movies that skip previews and go for OD. Mario is the best comp but we need to get closer to judge pace relative to Mario which was a monster in the final week(only surpassed by Inside Out 2 last week).

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