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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

By Corpse, in International Box Office

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RJ 95 Sleeper Hit

RJ 95

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Great Saturday increase, I'm always cautious to estimate today number because previously I always overestimate weekdays number but 280-290k seems safe. 310k should be the target for today.

 

If it can reach +300k for today total then 20% drop from last weekend is possible.

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RJ 95 Sleeper Hit

RJ 95

Posted
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14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Great increase for sure. This is gonna just rely on weekend and any other BO boosted days 🙂

Yup, its more weekend heavy than any another animation movie ( probably because its first 4 weekdays on non holiday periond) that makes it much harder to project it Friday-Saturday increase but at least with this weekend we already get a clue, what increase percentage it will get on Saturday. I still think if there isn't any Star Wars movie this December, it should release at least on 2nd week of December. It will get much more from Winter school holidays.

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PKMLover Box Office Gold

PKMLover

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4 minutes ago, Cynosure said:

It's not an evening movie, that's all. We had already seen that last week, to a degree. 

It is not an evening movie so it is understandable if the rate starts to slow down from 8pm. But here, the rate has already been slowing down so much since 4pm, 5pm until 8pm, 9pm.

(I think Saturday from 4pm to 9pm is the peak period for people to go to the theater, right?)

And in contrast, from 10am to 15pm, the rate is super strong, it needs less than 2 hours to double the Friday total gross. 

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RJ 95 Sleeper Hit

RJ 95

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32 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

It is not an evening movie so it is understandable if the rate starts to slow down from 8pm. But here, the rate has already been slowing down so much since 4pm, 5pm until 8pm, 9pm.

(I think Saturday from 4pm to 9pm is the peak period for people to go to the theater, right?)

And in contrast, from 10am to 15pm, the rate is super strong, it needs less than 2 hours to double the Friday total gross. 

It's always like that same with every weekdays and last weekend too. That's why I'm cautious about prediction from 2pm, because it can fluctuate in a big range. Also probably in Japan they like to watch animated movies in earlier time. I mean it kinda make sense with target demographic. No need to overreact. 

 

Still only dropping 33% from last weekend, with tomorrow it will increase at least 50% on  today admission but with lower avg Tix.

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catlover Box Office Gold

catlover

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Posted (edited)
55 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

It is not an evening movie so it is understandable if the rate starts to slow down from 8pm. But here, the rate has already been slowing down so much since 4pm, 5pm until 8pm, 9pm.

(I think Saturday from 4pm to 9pm is the peak period for people to go to the theater, right?)

And in contrast, from 10am to 15pm, the rate is super strong, it needs less than 2 hours to double the Friday total gross. 

The main demographic of Frozen is family, with small children. When do you think they prefer to go to the movie? 4pm to 9pm? Or 10am to 4pm, before the sun sets? Remember, you cannot generalize that for every movie. It depends on the demographic of the movie.

Edited by catlover
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danhtruong5 Sleeper Hit

danhtruong5

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Posted
18 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:

It's always like that same with every weekdays and last weekend too. That's why I'm cautious about prediction from 2pm, because it can fluctuate in a big range. Also probably in Japan they like to watch animated movies in earlier time. I mean it kinda make sense with target demographic. No need to overreact. 

 

Still only dropping 33% from last weekend, with tomorrow it will increase at least 50% on  today admission but with lower avg Tix.

So the gross in total of Sunday can increase from Sat or not? 

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cannastop Global Phenomenon

cannastop

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Corpse

https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2249119#p2249119

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For reference, and ease to look back come Sunday's estimate and Monday's actual, here is the list of Biggest Second Weekends:

Biggest Second Weekends/Two Week Totals (2000-):
¥1.57 billion ($12.2 million), +02%, ¥4.66 billion ($36.9 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.39 billion ($11.3 million), -31%, ¥4.56 billion ($37.7 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.26 billion ($11.6 million), -35%, ¥4.19 billion ($38.5 million) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥1.25 billion ($11.7 million), -16%, ¥4.75 billion ($44.5 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥1.17 billion ($9.6 million), -21%, ¥4.39 billion ($36.2 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥1.16 billion ($11.2 million), +25%, ¥3.87 billion ($37.6 million) - Your Name. (2016)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million), +05%, ¥3.65 billion ($32.7 million) - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
¥1.11 billion ($13.8 million), -08%, ¥3.61 billion ($44.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥1.10 billion ($10.1 million), -02%, ¥3.58 billion ($33.0 million) - Aladdin (2019)
¥1.09 billion ($9.3 million), -50%, ¥4.68 billion ($39.7 million) - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥1.08 billion ($9.0 million), -19%, ¥3.62 billion ($30.1 million) - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥1.04 billion ($10.8 million), -14%, ¥3.33 billion ($33.8 million) - Rookies (2009)
¥1.02 billion ($10.9 million), -22%, ¥3.54 billion ($37.7 million) - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.02 billion ($9.1 million), -20%, ¥3.60 billion ($31.7 million) - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥1.01 billion ($9.3 million), -15%, ¥3.99 billion ($36.8 million) - Weathering With You (2019)
¥975 million ($8.7 million), -02%, ¥4.24 billion ($34.6 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥941 million ($7.6 million), +11%, ¥4.36 billion ($35.0 million) - Jurassic World (2015)
¥936 million ($7.9 million), -25%, ¥3.18 billion ($26.9 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥886 million ($8.0 million), -39%, ¥3.59 billion ($32.3 million) - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (2019)
¥872 million ($8.6 million), +13%, ¥3.01 billion ($29.6 million) - Frozen (2014)
¥860 million ($8.0 million), -04%, ¥2.49 billion ($23.1 million) - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥855 million ($7.9 million), -38%, ¥3.99 billion ($36.9 million) - Toy Story 4 (2019)
¥820 million ($7.6 million), -37%, ¥3.23 billion ($30.0 million) - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (2018)
¥820 million ($7.1 million), -19%, ¥2.98 billion ($25.8 million) - Hero (2007)
¥814 million ($7.3 million), -62%, ¥4.07 billion ($36.1 million) - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)
¥811 million ($8.3 million), -16%, ¥2.85 billion ($29.2 million) - The Wind Rises (2013)
¥810 million ($7.5 million), -48%, ¥3.43 billion ($30.8 million) - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥806 million ($7.6 million), -22%, ¥3.23 billion ($30.5 million) - Ponyo (2008)
¥757 million ($6.8 million), -38%, ¥3.56 billion ($31.6 million) - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018)
¥756 million ($7.1 million), -25%, ¥2.62 billion ($25.0 million) - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥748 million ($6.8 million), -42%, ¥2.76 billion ($25.1 million) - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
¥744 million ($6.6 million), -13%, ¥2.89 billion ($25.6 million) - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (2018)
¥740 million ($6.5 million), -29%, ¥2.62 billion ($23.2 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
¥728 million ($8.2 million), -26%, ¥2.37 billion ($27.3 million) - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥726 million ($6.0 million), -42%, ¥3.84 billion ($31.8 million) - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥708 million ($6.3 million), -27%, ¥2.35 billion ($21.8 million) - Umizaru: The Limit of Love (2006)
¥705 million ($6.1 million), -63%, ¥3.75 billion ($32.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥704 million ($8.6 million), -48%, ¥2.86 billion ($34.7 million) - One Piece Film Z (2012)
¥704 million ($6.6 million), -17%, ¥1.71 billion ($16.0 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (2018)
¥703 million ($7.2 million), -17%, ¥2.49 billion ($25.4 million) - Monsters University (2013)
¥701 million ($6.9 million), -09%, ¥3.27 billion ($32.1 million) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014)

Top 5 second weekend very possible.

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RJ 95 Sleeper Hit

RJ 95

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9 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

So the gross in total of Sunday can increase from Sat or not? 

Surely increase, let's say using last weekend avg ticket on weekend is ¥1.335. Tomorrow avg tix is ¥1.100, only need 370k for tomorrow to match today total gross.

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