Weekend Thread | Estimates - Barbie $53M (hit a billion!), Meg2 $30M, Oppy $28.7, TMNT - $27.95M (5-day $43M), HauntedMansion $8.97M

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

3 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Doesn't seem to be doing much in Japan from what i've seen so it's likely dead.

The opening is fine in Japan, August is one of the leggiest months so $500m is still pretty safe imo

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[M37]

11 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Part of it is also screen count. Many theaters will keep a screen and showings for a movie specifically for animation/children/family. Elemental benefitted from that all summer, and now those are finally taken away now that there’s a new animated flick

Precisely, and no different than Bad Guys getting kneecapped by Lightyear after it’s leggy run, including 3 consecutive sub-30% drops, or Super Pets vs Lyle Crocodile (10/7) after doing the same 

Edited August 5, 2023 by M37

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[John Marston]

37 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

 

An alright hold. Even last week’s hold was not awful considering the number of screens it lost. Showing again that Barbenheimer was the main thing that crippled this movie. I think it even hurt the opening weekend since loads of people were saving up for the next week l

Edited August 5, 2023 by John Marston

[Valonqar]

I need Oppenheimer to do 229M this weekend to even out with TLM at the same point in its run. It's become quite funny to watch movies that no one expected to blow past a Disney family movie (Barbenheimer) doing just that dom, OS, WW. 

 

Barbillion today or tomorrow? 

[redfirebird2008]

50 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

Already made it above Dunkirk’s worldwide total in 3 weekends. Not bad!

[Grebacio]

55 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

more than 60% drop from true first Friday

 

 

 

Under 100M ww?

[harrisonisdead]

Quote

Paramount is calling dibs on second with $30M for Turtles and a great 5-day of $45M for this $70M production.

Paramount with the shenanigans. Not only playing around with previews but also putting out a useless estimate to shoehorn themselves into second place, surely? Like, even if we pretended that $9.3M were the true Friday, it'd still be rather optimistic to say it gets to $30M, right? With the actual Friday being a little over $7.5M, this projection could be several million off and put TMNT in a not-even-that-close 4th place.

[Krissykins]

17 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

That’s actually ok considering Thursday presales looked like $2m for so long. 
 

Still, the last one opened to $45m. 

[ringedmortality]

18 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

I will say, especially for a British audience which are normally pretty reserved, Transformers 2 is one of the most hype crowds I've seen a movie with.

You’re British? That’s kind of disappointing 

[Blankments]

8 hours ago, Eric the Turtle said:

@Blankments lmao how the hell did you get the trailer for Oppy 30 times?

essentially it was attached to every non-family tentpole for the last year + the Music Box has been heavily pushing it since May lol

 

Oppy does indeed take the new record for most received trailer ever, over BP2

Edited August 5, 2023 by Blankments

[Krissykins]

39 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

$9.3m Friday for TMNT seems solid, 43-45m 5 day. 
 

More than I thought it would make in total lol. 

 

37 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

It’s not a real $9.3M, they’re including the sneaks and EA. A la MI7

Ah woops! I forgot about those. Still more than I thought it would make when the trailer dropped either way. 

[CJohn]

My poor shark deserved better. Deserved a better first 70 minutes sweet jesus who approved this boring trash?

[John Marston]

The Meg movies just don’t deliver the fun you would expect with a movie with those premises. Deep Blue Sea is probably way better than both Meg movies combined 

[Truckasaurus]

Really need TMNT to come under 30M and Meg under 28M (which may or may not be due to gambling reasons, will not confirm 🤫)

[vale9001]

So with that friday again 55M chances for Barbie?

Edited August 5, 2023 by vale9001

[Issac Newton]

Industry estimates have Barbie as box office queen bee with $54M+ in weekend 3 after a $17M Friday, but there’s a fierce battle for second place –how great is that?– between Paramount’s Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem, Oppenheimer and The Meg 2: The Trench with an industry average of $29M apiece. Paramount is calling dibs on second with $30M for Turtles and a great 5-day of $45M for this $70M production.

 

Warner Bros.’ The Meg 2: The Trench, which got a B- to the first installment’s B+, is eyeing $28M after a $12M Friday.

[M37]

14 minutes ago, harrisonisdead said:

Paramount with the shenanigans. Not only playing around with previews but also putting out a useless estimate to shoehorn themselves into second place, surely? Like, even if we pretended that $9.3M were the true Friday, it'd still be rather optimistic to say it gets to $30M, right? With the actual Friday being a little over $7.5M, this projection could be several million off and put TMNT in a not-even-that-close 4th place.

Something like +35/-20% = ~3.5x Fri sounds about right, adding in the extra ~$2M from EA is higher $20s, so $30M isn’t that far off, though unlikely to hit that mark 

[WorkingonaName]

3 minutes ago, Truckasaurus said:

Really need TMNT to come under 30M and Meg under 28M (which may or may not be due to gambling reasons, will not confirm 🤫)

My man.