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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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Pacific Rim 2 at about 62.17 around 1:30pm. Its behaving a lot like BP. The final PS were within 1m of each other and PR2 is around 5m behind BP at the same point in time on opening day. BP did around 135ish for OD

 

PR2 heading to about 125-135 OD which would mean an OW around that of BP. And if ratings remain low then small legs like BP and a total gross less than the first movie is likely. 

Edited by ZeeSoh
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18 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Pacific Rim 2 at about 62.17 around 1:30pm. Its behaving a lot like BP. The final PS were within 1m of each other and PR2 is around 5m behind BP at the same point in time on opening day. BP did around 135ish for OD

 

PR2 heading to about 125-135 OD which would mean an OW around that of BP. And if ratings remain low then small legs like BP and a total gross less than the first movie is likely. 

Seems very rare for a sequel in China to actually drop from the previous film. The most notable examples I can think of are Transformers 5 and TLJ among Hollywood films, and Monster Hunt 2 and Monkey King 3 among local films. 

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27 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Pacific Rim 2 at about 62.17 around 1:30pm. Its behaving a lot like BP. The final PS were within 1m of each other and PR2 is around 5m behind BP at the same point in time on opening day. BP did around 135ish for OD

 

PR2 heading to about 125-135 OD which would mean an OW around that of BP. And if ratings remain low then small legs like BP and a total gross less than the first movie is likely. 

Does PR2 have more night showings than BP had? That might help a bit, maybe?

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2 hours ago, Gabriel Sales said:

Does anyone believe that the US-initiated trade war with China could reflect a tighter embargo on american films?

 

I believe that in this war (chinese box office) US and Hollywood have a lot to lose!

China has 50k+ movie theaters and 6m+ seats. They have overbuilt for now. The PTA is the lowest in in 15 years. The theater owners have a lot to lose too if fewer movies are allowed. Double edged sword there as per usual with trade

56 minutes ago, LeoC said:

Does PR2 have more night showings than BP had? That might help a bit, maybe?

BP had 37% of overall shows, 41% of 1800-2100

PR2 has 45% and 50%.

 

BO midpoint is usually 1400-1415, 130m incoming like BP, another PS multi less than 3. Sat bump should be worse than BP with a 7.5 rating. Will miss $70m OW

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51 minutes ago, a2knet said:

If PRU opens a bit higher than BP, is it safe to say $115m is the most it could do?

Possibly yes. It is following BP almost identically right now. It had nearly the same prrsales, opening day and PS to OD multi. 

 

Its PS for tomorrow is nearly 20% lower than BP’s and combined that with a 7.6 rating it is possible that PR2 opens lower than BP

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