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Dune 2 Opening Weekend Thread [3/01/24 -3/03/24] [82.5m DOM OW]

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4 hours ago, stephanos13 said:

 

Third year in a row we have this situation.

 

Avatar The Way of Water, Oppenheimer and now Dune II.

 

We are probably going to see more of this happening in the future if the demand is bigger than what the theaters can offer.

 

Yeah, I had been thinking like most here that Dune 2 would be frontloaded with fanboy rush, but the way regular showtimes are half-empty or less while premium screens for next weekend are already filling up, I'm starting to wonder if this could have some softer-than-expected drops in at least the next 2-3 weekends (depending on how many screens it can keep away from Ghostbusters). It won't be nearly as leggy as those two were, but I am starting to wonder for the first time if a 3+ multiplier is possible. 

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Kinda feels like A24 gave up on this after they had to move it for the strike (while they put all their efforts into Love Lies Bleeding and Civil War), so a $20-25k PTA for the weekend would be pretty decent, second best PTA of the year so far behind only The Taste of Things. Maybe it can make $1-2M total?

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For someone who doesn't enjoy Part 1, Dune 2 definitely has my attention and I am very into it. The entire cast is giving their peak level of performance. Was surprised Dune 1 got a A- cinemascore but feel more like a B movie but this one totally deserve a A cinemascore. 

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5 hours ago, stephanos13 said:

 

Third year in a row we have this situation.

 

Avatar The Way of Water, Oppenheimer and now Dune II.

 

We are probably going to see more of this happening in the future if the demand is bigger than what the theaters can offer.

Why not go 4 years and include Dune I? Was the overall viewership at the time (plus a bare bones slate) counteracting this? It was also massively PLF skewed.

Edited by PlatnumRoyce
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- (2) The Chosen: Season 4 Epis… Fathom Events $970,610 +28%   2,215 $438 $1,731,240 2
- (8) Migration Universal $450,000 +225% -31% 2,204 $204 $121,406,880 71
- (7) Argylle Universal $360,000 +124% -51% 2,283 $158 $42,928,805 29
- (6) Drive-Away Dolls Focus Features $290,000 +62% -71% 2,278 $127 $3,613,570 8
- (-) Night Swim Universal $68,000 +216% -39% 326 $209 $32,071,460 57
- (-) Problemista A24 $46,788     5 $9,358 $46,788 360
- (-) Lisa Frankenstein Focus Features $32,000 -11% -81% 294 $109 $9,621,105 22
- (-) The Zone of Interest A24 $31,905   -56% 571 $56 $7,638,035 78
- (-) The Holdovers Focus Features $25,000 +449% +180% 326 $77 $20,127,660 127
- (-) Oppenheimer Universal $21,000 +298% +606% 453 $46 $329,049,200 225
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Everyone forgets the box office curse would never allow dune to end in the 200Ms. Either it ends up high 100s like JW4 and goes on a crazy run to over 300M like Oppenheimer. There is no in-between.

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Just now, Shawn Robbins said:

32.2 official Fri est with previews 

 

Really good number. I know in 2021 Covid was at its peak and whatnot, but Dune 2's OD beeing only 8M less than the first ones OW has to be seen as a stellar result.

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3 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Really good number. I know in 2021 Covid was at its peak and whatnot, but Dune 2's OD beeing only 8M less than the first ones OW has to be seen as a stellar result.

100%

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9 minutes ago, Killimano3 said:

Everyone forgets the box office curse would never allow dune to end in the 200Ms. Either it ends up high 100s like JW4 and goes on a crazy run to over 300M like Oppenheimer. There is no in-between.

 

The range you're talking about is 225-300 (pedantically 225-298), not 200-300.

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I think this is a pretty good result overall. The only way it would "look bad" is for people expecting 85 mil plus OW and the PLF capacity really doesn't exist for that.

 

I was basically worried about under 65 mil OW and that seems unlikely.

Edited by MightyDargon
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16 minutes ago, Shawn Robbins said:

32.2 official Fri est with previews 


Oh so this practically ends any chance of a 80M+, right? I mean Monday isn’t a Holliday, then Sunday box office usually get a considerable drop from Saturday. 

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