China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[ymblcza]

Now You See Me 2 and Independence Day 2 opened on 24 June last year, increased 19% and 24% on Sat, both fell 17% and 53% on Sun and Mon, and had very great weekdays dropped less than 20% from Mon to Thur.

I have TF5 a little better weekday drops based on Mummy and 2nd week run may be 42/286/310/230/110/93/82/70/70/102/85,giving a -70% weekend drop,and would cume to 1820m finally.

[commonsense88]

What are the numbers for Mummy, Wonder woman and Dangal?

[ymblcza]

22 minutes ago, commonsense88 said:

What are the numbers for Mummy, Wonder woman and Dangal?

Dangal  2.42/1281.83

Mummy 2.30/607.86

WW       1.46/599.17

all including service charges

 

Edited June 24, 2017 by ymblcza

[commonsense88]

19 minutes ago, ymblcza said:

Dangal  2.42/1281.83

Mummy 2.30/607.86

WW       1.46/599.17

all including service charges

 

Thank you 

[a2k]

1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said:

SAT estimated

 

before service chargers

TF5  -  288.7m / 594.8m

 

after service chargers

TF5  -  310m / 638.3m > 632m = TF4 OW

 

so around 875m yuan / 128m usd ow.

2.2x would give 1925m yuan / 282m usd.

2.2x seems high though doesn't it?

2.1x gives ~1840m yuan / ~270m usd.

[Gavin Feng]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

so around 875m yuan / 128m usd ow.

2.2x would give 1925m yuan / 282m usd.

2.2x seems high though doesn't it?

2.1x gives ~1840m yuan / ~270m usd.

tend to do 1.8×

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

tend to do 1.8×

1.8x of 875m yuan / 128m usd is 1575m yuan/ ~230m usd. Do you think that low a number is feasible?

Edited June 24, 2017 by a2knet

[Fake]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

just about to cross 300m. Great call. Looks like a 310m saturday. That is less than 10% increase. Sunday PS looks weak. Looks like 30% drop day to me !!! 

 

Weak competition ahead may be enough for just squeezing out a 2x multi. But it aint making 2B yuan for sure. 

I'm thinking around 25% drop for 230M.... but 30% isn't out of the question either.

[ymblcza]

9 minutes ago, a2knet said:

1.8x of 875m yuan / 128m usd is 1575m yuan/ ~230m usd. Do you think that low a number is feasible?

Mummy around 1.72,with much stronger summer weekdays and less competition, will do more than 1.8 unless it crash in weekdays like F8,let's wait for Tuesday number.

[Fake]

TF5 projections:

 

SUN: 230M (870M weekend)

 

MON: 100M

TUE: 85M

WED: 75M

THU: 65M (~1.2B)

 

FRI: 70M

SAT: 100M

SUN: 80M (1.35B)

 

May add another 300-350M after that.... so 1.65-1.7B finish.

Edited June 24, 2017 by Fake

[titanic2187]

I couldn't access into douban page of TF5 since this morning, what happen?? 

Is the website crashed due to so many negative review?

[jiangsen]

28 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

I couldn't access into douban page of TF5 since this morning, what happen?? 

Is the website crashed due to so many negative review?

No. Nothing happened. 

[CaptainJackSparrow]

So this is doing less than TF4?

[Olive]

Paramount already made their $100m, it's the local distributors to have big loss(same company who releases xXx3)

[Gavin Feng]

box office minimum-guarantee of TF5 is ￥2,400 million. So Paramount is still a big winner.

 

Ghost in the Shell & xXx -  ￥600m box office minimum-guarantee

 

[TigerPaw]

7 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

box office minimum-guarantee of TF5 is ￥2,400 million. So Paramount is still a big winner.

 

Ghost in the Shell & xXx -  ￥600m box office minimum-guarantee

 

What does the minimum guarantee mean? Above that threshold, how are the box office splitter up?

 

anyway Ghost in the shell got wrecked

 

 

 

[Gavin Feng]

55 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

What does the minimum guarantee mean? Above that threshold, how are the box office splitter up?

 

anyway Ghost in the shell got wrecked

 

 

 

Paramount earned 25% of ¥600m  from GITS and 25% of ¥2,400m from TF5. 

 

25% * ¥600m + 12.5% * ¥450m from xXx

[A Marvel Fanboy]

15 hours ago, Fake said:

TF5 projections:

 

SUN: 230M (870M weekend)

 

MON: 100M

TUE: 85M

WED: 75M

THU: 65M (~1.2B)

 

FRI: 70M

SAT: 100M

SUN: 80M (1.35B)

 

May add another 300-350M after that.... so 1.65-1.7B finish.

seems too high.

 

Wom is so bad it is dropping so fast (faster than Mummy).

 

Worst case scenario: it could drop 90% on Friday (70m Mon low 30m Fri), leading to sub 1.3B finish $200m

, less than 1.6x.

 

Tf5, how low can you go…

Edited June 25, 2017 by firedeep

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Paramount will break even on TF5 even if the movie finishes with 500m WW, thanks to the minimum boxoffice guarantee and product placements. But they made a terrible film in the first place, and will pay by ruining the future of TF franchise.

 

TF5 looks to be the biggest box office waterloo ever in China because even the most diehard TF faboys have turned around to speak ill of Paramount and Bay. You know the franchise is dead and buried when NO ONE is defending it.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

13 hours ago, CaptainJackSparrow said:

So this is doing less than TF4?

way less than Tf4, maybe $100m short of Tf4