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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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Weekend Estimates (04/18-19)

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01 (--) ¥880 million ($7.4 million), 0, ¥880 million ($7.4 million), Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F (Toei) NEW
02 (--) ¥860 million ($7.2 million), 0, ¥860 million ($7.2 million), Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Toho) NEW
03 (--) ¥520 million ($4.4 million), 0, ¥690 million ($5.8 million), Furious 7 (Toho-Towa) NEW
04 (--) ¥370 million ($3.1 million), 0, ¥370 million ($3.1 million), Crayon Shin-chan: My Moving Story! Cactus Large Attack!) (Toho) NEW
05 (02) ¥75 million ($630,000), -35%, ¥2.52 billion ($21.1 million), Assassination Classroom (Toho) Week 5
06 (03) ¥74 million ($620,000), -41%, ¥750 million ($6.3 million), April Fools (Toho) Week 3
07 (01) ¥72 million ($605,000), -56%, ¥390 million ($3.2 million), Solomon's Perjury (Part 2) (Shochiku) Week 2
08 (04) ¥52 million ($440,000), -57%, ¥3.74 billion ($31.4 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Space Record of Space Heroes (Toho) Week 7
09 (06) ¥49 million ($415,000), -40%, ¥240 million ($2.0 million), Birdman: Or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) (Fox) Week 2
10 (07) ¥35 million ($295,000), -49%, ¥2.27 billion ($19.1 million), Into the Woods (Disney) Week 6
11 (08) ¥33 million ($630,000), -50%, ¥2.22 billion ($18.6 million), Strobe Edge (Toho) Week 6
12 (--) ¥25 million ($210,000), 0, ¥25 million ($210,000), Whiplash (Gaga) NEW

Major weekend! Using the estimates, the Top 10 combine for almost ¥3 billion, which is close to being one the Top 10 Biggest Weekends of All-Time, and I think the second or third biggest weekend outside of Summer. (I'll do some research on this later).

Just bonkers for both Dragon Ball Z and Detective Conan, practically opening in major blockbuster territory, and Furious 7 and Crayon Shin-chan also recorded franchise high debuts, too!

The estimates for Dragon Ball Z and Detective Conan are honestly too close to determine which one will be on top tomorrow, though, and even using many comparisons for each doesn't really help figure out which one may have the edge. When numbers are this high, every % point changes the results drastically.

I'm assuming Detective Conan played better than Dragon Ball Z outside of the usual locations (namely Aeon Cinemas), so it's probably going to rank #1 in admissions, but sometimes Toei releases do well at Aeon Cinemas, too, so it's not certain. And I'm going to assume Dragon Ball Z will rank #1 in gross thanks to higher ticket prices, but the 3D share is very low (doesn't look higher than 20%), so if it loses by enough admissions, it's also not completely certain!

We'll just have to wait until actuals tomorrow to know for sure.
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Hey, edroger, what multipliers are you using for your estimates ? Especially for DBZ since there's no past data for 'Battle of Gods'.

38% market share - 1240 avg ticket price for dbz. Close from corpse numbers. DBZ wins in yen, Conan in admisions, FF7 is #3 with 4,5/6M$(2/3days). For Conan was the same last year against Frozen (wins in ADM but lose in yen).

Btw Japan is the only place in earth in which FF7 doesn't open at #1, confirming (after fifty shades bombed) that this is the best place in earth for cinema (obviously only for cinema).

Edited by edroger
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38% market share - 1240 avg ticket price for dbz. Close from corpse numbers. DBZ wins in yen, Conan in admisions, FF7 is #3 with 4,5/6M$(2/3days). For Conan was the same last year against Frozen (wins in ADM but lose in yen).

Btw Japan is the only place in earth in which FF7 doesn't open at #1, confirming (after fifty shades bombed) that this is the best place in earth for cinema (obviously only for cinema).

yeah, if you want to watch 25 conans or godzillas.

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yeah, if you want to watch 25 conans or godzillas.

 

If you think that's too much : there are over 60 Kamen Rider movies with 3 coming out a year. :lol:

You could say Japan is in 'advance' when it comes to the sequalization of cinema.

Edited by Cynosure
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38% market share - 1240 avg ticket price for dbz. Close from corpse numbers. DBZ wins in yen, Conan in admisions, FF7 is #3 with 4,5/6M$(2/3days). For Conan was the same last year against Frozen (wins in ADM but lose in yen).

Btw Japan is the only place in earth in which FF7 doesn't open at #1, confirming (after fifty shades bombed) that this is the best place in earth for cinema (obviously only for cinema).

But Ted was a great hit there :ph34r:
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Wow what a weekend! Two 8.5b+ and one 5b+ OWs? Feels like summer, especially from the openers. And I still can't believe that Conan number. It's been consistent every year, but somehow for the last 2 years, it's getting bigger and bigger until it reached a mega blockbuster opening number this year. Just amazing!

 

FF7 is heading to around 2.5b total, but is 3b possible?

Edited by catlover
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Deadline and Screen International say DBZ made $8.2 million and $8.1 million respectively which is about ¥970 million.

Is it really possible for it to have made that much?

 

Whaaaat? Those numbers seem too good to be true, but it's not impossible. Let's wait for official reports from Japan.

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Deadline and Screen International say DBZ made $8.2 million and $8.1 million respectively which is about ¥970 million.

Is it really possible for it to have made that much?

 

 

Whaaaat? Those numbers seem too good to be true, but it's not impossible. Let's wait for official reports from Japan.

DBZ OW actuals: 960.6m yen,716k admissions.

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Weekend actuals: Dragonball wins

 

Movie                 FF7  Dragonball       Conan
Days in Release         3           2           2
Daily Adm 5CH     166.166     294.556     287.715
M.Share 5CH         43,1%       41,2%       41,8%
Avg T. Price        1.422       1.342       1.270
Estimate Adm      385.438     715.810     688.643
Estimate Yen  548.092.255 960.696.362 874.789.951
Estimate $      4.603.975   8.069.849   7.348.236
Cume  Adm         518.578     715.915     688.643
Cume  Yen     737.418.435 960.836.972 874.789.951
Cume  $         6.194.315   8.071.031   7.348.236

Edited by edroger
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