Omnicore Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 12 minutes ago, Olive said: last one not opening #1 was Ghost Rider 2 in 2012 Oh no. Shazam deserved better than this comparison. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 <100 holiday OD with that Maoyan is pretty discouraging. But hey, at least Sat PS picked up a tad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 Friday estimates - Holiday P storm 105M/190M,+34% Shazam! 97.5m/103.7m, JL OD 109M including MN Andhadhun 22.85m/43.67m, +91% The Shadow Play 16m/32.5m, -2.6% Song of Youth 12.85m/278m, +41% Dumbo 10.45m/102m, +133% Durante la tormenta 3.3m/97.3m Bohemian Rhapsody 1.68m/86.65m Captain Marvel 1.26m/1031m 2 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 11 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: <100 holiday OD with that Maoyan is pretty discouraging. But hey, at least Sat PS picked up a tad. yes PS did pop a bit. will get over 12m. 60-70m sat. 210-220m weekend maybe $32-33m $50-$55 total 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 Shazam 8.0 after 30k ratings. Same on Taopiaopiao. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 11 minutes ago, a2k said: Shazam 8.0 after 30k ratings. Same on Taopiaopiao. With a Maoyan rating that low, maybe 1.5x to 1.6x multi. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NamakFiskKa Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 5 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Shazam India WOM is mixed as well. Will end in same range as Wonder Woman or lower. Lmao atleast wait till the wknd is over before declaring that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 6 minutes ago, NamakFiskKa said: Lmao atleast wait till the wknd is over before declaring that What is the point of this forum if you don’t want people to speculate based on available information 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NamakFiskKa Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said: What is the point of this forum if you don’t want people to speculate based on available information Coz there's barely any to start with... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulderfox Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 i knew Shazam would not translate well with China audience with Spoiler demon possessions being in the plot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 46 minutes ago, NamakFiskKa said: Coz there's barely any to start with... We have a lot of info about it’s reception, initial opening numbers, and a mountain of movies to compare to 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Douban ratings of some other movies:- Infinity War - 8.1 Aquaman - 7.7 Thor Ragnarok - 7.4 Ant Man 2 - 7.3 Shazam - 7.3 Venom - 7.2 Bumblebee - 7.1 Wonder Woman - 7.1 Captain Marvel - 7.0 Batman v Superman - 6.7 Justice League - 6.5 Douban rating has fallen to 6.8 now whereas Maoyan rating has increased and stabilized at 8.0 On 4/3/2019 at 11:37 PM, ZeeSoh said: Shazam (1 day out) Midnight - 2.07m OD - 9.38m (+54.5%) (86787 shows) Sat - 2.60m Sun - 1.70m Decent increase today but the increases over the past 3 days have fallen behind our two comparisons (JL and T:R). Show count is on the same level as these movies but quite behind when looking at recent (2018 onwards) SH movies. One of the reasons for both the low show count and low PS could be that another new opener which opens tomorrow and has a decent PS itself. Looking at the PS. the ratings from South Korea and the report by Gavin, I am gonna lower my OW range to below 40m. I'm thinking 34-39m USD OW at this point. Let's see how it does tomorrow. Both Justice League and Thor Ragnarok doubled their PS on the last day so Shazam should aim for that. I should have stuck with my earlier prediction but the huge last day increase in PS threw me off. Sat PS is at 12.89 which is a drop of about -47.64% from OD PS. The only other SH movie that had a holiday on OD was Captain Marvel whose Sat PS was off about 10% from OD PS. Captain Marvel Saturday went on to increase about 5% from OD. Shazam probably wont increase from Friday seeing that its PS is down so much. I think Sat might be at 70 million which would be about 30% or so drop. CM fell 37% on its Sunday. Giving Shazam a better 30% drop gets it to about 50m on Sunday. That gives a total of 223m or about 33m USD OW. That's close to where Maoyan is predicting as well (34m). One thing I overlooked was how well P Storm would be received and how well it would do. Not sure how much of an effect that had on Shazam but it's on it way to win the weekend despite releasing a day earlier. It probably will also have more shows than Shazam on Saturday as well. Legs are difficult to guess here too. Generally such low ratings would lead to short legs of around 1.5-1.6 but maybe the low OW gross and no new competition for the next 3 weeks could result in somewhat not disastrous legs around 1.7-1.8 which would get it to 56-59m total. 2 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RealLyre Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 where exactly do you guys see how much Maoyan is predicting? I can't find it here http://piaofang.maoyan.com/dashboard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steele131 Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 5 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Douban rating has fallen to 6.8 now whereas Maoyan rating has increased and stabilized at 8.0 I should have stuck with my earlier prediction but the huge last day increase in PS threw me off. Sat PS is at 12.89 which is a drop of about -47.64% from OD PS. The only other SH movie that had a holiday on OD was Captain Marvel whose Sat PS was off about 10% from OD PS. Captain Marvel Saturday went on to increase about 5% from OD. Shazam probably wont increase from Friday seeing that its PS is down so much. I think Sat might be at 70 million which would be about 30% or so drop. CM fell 37% on its Sunday. Giving Shazam a better 30% drop gets it to about 50m on Sunday. That gives a total of 223m or about 33m USD OW. That's close to where Maoyan is predicting as well (34m). One thing I overlooked was how well P Storm would be received and how well it would do. Not sure how much of an effect that had on Shazam but it's on it way to win the weekend despite releasing a day earlier. It probably will also have more shows than Shazam on Saturday as well. Legs are difficult to guess here too. Generally such low ratings would lead to short legs of around 1.5-1.6 but maybe the low OW gross and no new competition for the next 3 weeks could result in somewhat not disastrous legs around 1.7-1.8 which would get it to 56-59m total. China when Aquaman opened “saviour” China when Shazam opened “enemy” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 7 hours ago, NamakFiskKa said: Lmao atleast wait till the wknd is over before declaring that That's what I heard from my sources. Opening ain't glorious either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brinatico Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 At what time is the mid point today? 2.30 3.00 3.30 Because Shazam! is selling better than projections Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 Assuming a midpoint of 2:30 heading to about 62-65 for the day. About a 33-36% drop. We’ll have more clarification in a few hours Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 29 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Assuming a midpoint of 2:30 heading to about 62-65 for the day. About a 33-36% drop. We’ll have more clarification in a few hours Seems quite right. Shazam is at 28.65M @ 2PM compared to 49M at same point on Friday, so Sat is already more than 20M behind Friday. Current pace is around 75% that of Friday, so should add another 36M from here for 65M finish. 210-215M OW... 400M finish. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 400 million with 210 opening? Seems very optimistic for legs given the Maoyan rating. I was thinking more like 350 max. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 Yeah, about 210/335 for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...