Krissykins Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 If only one thing was different, I would've liked Passengers. But I can't forgive that one thing. And Sony are fully aware, hence keeping it totally hidden in marketing. The films plot on IMDB is actually a lie: A spacecraft travelling to a distant colony planet and transporting thousands of people has a malfunction in its sleep chambers. As a result, two passengers are awakened 90 years early. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 2017. 01. 02. at 6:06 PM, misafeco said: Passengers TGWTDT % Wed 4,11 5,07 81,07 Thu 3,22 3,31 97,21 Fri 4,50 4,63 97,19 Sat 2,94 2,51 116,95 Sun 7,62 5,63 135,38 5 day 22,38 21,15 105,84 Mon 7,63 6,72 113,47 Tue 5,90 4,58 128,82 Wed 4,73 4,17 113,41 Thu 4,67 4,14 112,55 Fri 5,65 5,33 105,92 Sat 4,63 4,24 109,04 Sun 5,88 5,25 112,04 Mon 4,55 4,37 104,21 Gross to date 66,01 59,95 110,10 Legs (5 day) 2,95 2,84 104,02 Final gross* 110,36 102,5158 107,66 *if Passengers holds the last day's % This is where the fun begins. TGWTDT had incredible weekday holds and a terrific 3rd weekend. It made 42.5M more after Monday. Passengers needs only 34M (80%). Actuals in da house! Passengers TGWTDT % Wed 4,11 5,07 81,07 Thu 3,22 3,31 97,21 Fri 4,46 4,63 96,30 Sat 2,87 2,51 114,32 Sun 7,54 5,63 133,99 5 day 22,19 21,15 104,97 Mon 7,52 6,72 111,85 Tue 5,92 4,58 129,21 Wed 4,78 4,17 114,74 Thu 4,69 4,14 113,15 Fri 5,63 5,33 105,63 Sat 4,64 4,24 109,38 Sun 5,88 5,25 112,16 Mon 4,91 4,37 112,54 Gross to date 66,18 59,95 110,39 Legs (5 day) 2,98 2,84 105,17 Final gross* 114,08 102,5158 111,28 *if Passengers holds the last day's % Good news: Overall gross increased by ~170k. 5-day slightly decreased (190k) Monday too (110k), weekdays increased. Friday decreased, Sat/Sun/Mon increased (Mon especially! by 360k). 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amelin Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Thanks for doing these comparisons @misafeco! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JennaJ Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 So right now, does it look likely that this will gross over 100m domestic and 300m WW? I consider that to be the barometer for a decent performance considering the reviews. If it somehow does great in China and gets closer to 400m WW, then that could actually be considered a success. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 This will possibly make my top 10 of the year. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 43 minutes ago, JennaJ said: So right now, does it look likely that this will gross over 100m domestic and 300m WW? I consider that to be the barometer for a decent performance considering the reviews. If it somehow does great in China and gets closer to 400m WW, then that could actually be considered a success. 80% chance 40% chance Just my guesses. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I think 100 is locked. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
75Live Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, Christmas Baumer said: I think 100 is locked. I don't think it's locked, but I do think the shackle on the pad lock is 99.99% of the way pushed in 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 It held up really well over the holidays and showed no signs of collapsing. I believe even if it has Dragon Tattoo legs now it should get to about 110 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 6 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said: It held up really well over the holidays and showed no signs of collapsing. I believe even if it has Dragon Tattoo legs now it should get to about 110 So BOT was right with its predictions of Passengers. The ony thing we couldn't predict was the acid venom the movie got from critics. Without those reviews, the movie would have flew by 150m. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 7 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said: It held up really well over the holidays and showed no signs of collapsing. I believe even if it has Dragon Tattoo legs now it should get to about 110 Dragon Tattoo had incredible holds in January. Also didn't drop under 1000 theaters until February. Let's see the weekday numbers before claiming it's locked. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JennaJ Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 January is pretty barren and I'm seeing mostly positive WOM. I just hope it doesn't lose too many theaters too quickly. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amadeus Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 hour ago, misafeco said: 80% chance 40% chance Just my guesses. there's only a 10% chance of that. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 15 minutes ago, JennaJ said: January is pretty barren and I'm seeing mostly positive WOM. I just hope it doesn't lose too many theaters too quickly. Well... Hidden Figures-2.500 Theaters Underworld-2.300 Live By Night-3.000 Patriots Day-2.800-3.000 Silence-2.000+ Sleeples-2.000+ XXX-3.000+ Split-2.800+ Resident Evil-2.800 And La La Land. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JennaJ Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 29 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: Well... Hidden Figures-2.500 Theaters Underworld-2.300 Live By Night-3.000 Patriots Day-2.800-3.000 Silence-2.000+ Sleeples-2.000+ XXX-3.000+ Split-2.800+ Resident Evil-2.800 And La La Land. Yeah, I didn't mean January had no movies, just that nothing really seems all that appealing to me (except for some of the Oscar contenders which are expanding, like La La Land). That's why I said that I hope it doesn't lose too many screens. Obviously there will be new movies contending for those screens. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 hour ago, The Futurist said: The ony thing we couldn't predict was the acid venom the movie got from critics. Without those reviews, the movie would have flew by 150m. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, JennaJ said: Yeah, I didn't mean January had no movies, just that nothing really seems all that appealing to me (except for some of the Oscar contenders which are expanding, like La La Land). That's why I said that I hope it doesn't lose too many screens. Obviously there will be new movies contending for those screens. Good thing we have Assassins Creed to make room for new releases. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Movie theaters will be quick to drop things like Office Christmas Party (which most theaters around me are dropping like crazy this weekend) and Assassin's Creed (which is sure to die a very quick death now) before this goes. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 hours ago, misafeco said: 80% chance 40% chance Just my guesses. IMO its 95% safe that it hits 100 mill DOM and 100% that it hits 300 mill WW The question is more will it hit 350 mill WW 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 2 hours ago, Amadeus said: there's only a 10% chance of that. I''ll give it a 90% chance of doing both Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...