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Eric is Anxious

INSIDE OUT 2 WEEKEND THREAD | 155M DOM, 140M OS | Summer is back, Disney saves the day! | 😂😢😡🤢😱😰😒🥱😳

By Eric is Anxious, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Eric is Anxious,

Reminder we're having a Father's Day weekend sale now through Tuesday. For only $5, you get two months of a Gold Account. If you want to help support our forum and get great perks like no ads and unlimited likes, no better time to do it than now.    
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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, The Panda said:

 

------------------S TIER PIXAR

Ratatouille

Wall-E

Inside Out

--------------------A TIER PIXAR

Turning Red

Up

Toy Story 2

The Incredibles

Toy Story

----------------------A- TIER PIXAR

Coco

Luca

Soul

Monsters, Inc.

Finding Nemo

---------------------B TIER PIXAR

Toy Story 3

Brave

A Bug's Life

Onward

---------------------C TIER PIXAR

The Good Dinosaur

Elemental

Incredibles 2

Finding Dory

Cars

--------------------F TIER PIXAR

Monsters University

Cars 3

Toy Story 4

Lightyear

Cars 2

 

 

of my god. Terrible takes like putting 3 great movies in C/F tier. I am muting this. 

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AnthonyJPHer Cult Classic

AnthonyJPHer

Posted
Posted

I’m not sure 150m is in the cards here. It’d need 11.6x internal multiplier from 13m previews to do it. Like it’d need masssssive walkups. Is it preforming anywhere near Mario right now?

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emoviefan Box Office Gold

emoviefan

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, The Panda said:

 

------------------S TIER PIXAR

Ratatouille

Wall-E

Inside Out

--------------------A TIER PIXAR

Turning Red

Up

Toy Story 2

The Incredibles

Toy Story

----------------------A- TIER PIXAR

Coco

Luca

Soul

Monsters, Inc.

Finding Nemo

---------------------B TIER PIXAR

Toy Story 3

Brave

A Bug's Life

Onward

---------------------C TIER PIXAR

The Good Dinosaur

Elemental

Incredibles 2

Finding Dory

Cars

--------------------F TIER PIXAR

Monsters University

Cars 3

Toy Story 4

Lightyear

Cars 2

 

 

Toy Story 3 B Tier and 4 F. And Incredibles 2 and Finding Dory C. Okay....

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, cannastop said:

smh a panda giving the panda Pixar movie an A-tier. nepotism. 😠

I only knocked it out of S because of recency bias.

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wildphantom Box Office Gold

wildphantom

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, AniNate said:

I think much of the target audience for Twisters doesn't live in places where you need to buy your ticket a month in advance to get in opening weekend

 

Not the same genre ofc, but we saw a pattern with IO2 where the tracking spiked up as we got closer. Most people just don't want to plan that far ahead for non-superhero movies.

 

 


I concur. I’m not in the most bit worried that nobody has bought their Twisters ticket a month out. It’ll pick up.  I couldn’t be more excited to see it, but I won’t buy my ticket until likely the week before. 

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Eric is Anxious Global Phenomenon

Eric is Anxious

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Posted
1 hour ago, Speedorito said:

Didn’t people say the same thing about The Fall Guy? I feel a lot of films in the past year were supposed to have some sort of walkups, but they just never manifested.

 

IO2 is also a different beast, it’s only really comparable to something like Kung Fu Panda 4 ramping up at the last minute.

 

I just don’t see where the interest, let alone excitement, is for Twisters. At least not yet. Or why we should assume a bunch of flyover state people or whatever you want to call them will show up in droves at the last minute.

I think the one thing that has been consistent, and I'm sure the tracking team can correct me if I'm wrong, is that movies that skew more white typically have bad walk-ups. Elvis, Indiana Jones, Fall Guy, Furiosa, Flower Moon. I think even Top Gun didn't really have big walk-ups.

 

By contrast, stuff skewed more towards Black/Hispanic viewers typically have bigger walk-ups. So GxK, Equalizer, Creed, Apes, Minions, Kung Fu Panda, Inside Out, etc.

 

So yeah. Not a great sign for Twisters, though I believe the consensus is it should still cross 40M at least, maybe even 50M. That's still fine.

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emoviefan Box Office Gold

emoviefan

Posted
Posted

Looking at the Qurom metrics for Twisters. They are not bad. It's opening much better than The Fall Guy for sure. With 5 weeks to go it def has room to go up. And yes I still think the audience it's targeting are not going to be buying tickets 5 weeks out. Does not mean they will bite in the end but the potential is there. At least for OW. After that who knows.

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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, AniNate said:

 

That's why you don't react to month-early tracking for a kids film

In fairness this was after dooming for Wish

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted

A $50M opening for Twisters would definitely be acceptable, especially given that a definite 4 Quad Blockbuster is opening the following weekend (which means a big drop during its second frame obviously, though should be able to stabilize with the dog days of summer commencing afterwards). Anyone who would find themselves disappointed in that result has expectations that were unrealistically high in the first place.

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Eric is Anxious Global Phenomenon

Eric is Anxious

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Reminder we're having a Father's Day weekend sale now through Tuesday. For only $5, you get two months of a Gold Account. If you want to help support our forum and get great perks like no ads and unlimited likes, no better time to do it than now.

 

 

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Liiviig 1998 Box Office Gold

Liiviig 1998

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, ZeroHour said:

Rankings, huh?

 

1. Coco

2. Wall-E

3. Ratatouille

4. Toy Story 3

5. Up

6. Inside Out

7. Elemental

8. Turning Red

9. Soul

10. Finding Nemo

11. Toy Story

12. Toy Story 4

13. The Incredibles

14. Luca

15. Toy Story 2

16. The Incredibles 2

17. Monsters Inc.

18. Onward

19. Monsters University

20. The Good Dinosaur

21. Finding Dory

22. Brave

23. Cars

24. Lightyear

25. A Bug's Life

26. Cars 3

27. Cars 2

Toy story 3

Toy story

Toy story 2

Coco

Finding nemo

Incredibles

UP

Inside out

Ratatouille

Soul

Toy story 4

Monsters inc

Turning red

WALLE

Incredibles 2

Cars

luca

Finding Dory

Elemental

Cars 3

A bug's life

Onward

 

Haven't watched

 

Lightyear- start 30 mins and turned off and had no desire to finish it.

 

Good dinasour

Cars 2 -yes shocker,never watched this 

Monsters university

Brave.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Speedorito Sleeper Hit

Speedorito

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Eric S'ennui said:

I think the one thing that has been consistent, and I'm sure the tracking team can correct me if I'm wrong, is that movies that skew more white typically have bad walk-ups. Elvis, Indiana Jones, Fall Guy, Furiosa, Flower Moon. I think even Top Gun didn't really have big walk-ups.

 

By contrast, stuff skewed more towards Black/Hispanic viewers typically have bigger walk-ups. So GxK, Equalizer, Creed, Apes, Minions, Kung Fu Panda, Inside Out, etc.

 

So yeah. Not a great sign for Twisters, though I believe the consensus is it should still cross 40M at least, maybe even 50M. That's still fine.

I didn’t to want to add on since it seemed like people moved on, but that’s what I was thinking as well. POTA and BB4’s opening weekends overperformed recently, with POTA having 27% Latino and 22% Black, while BB4 had 44% Black. Twisters is expected to be the opposite of that.

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jeffthehat Indie Sensation

jeffthehat

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, AnthonyJPHer said:

I’m not sure 150m is in the cards here. It’d need 11.6x internal multiplier from 13m previews to do it. Like it’d need masssssive walkups. Is it preforming anywhere near Mario right now?

Wouldn’t shock me if today’s number is closer to $50m than $40m. Sales were very strong in Indiana this morning 

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crazymoviekid Cult Classic

crazymoviekid

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, ringedmortality said:

 

I haven't seen Cars 2 or 3 nor do I have any interest in them

Cars 2 is pretty dreadful, but Cars 3 kinda slaps.  Really moving story that just because you get older doesn't mean quitting, but gives you an opportunity for something new.

 

 

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AnthonyJPHer Cult Classic

AnthonyJPHer

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, crazymoviekid said:

Cars 2 is pretty dreadful, but Cars 3 kinda slaps.  Really moving story that just because you get older doesn't mean quitting, but gives you an opportunity for something new.

 

 


finally, someone who thinks Cars 3 is actually pretty good

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crazymoviekid Cult Classic

crazymoviekid

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Toy story 3

Toy story

Toy story 2

Coco

Finding nemo

Incredibles

UP

Inside out

Ratatouille

Soul

Toy story 4

Monsters inc

Turning red

WALLE

Incredibles 2

Cars

luca

Finding Dory

Elemental

Cars 3

A bug's life

Onward

 

Haven't watched

 

Lightyear- start 30 mins and turned off and had no desire to finish it.

 

Good dinasour

Cars 2 -yes shocker,never watched this 

Monsters university

Brave.

 

 

 

 

 

 

If we're ranking...

 

1. Toy Story 3

2. Monsters Inc.

3. The Incredibles

4. Finding Nemo

5. Soul

6. Inside Out

7. Ratatouille

8. Toy Story 2

9. Wall-E

10. Toy Story 4

11. Toy Story

12. Coco

13. Luca

14. Finding Dory

15. Elemental

16. Turning Red

17. A Bug's Life

18. The Incredibles II

19. Onward

20. Cars 3

21. Brave

22. Monsters University

23. Cars

24. Up

25. Lightyear

26. The Good Dinosaur

27. Cars 2

 

Have seen all but A Bug's Life in theaters.

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