iceroll Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 I'm kind of shocked at how accurate BKB's predictions were... No one could have expected TA and TDK to do those numbers. If he weren't such a prick about everything, he'd definitely deserve to gloat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 He deserved to gloat about Avengers but not Rises since that film became disadvantaged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 (edited) Highest 2D OW of all time with no family audience. I can't believe that we have so many retarded posters here, who think the shooting didn't have a huge impact. Moreso it's sad that people are trying to quantify it to number. I will report everyone and make the persons life hell, who claims that it's a disappointing number. Why can't we be all human and put the normal conversations and comparisons aside after a clearly unusual weekend?All the people saying the shooting drastically affected this weekend are using evidence that can just as easily be used for people that are saying it had a minimal effect. The biggest one I see is that people are pointing out that all the holdovers dropped harder than normal. That always happens when a huge release happens. I personally think the shooting had a minimal impact but we'll know for sure depending on legs, especially next weekend's hold. Edited July 24, 2012 by Shpongle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xube Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 160.8 opening weekend x 2.5 multiplier = 402 million total. :(Guys, what is the general opinion on what the multiplier on the movie will be and what the final total will add up to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 160.8 opening weekend x 2.5 multiplier = 402 million total. :(Guys, what is the general opinion on what the multiplier on the movie will be and what the final total will add up to?I personally think 390-430m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviefanatic Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 160.8 opening weekend x 2.5 multiplier = 402 million total. :(Guys, what is the general opinion on what the multiplier on the movie will be and what the final total will add up to?That would be a HUGE shocker if it finished under THG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orestes Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 160.8 opening weekend x 2.5 multiplier = 402 million total. :(Guys, what is the general opinion on what the multiplier on the movie will be and what the final total will add up to?My original multiplier was a 2.9 off a predicted 190 OW. So keeping that multiplier, this will get around 466 mil or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 (edited) Well it made crazy money but it's potential was capped off sadly. 3x Multiplier puts it at 480. I don't see that happening. Shrek 2 Ceiling, Toy Story 3 floor but 400 is a Lock. The best we can hope for is Episode I Post3D gross but 500 is gone and I honestly think 450 is gone. Sad we will never truly know what could of been. So Nolan breaks the Superhero Threequel curse but this happens. It still broke the 2D and Midnight Superhero record but it's like those are hollow victories. R.I.P to those lost, Life is bigger than a movie but it's sad that the Biggest movie event of the summer was taken from fans all across the states. "The Avengers" may have won the battle but we will never truly know what TDKR could of really done. I give it a 2.5 Multipler. Edited July 24, 2012 by filmscholar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 I still think it can manage 500 mil. WOM is really good and it's a movie that demands repeat viewings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 (edited) All the people saying the shooting drastically affected this weekend are using evidence that can just as easily be used for people that are saying it had a minimal effect. The biggest one I see is that people are pointing out that all the holdovers dropped harder than normal. That always happens when a huge release happens. I personally think the shooting had a minimal impact but we'll know for sure depending on legs, especially next weekend's hold. Ice Age 4 -56% Ice Age 3 -33% The Amazing Spiderman -68% Hancock -56% Ted -55% Get Smart -42% Savages -63% Wanted -57% MIB 3 -70% Indy 4 -57% Madagascar 3 -63% Kung Fu Panda -57% Edited July 24, 2012 by JackO 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Ice Age 4 -56% Ice Age 3 -33% The Amazing Spiderman -68% Hancock -56% Ted -55% Get Smart -42% Savages -63% Wanted -57% MIB 3 -70% Indy 4 -57% Madagascar 3 -63% Kung Fu Panda -57% Thats very anecdotal, but I'm not gonna spend much time arguing over this until we see legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Warner donating substantial sum to victimshttp://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/dark-knight-rises-shooting-warner-bros-donation-353175 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 I still think it can manage 500 mil. WOM is really good and it's a movie that demands repeat viewings.Runtime will hurt it. I think this might be more of a weekend performer like TASM in comparison with TDK, which had such massive weekdays that its weekends were a bit deflated. A nearly 3 hour runtime and an audience primarily made up of 18 and older means a lot of working folks will have a hard time going to see this during the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xube Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 (edited) Just did a quick calculation: The average drop of the remaining 9 movies in the top 10 (not incl. TDKR since it was new) is 55.01%. Is this average top 10 drop figure unprecedented (especially following a non-holiday weekend)? *I need to note that this drop is a non-scientific calculated average since I just took the 9 movie's drop figures and divided by 9. It would probably be more scientific to weight the drops based on the total box office that each movie had. Edited July 24, 2012 by xube Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Just did a quick calculation: The average drop of the remaining 9 movies in the top 10 (not incl. TDKR since it was new) is 55.01%. Is this average top 10 drop figure unprecedented (especially following a non-holiday weekend)? It was actually a little bigger against The Avengers. 55.86% was the average there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 It takers a retarded and someone really being disconnected from today's world to say that the shooting had a minimal impact. It's sad that people are still trying to quantify the tragedy instead of just accepting the numbers as facts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 It takers a retarded and someone really being disconnected from today's world to say that the shooting had a minimal impact. It's sad that people are still trying to quantify the tragedy instead of just accepting the numbers as facts.I have no more likes so I will just quote and agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holcs Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 I still think it can manage 500 mil. WOM is really good and it's a movie that demands repeat viewings.I agree, batman will have legs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Sadly I also think the Shooting will hurt any Oscar Chances also. I think WB is put all there Oscar energy into "The Hobbit", maybe TDRK might get a few tech nods but I don't know about any major nods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
