The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Flip]

25 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Despicable Me 4 MTC1 Wednesday(T-10) - 20359/1068512 338861.66 5644 shows +1544

 

Just Wednesday. I dont think rest of the week matters. It will follow atypical drop/increase for that week anyway. Big question is how it accelerates next week. I am not sure its going to get even a "review boost" as its already out in few OS markets. Ideally that should build the hype. I cannot see any so far. 

FYI Mario was at 74,554 with 4107 sales for T-10. They are not perfect comps(Mario has big fan base)but in the end they will be comparable.  

Minions 2 was really helped not only by gentle minions trend, but also by its soundtrack, in particular songs by the rapper Yeat, who is pretty popular with gen z. If they don’t have another hit song in it DM4 will suffer

[ThomasNicole]

It’s pretty much impossible to read DM4 sales accurately because this franchise behave so weirdly. That said, this feels closer to DM3 on box office (250M-ish DOM) than Minions 2 that was clearly about to do 200-ish at best before TikTok mania.

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-5) - 34775/526898 696110.83 2573 shows +2492

Friday - 25125/967597 484581.09 4746 shows +2503

 

Definitely looking like its accelerating for final surge. Based on Inside Out 2 hold this weekend, it will need high 50s OW to win the weekend. I wont rule it out but it will need final week similar to Apes to get there. 

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 38030/526891 756550.96 2574 shows +3255

Friday - 28956/967732 555318.82 4750 shows +3831

 

it probably needs to finish strong like 5K, 9K, 11K, 50K to finish above 6m previews and great walkups over the weekend to have a big OW. I wont rule it out but let us wait and see. 

[lorddemaxus]

1 hour ago, Flip said:

Minions 2 was really helped not only by gentle minions trend, but also by its soundtrack, in particular songs by the rapper Yeat, who is pretty popular with gen z. If they don’t have another hit song in it DM4 will suffer

The soundtrack for that movie wasn’t the popular. The yeat song you mentioned only got to 99 in the billboard top 100

[Inceptionzq]

9 hours ago, vafrow said:

Btw, I appreciate these posts, as it's giving me a good gauge to compare my MTC4/CANADAMTC1* against (we should land on a common naming convention. I'm flexible).

I honestly forgot that MTC4 was already being used for the chain, so I'll start doing that. More short and sweet anyways

[Inceptionzq]

10 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-33 Thursday: 25390/207557

T-34 Friday: 15720/271893

T-35 Saturday: 11326/284179

T-36 Sunday: 3638/282093

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-32 Thursday: 25632/207557

T-33 Friday: 15988/271893

T-34 Saturday: 11557/284179

T-35 Sunday: 3730/282093

[Inceptionzq]

10 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 Despicable Me 4

T-11 Wednesday: 1536/230098

T-12 Thursday: 365/229845

T-13 Friday: 556/235194

T-14 Saturday: 958/238202

MTC4 Despicable Me 4

T-10 Wednesday: 1743/230098

T-11 Thursday: 462/229845

T-12 Friday: 612/235194

T-13 Saturday: 1077/238202

[Inceptionzq]

10 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 A Quiet Place Day One

T-5 Thursday: 831/85461

T-6 Friday: 1069/142506

T-7 Saturday: 521/157746

T-8 Sunday: 278/156530

MTC4 A Quiet Place Day One

T-4 Thursday: 1034/85461

T-5 Friday: 1395/142506

T-6 Saturday: 656/157746

T-7 Sunday: 325/156530

[Porthos]

On 6/23/2024 at 2:05 AM, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-33 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28181	33625	5444	16.19%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

50

 

T-33 Comp                 TOO EARLY TO TAKE SERIOUSLY EDITION

%

Sold T-33

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

BP2

119.94

160

4539

0/294

32483/37022

12.26%

16800

32.40%

33.58m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      1153/12925  [8.92% sold]
Matinee:    292/4469  [6.53% | 5.36% of all tickets sold]
3D:             580/6801  [8.53% | 10.65% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        2847/11535  [24.68% | 52.30% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV        42 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    47 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-32 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28143	33625	5482	16.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

38

 

T-32 Comp                 TOO EARLY TO TAKE SERIOUSLY EDITION

%

Sold T-32

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

BP2

118.71

79

4618

0/294

32404/37022

12.47%

16800

32.63%

33.24m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1159/12925  [8.97% sold]
Matinee:    296/4469  [6.62% | 5.40% of all tickets sold]
3D:             588/6801  [8.65% | 10.73% of all tickets sold]
PLF:       2864/11535  [24.83% | 52.24% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV        33 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    35 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

[vafrow]

On 6/23/2024 at 6:34 AM, vafrow said:

 

Quiet Place Day One, T-5, Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 68

New Sales: 20

Growth: 42%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 4.9

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Tickets by Showtime Slot 

Late Afternoon: 3/2

Early Evening: 44/6

Late Evening: 21/6

 

Tickets by Format

Dolby: 17/7

IMAX: 31/5

4DX: 20/2

 

Comps

0.680x KOTPOTA for $3.4M

 0.613x Furiosa for $2.1M

0.442x KFP4 for $1.7M

 

Average: $2.5M

 

Nice bump fueled by some smaller group purchases. I'm hoping it's the start of a trend.

 

Quiet Place Day One, T-4, Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 77

New Sales: 9

Growth: 13%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 5.5

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Tickets by Showtime Slot 

Late Afternoon: 3/2

Early Evening: 53/6

Late Evening: 21/6

 

Tickets by Format

Dolby: 26/7

IMAX: 31/5

4DX: 20/2

 

Comps

0.688x KOTPOTA for $3.4M

 0.621x Furiosa for $2.2M

0.379x KFP4 for $1.4M

 

Average: $2.4M

 

Treading water when I was hoping for some growth. 

[vafrow]

On 6/23/2024 at 6:39 AM, vafrow said:

 

Despicable Me 4, T-11 Wednesday Opening, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 126

New Sales: 14

Growth: 13%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 38

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 3.3

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime Slot

Noon: 23/8

Early Afternoon: 29/8

Late Afternoon: 15/8

Early Evening: 57/7

Late Evening: 2/7

 

Sales by Format

Regular: 11/7

Regular 3D: 5/5

Dolby: 85/14

Dolby 3D: 4/2

IMAX: 21/10

 

Comps

2.211x Inside Out 2 for $28.7M

2.250x Kung Fu Panda 4 for $10.8M

2.291x GB:FE for $8.5M

4.846x Wonka for $17.0M

31.500x Garfield for $59.9M

15.750x IF for $27.6M

Average: $25.4M

 

It keeps chugging along.

 

Despicable Me 4, T-10 Wednesday Opening, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 147

New Sales: 21

Growth: 17%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 38

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 3.3

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime Slot

Noon: 26/8

Early Afternoon: 29/8

Late Afternoon: 20/8

Early Evening: 69/7

Late Evening: 3/7

 

Sales by Format

Regular: 11/7

Regular 3D: 6/5

Dolby: 102/14

Dolby 3D: 4/2

IMAX: 24/10

 

Comps

2.262x Inside Out 2 for $29.4M

2.262x Kung Fu Panda 4 for $10.9M

2.625x GB:FE for $9.7M

4.083x Wonka for $14.3M

147.000x Garfield for $279.3M*

36.750x IF for $64.3M

Average: $25.7M

 

*Garfield lost what few sales they had around this time. Ignoring this for average for obvious reasons.

 

Another reasonable day.

[cannastop]

Is anyone seeing technical difficulties with Fandango and MTC1?

I get errors whenever I try to use it. but the MTC1's app and website still works.

[Maggie]

If Inside Out 2 arrives at $60M for a weekend 3, it will likely beat this weekend’s newcomer, A Quiet Place: Day One which is hovering at $42M+ with Imax per tracking.

 

https://deadline.com/2024/06/box-office-inside-out-2-record-bikeriders-1235980501/

[Flip]

11 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

The soundtrack for that movie wasn’t the popular. The yeat song you mentioned only got to 99 in the billboard top 100

I’m talking about on TikTok, it was a very big song there (over 1m posts with the song)

[abracadabra1998]

On 6/20/2024 at 11:56 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

A Quiet Place: Day One (T-7):

Day: T-7	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	138	130	326	23344	1.4

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		250	99	76.69
MTC1:		231	77	70.86
Other chains:		95	53	29.14

 

Comps:

1.13x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $5.64 Million

0.84x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $3.79 Million (17 theaters)

1.93x Exorcist Believer: $5.51 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $4.98 Million

 

Still struggling to come up with comps for this, a blockbuster with some built-in audience but that is very backloaded due to the horror nature of it. Idk man

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

A Quiet Place: Day One (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	138	90	426	23458	1.82

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		296	46	69.48
MTC1:		275	44	64.55
Other chains:		151	46	35.45

 

Comps:

0.94x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $4.68 Million

0.89x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $3.98 Million (17 theaters)

1.9x Exorcist Believer: $5.42 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $4.69 Million

 

All of these numbers are from yesterday. Hope it starts accelerating now

 

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, Maggie said:

If Inside Out 2 arrives at $60M for a weekend 3, it will likely beat this weekend’s newcomer, A Quiet Place: Day One which is hovering at $42M+ with Imax per tracking.

 

https://deadline.com/2024/06/box-office-inside-out-2-record-bikeriders-1235980501/

its possible for Quiet Place to have meh walkups, but I am skeptical it will end up that low. 

[keysersoze123]

7 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-32 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28143	33625	5482	16.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

38

 

T-32 Comp                 TOO EARLY TO TAKE SERIOUSLY EDITION

%

Sold T-32

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

BP2

118.71

79

4618

0/294

32404/37022

12.47%

16800

32.63%

33.24m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1159/12925  [8.97% sold]
Matinee:    296/4469  [6.62% | 5.40% of all tickets sold]
3D:             588/6801  [8.65% | 10.73% of all tickets sold]
PLF:       2864/11535  [24.83% | 52.24% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV        33 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    35 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

I think this was an anomaly for Wakanda right. Its pace was > 100 tickets every day going forward if I am not wrong. Next 20 days Wakanda will catch up to Deadpool's total. Of course Deadpool can finish stronger as it was in steady state for really long. 

 

Still I think Thor would be the best comp. That will take couple of weeks before the comps make sense. 

[abracadabra1998]

Minnesota Previews:

 

Horizon: Chapter 1 (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 22 theaters	55	108	108	5730	1.88

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		19	19	17.59
MTC1:		39	39	36.11
Other chains:		69	69	63.89

 

Comps:

1.19x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $1.01 Million

3.11x Arthur the King: $2.57 Million

3.11x Ordinary Angels: $885k

 

Average: $1.49 Million

 

Bikeriders comp tomorrow will probably be my best one here

 

Blue Lock the Movie: Episode Nagi (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 10 theaters	28	22	22	2471	0.89

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		17	17	77.27
Other chains:		5	5	22.73

 

Comps:

0.08x Spy x Family Code White: $55k

 

Yo wtf? Didn't realize this was gonna be so bad, wouldn't have bothered if I did  

[jeffthehat]

Indiana

A Quiet Place: Day One T-3

Sales	Seats	Shows
571*	17957	109

TC=26, pulled 11 AM EST

Comps

0.76x Furiosa T-3 = $2.65m*

0.35x GxK NE T-3 = $3.54m*

1.24x Civil War T-3 = $3.59m*

0.80x Bad Boys 4 T-3 = $4.45m*

* missing biggest theater

 

AVG = $3.56m

Adjusted AVG = $4.13m

 

Sales at the busiest theater aren't loading at all today. Here's the percentage of sales it represented for a few of the comps 

 

GxK NE T-3 = 11%

Bad Boys 4 T-2 = 12%

Furiosa T-2 = 25%

 

AVG = 16%

 

The adjusted number is $3.56m * 1.16. Take it with a grain of salt 

 

 

 

 

[The Wild Eric]

Quorum Updates

Despicable Me 4 T-9: 69.7% Awareness, 59.16% Interest

Fly Me to the Moon T-18: 35.04% Awareness, 44.7% Interest

Longlegs T-18: 17.88% Awareness, 45.47% Interest

Killer's Game T-81: 15.78% Awareness, 42.17% Interest

 

A Quiet Place: Day One T-4: 40.11% Awareness, 53.78% Interest

Final Awareness: 79% chance of 10M, 48% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 30M, 16% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 45% chance of 20M, 18% chance of 40M

Final Interest: 94% chance of 10M, 80% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 47% chance of 40M

Horror Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 69% chance of 20M, 38% chance of 30M, 15% chance of 40M

 

Horizon: An American Saga Chapter 1 T-4: 28.45% Awareness, 38.89% Interest

Final Awareness: 18% chance of 10M

Medium Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 20% chance of 10M

Medium Interest: 33% chance of 10M

 

MaXXXine T-11: 19.48% Awareness, 33.8% Interest

Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 20% chance of 10M

Horror Interest: 25% chance of 10M

 

Deadpool & Wolverine T-32: 67.67% Awareness, 66.94% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 83% chance of 90M, 67% chance of 100M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 100M

T-30 Interest: 100% chance of 50M, 83% chance of 70M, 67% chance of 100M

DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M

 

Trap T-39: 25.03% Awareness, 47.89% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 61% chance of 10M, 22% chance of 20M

T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M

Horror Interest: 65% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M

 

The Forge T-60: 13.99% Awareness, 37.65% Interest

T-60 Awareness: 30% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 26% chance of 10M

T-60 Interest: 35% chance of 10M

Low Interest: 23% chance of 10M