Weekend Numbers | estimates | 45.2M GHOSTBUSTERS: FROZEN EMPIRE | 17.6M DUNE II | 16.8M KFP IV

[cannastop]

Just now, kayumanggi said:

 

ONWARD was 88% among critics and 95% among verified audience. It could have been one leggy hit.

yeah it's impossible to judge the movie based on OW because COVID news was ramping up even then.

[Fancyarcher]

5 minutes ago, cannastop said:

You mean anything sub 90% isn't amazing. 🤔

 

I mean Brave and Cars made bank though. And WDAS Wreck-It Ralph also did.

Yup, Cars and Brave were beneficiaries of their then amazing run. 

 

Admittedly I'm going off just two examples, but the Good Dinosaur, and Onward, which was tracking not great even before the pandemic, makes me think that people have too high sky expectations for Pixar. If anything isn't best of the year material, it's not worth running out to the theater to see. Disney animation also has that same problem. 

 

It's also why Elemental's run was fun to follow. It had genuinely great legs, in spite of its low opening. 

Edited March 23 by Fancyarcher

[ThomasNicole]

Onward reviews are very good lol. Not every movie needs 95% and 8.5 average, especially animated movies.

 

It opened low because the trailers aren’t good, there was already some hesitation due to Covid starting to grow etc. In normal conditions it would probably opens to 40-45M and had good legs. 

Same for Soul, Luca and Turning Red. It’s really a shame Lightyear was their theatrical comeback after 4 originals with good or great reviews being screwed.
 

At least they have a small win with Elemental, it’s still the biggest original animation in years and had a great run. 

Edited March 23 by ThomasNicole

[cannastop]

8 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Panda not holding as great as it could, but WOM is not amazing so there’s that. Still 185M seems good. 

I think it's going to be more like $175m. Based on how this weekend will end and the multiplier going forward. 🤷‍♂️

[cannastop]

I was kind of concerned Luca would have done even worse this weekend seeing as Kung Fu Panda 4 was competition but apparently the Soul and TR level of performance is the floor.

[kayumanggi]

4 minutes ago, cannastop said:

yeah it's impossible to judge the movie based on OW because COVID news was ramping up even then.

 

And family movies were the ones affected the most, imo. The movie dropped 72.9% the following week despite staying in the same number of theaters. And then it was pulled out.

[Eric the Ape]

From Deadline

Quote

The chart:

1.) Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (Sony) 4,345 theaters, Fri $16M, 3-day $42M-$44M/Wk 1

2.) Dune: Part Two (Leg/WB) 3,437 theaters (-410), Fri $4.5M (-44%), 3-day $16M (-44%)/Total $231.7M/Wk 4

3.) Kung Fu Panda 4 (Uni/DWA) 3,805 (-262) theaters, Fri $4M (-54%), 3-day $14.5M (-52%), Total $130.9M/Wk 3

4.) Immaculate (NEON) 2,354 theaters, Fri $2M, 3-day $5M/Wk 1

5.)Arthur the King (LG) 3,003 theaters, Fri $1.1M (-61%), 3-day $4M (-48%), Total $14.2M/Wk 2

6.) Late Night With the Devil (IFC),1034 theaters Fri $1.1M, 3-day $2.9M/Wk 1

7.) Imaginary (LG) 2,513 theaters (-605), Fri $755K (-55%) 3-day $2.5M (-55%), Total $23.3M /Wk 3

8.) Love Lies Bleeding (A24) 1,828 theaters (+466) Fri $484K (-56%), 3-day $1.5M (-40%), Total $5.5M/Wk 3

9.) Cabrini (Angel) 1,765 (-1,085) theaters, Fri $410K (-51%) 3-day $1.37M (-51%) Total $16.1M/Wk 3

10.) Bob Marley: One Love (Par) 1,266 theaters (-1066) Fri $295K (-57%), 3-day $1.02M (-55%), Total $95.2M/Wk 6

 

 

[Kon]

18 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

I'm not sure Inmaculate could really be considered a religious film.

[kayumanggi]

So 175M for KFP IV and 275M for DUNE II?

[emoviefan]

It's telling how meh the conversation about  GB:FE is that more people are talking about how a 4 year old movie  animated  movie would have done without Covid as a factor.

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

It's telling how meh the conversation about  GB:FE is that more people are talking about how a 4 year old movie  animated  movie would have done without Covid as a factor.

well yeah but also we're nerds.

[AniNate]

Very conflicting feelings on this next month, looks like it's gonna be terrible for movie theaters compared to last year but great for me personally. Ideally there are humongous breakouts and everyone's happy.

[Kon]

14 minutes ago, Eric Atreides said:

From Deadline

 

 

42M for Ghostbusters Frozen Empire seems a little too high. It will need to make around 15M on Saturday, but it only makes 11.3M on True Friday.

Edited March 23 by Kon

[Cmasterclay]

Horrific weekend as expected, not going to pretend a couple of great reviewed horror movies ending up with like 8m and 4m in total gross is "great" because the studios. We all know they're gonna drop 80% next weekend and disappear on streaming forever. Whistling past the graveyard, folks. Even I, Mr. Complain About Streaming, skipped Love Lies Bleeding and Late Night With The Devil in theaters and am just waiting for streaming. It's just too easy and convenient now. They won. The death rattle for the non event films is going to be this April when Monkey Man (already unperforming dramatically per keyser) doesn't hit 15m and neither does Civil War, and Challengers and the Guy Ritchie both open to about 7m.

Edited March 23 by Cmasterclay

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, Kon said:

42M for Ghostbusters Frozen Empire seems a little too high. It will need to make around 15M on Saturday, but it only makes 11.3M on True Friday.

FRI is more like 10.75. Sony overshot with estimate for OD.

[Unfitclock]

Why is Arthur the king dropping almost 50 percent that film should be dropping the the 30s at the most 

[Cmasterclay]

Just now, Unfitclock said:

Why is Arthur the king dropping almost 50 percent that film should be dropping the the 30s at the most 

Because nobody sees films like this in theaters anymore. Nowadays, if you don't open during the holidays or make yourself an event like Dune, you drop 60% minimum. Will happen to every well reviewed April release too btw.

[AniNate]

Didn't seem like anyone was really that interested in Love Lies Bleeding until it came out so not gonna read much into that. It would be pretty disappointing if Monkey Man ended up doing meh business given the trailer hype, Super Bowl ad, and general online enthusiasm though.

[Maggie]

6 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

The death rattle for the non event films is going to be this April when Monkey Man (already unperforming dramatically per keyser) doesn't hit 15m and neither does Civil War, and Challengers and the Guy Ritchie both open to about 7m.

Yeah, this April's gonna be a wasteland. Studios' fault for not scheduling at least something interesting. I agree with your prediction for the above movies.

[AniNate]

Just now, Maggie said:

Yeah, this April's gonna be a wasteland. Studios' fault for not scheduling at least something interesting. I agree with your prediction for the above movies.

 

Frankly if you don't think there's something interesting in April the problem is you