JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Jamiem]

Just now, Jedi Jat said:

In the above context, I meant that Frozen wasn't just a blockbuster in Japan.

 

There are many Blockbusters every year, but what Frozen did in Japan is unique. We, in India, say them All Time Blockbuster.

 

Baahubali, Baahubali 2, Gadar (2001), DDLJ (1995), HAHK (1994) are the recent ATBBs.

Sorry if that came off seriously, I was just joking around. But yeah I get what you mean it’s bigger than anything similar that’s come before it. 

[danhtruong5]

1 hour ago, RJ 95 said:

So the avg tix is 1335 yen right ? With that avg tix, $14.867m weekend and $17.605m Fri-Sun.

Usual location is 73% of whole market then for this.

 

So Frozen 2 needs to pull 10x legs to finish in the $180M range...

Can it???

[RJ 95]

8 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

So Frozen 2 needs to pull 10x legs to finish in the $180M range...

Can it???

It needs 12.1x to reach $180m because Japan only count 2 day weekend. 

Its too early to tell how much it will make, today possibly it will get 105-110k. Then tomorrow we can compare it daily with TS4 because first Monday is holiday for TS4. TS4 also had summer school holiday to boost its number while Frozen 2 had to wait December to get that. Frozen should have massive Wednesday admission though.

My early prediction $130-150m

 

[danhtruong5]

Just now, RJ 95 said:

It needs 12.1x to reach $180m because Japan only count 2 day weekend. 

Its too early to tell how much it will make, today possibly it will get 105-110k. Then tomorrow we can compare it daily with TS4 because first Monday is holiday for TS4. TS4 also had summer school holiday to boost its number while Frozen 2 had to wait December to get that. Frozen should have massive Wednesday admission though.

My early prediction $130-150m

 

Hope it will do better than that. Otherwise the $1 billion OS can not happen

[edroger3]

	F1 REAL   F2 EST/REAL   ADM (K)  USD (K)    ADM (K)  USD (K)  FRI 244  $  2.170   232  $     2.900 SAT 290  $  3.619   615  $     7.688 SUN 319  $  3.941   642  $     8.025 MON 99  $  1.243   150  $     1.875 TUE 107  $  1.348       WED 214  $  2.694       THR 133  $  1.675       FRI 339  $  4.312       SAT 335  $  4.242       SUN 359  $  4.288

[RJ 95]

11 minutes ago, edroger3 said:

	F1 REAL   F2 EST/REAL   ADM (K)  USD (K)    ADM (K)  USD (K)  FRI 244  $  2.170   232  $     2.900 SAT 290  $  3.619   615  $     7.688 SUN 319  $  3.941   642  $     8.025 MON 99  $  1.243   150  $     1.875 TUE 107  $  1.348       WED 214  $  2.694       THR 133  $  1.675       FRI 339  $  4.312       SAT 335  $  4.242       SUN 359  $  4.288

Sat+Sun 1616m yen, so $14.8m right ? Also 1.21m admission from weekend.

Edited November 25, 2019 by RJ 95

[edroger3]

12 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:

Sat+Sun 1616m yen, so $14.8m right ? Also 1.21m admission from weekend.

My only source is Corpse from World of KJ. When he update with actuals, I update.

[charlie Jatinder]

34 minutes ago, edroger3 said:

 

F1 REAL   F2 EST/REAL   ADM (K)  USD (K)    ADM (K)  USD (K)  FRI 244  $  2.170   232  $     2.900

F1 Friday Admits > F2 but Gross wise F2 is ahead. Why is that?

 

ATP for weekend seems same for both films.

 

Edit: Is it 332k for Frozen 2, that will make sense.

Edited November 25, 2019 by Jedi Jat

[a2k]

2 hours ago, RJ 95 said:

It needs 12.1x to reach $180m because Japan only count 2 day weekend. 

Its too early to tell how much it will make, today possibly it will get 105-110k. Then tomorrow we can compare it daily with TS4 because first Monday is holiday for TS4. TS4 also had summer school holiday to boost its number while Frozen 2 had to wait December to get that. Frozen should have massive Wednesday admission though.

My early prediction $130-150m

 

For F1 China + Japan was around $280

F2's China + Japan would do under that if Japan is under $150.

[RJ 95]

11 minutes ago, a2k said:

For F1 China + Japan was around $280

F2's China + Japan would do under that if Japan is under $150.

I'm just cautious because even 10x multi is big enough already, also there isn't any summer holidays that will help like TS4 got or Spring Break and Golden Week that Frozen had to boost its legs. It will get winter school break but in late December. 

Edited November 25, 2019 by RJ 95

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, edroger3 said:

	F1 REAL   F2 EST/REAL   ADM (K)  USD (K)    ADM (K)  USD (K)  FRI 244  $  2.170   232  $     2.900 SAT 290  $  3.619   615  $     7.688 SUN 319  $  3.941   642  $     8.025 MON 99  $  1.243   150  $     1.875 TUE 107  $  1.348       WED 214  $  2.694       THR 133  $  1.675       FRI 339  $  4.312       SAT 335  $  4.242       SUN 359  $  4.288

added a few columns. anyone can edit

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Zdn-5nZ0ir-Vtt_MT2E_Ue4vVlEHUhdlUmLhL1GMK0k/edit?usp=sharing

I assume Tuesday has a typical demand burn of a few percent. whereas F1 went up on tues and went up considerably more tues to thurs.

Lets see how f2 does tomorrow

 

	F1			F2
	Adm K	USD K	$ +/- %	Adm K	USD K	$ +/- %	F2 vs F1 $
Fri	244	2.170		232	2.900		33.64%
Sat	290	3.619	66.77%	615	7.688	165.10%	112.07%
Sun	319	3.941	8.90%	642	8.025	4.38%	101.25%
Mon	99	1.243	-68.46%	150	1.875	-76.64%	51.52%
Tue	107	1.348	8.45%
Wed	214	2.694	99.85%
Thu	133	1.675	-37.82%
Fri	339	4.312	157.43%
Sat	335	4.242	-1.62%
Sun	359	4.288	1.08%

Edited November 25, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[PKMLover]

Assume that F2 will drop $100M (finish at $150M), China can help with around $60M, Korea maybe can help with ... $10M and the whole Asean countries will help with $30M to balance that loss...

[RJ 95]

Today admission from usual location (70%) 104k, normally it will decrease 25%-30% tomorrow. It's crazy to imagine that back then Frozen 1 actually increase from its Monday and increase again from Tue to Thu. 

[PKMLover]

2 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:

Today admission from usual location (70%) 104k, normally it will decrease 25%-30% tomorrow. It's crazy to imagine that back then Frozen 1 actually increase from its Monday and increase again from Tue to Thu. 

How could that happen with F1...omg

[RJ 95]

Also some fun fact if anyone wondered how this thread ( Japan OS thread) can reach 820 pages by now eventhough mostly its quiet thread with not many active person inside to update. Basically just weekend update or more if big movie comes out.

Frozen back in March-July 2014 alone took around 250 pages for its whole run. Unforgettable run.

Edited November 25, 2019 by RJ 95

[PKMLover]

5 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:

Also some fun fact if anyone wondered how this quiet thread ( Japan OS thread) can reach 820 pages by now eventhough mostly its quiet thread, not many active person inside to update. Basically just weekend update or more if big movie comes out.

Frozen back in March-July 2014 alone took around 250 pages for its whole run. Unforgettable run.

Frozen 2 now only needs around 1/3 of that monster legs 35.5x but it still seems very hard....

[keysersoze123]

There is absolutely no way F2 will have F1 kind of run. Its a hyped sequel and so expectedly broke OW record. On legs let us see how the week goes. BTW what is the current rating at Japan review sites. Is it stable or going down? TS4 despite summer did just ok on legs. But it had Weathering release a week later and so many releases during Obon that screen count was a problem.

[RJ 95]

16 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

There is absolutely no way F2 will have F1 kind of run. Its a hyped sequel and so expectedly broke OW record. On legs let us see how the week goes. BTW what is the current rating at Japan review sites. Is it stable or going down? TS4 despite summer did just ok on legs. But it had Weathering release a week later and so many releases during Obon that screen count was a problem.

For comparison :

Eiga : F1 3.9/5, F2 3.7, TS4 3.6, WWY 3.7

Filmarks.com : F1 3.6/5, F2 4.0, TS4 3.9, WWY 3.7

Yahoo japan : F1 3.65/5, F2 3.93, TS4 3.3, WWY 3.73

 

Edited November 25, 2019 by RJ 95

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, RJ 95 said:

For comparison :

Eiga : F1 3.9/5, F2 3.7, TS4 3.6, WWY 3.7

Filmarks.com : F1 3.6/5, F2 4.0, TS4 3.9, WWY 3.7

Yahoo japan : F1 3.65/5, F2 3.93, TS4 3.3, WWY 3.73

 

That is not bad at all. How about Aladdin. That was the leggy one recently.

[PKMLover]

17 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

There is absolutely no way F2 will have F1 kind of run. Its a hyped sequel and so expectedly broke OW record. On legs let us see how the week goes. BTW what is the current rating at Japan review sites. Is it stable or going down? TS4 despite summer did just ok on legs. But it had Weathering release a week later and so many releases during Obon that screen count was a problem.

 

18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

There is absolutely no way F2 will have F1 kind of run. Its a hyped sequel and so expectedly broke OW record. On legs let us see how the week goes. BTW what is the current rating at Japan review sites. Is it stable or going down? TS4 despite summer did just ok on legs. But it had Weathering release a week later and so many releases during Obon that screen count was a problem.

F2 needs 1/3 of F1 legs to reach $180M.