RichWS Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Stating the obvious. I'm good at it, okay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 3, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 3, 2013 I think this is the "most likely to be completely wrong" early projection How so? It's intended to provide a base line. If he's wrong, it's opening to less than $60m...and this place will become meltdown city if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Has this been posted?Since when is 10 mill $ change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Avengers played like a sequel of all marvel movies. HG is like the 1st one of the series. In that sense there is greater potential. I would say 95% Avengers 2 will beat HG 3. Just saying that its not a lock that 2 Marvel movies will have 2 top OW after May 2015. I think it's a lock for Marvel to have the top two OW spots once Avengers 2 is released. but yeah, after that all bets are off. Lets not forget Star Wars 7 might come out that same summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Twilight suffered from so much bad press from large sections of the media and society that it lost some audience also movies are truly dire. Hunger games is huge but can't see it breaking TA OW by the final film it's not a cultural event like TA is. Only films with a chance IMO is TA 2 and SW7 or one of the sequels. Twilight remained steady during the whole franchise run and it had an OS bump for the final episode that is the biggest grosser of the whole franchise. Sometimes, franchises are immune to critics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 So 60 million is the floor It would have to really underwhelm today in order to not hit 60. I think Shawn's 65m is a decent bet, with my prediction being 66-67. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zackzack Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Going with these as my final projections for the afternoon: Fri: $65m (incl. $15.6m previews) Sat: $54m (-17%) Sun: $40.0m (-26%)Wknd: $159.0m Expected, nobody is gonna say $160 million is not impressive But I was half-expecting a crazier $180-190 million opening with a steep drop of 60% following weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 About cf beating TA.... all o can say is tdkr...About Gatsby buzz is high but I have doubts about young people flooding to the film...They are interested but pay 10 BUCKS?..Still 40 million opening and it will be frontloaded. I know at least 50 people who are seeing it Friday alone, and all of them are young people. So, yes I guarantee it opens to 40 million. I'd bet money on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 About Thg... It has peaked in interest with males...I watches THG and sort of liked and my friends but not returning for Cf in theaters..So in the future Thg phenomena will be more female centred.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 67-68m is where I see its OD landing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 (edited) So 60 million is the floor Yep, earliest number for TA was $65m and actual was $80.8m (24.31% higher). So $60m x 1.2431 gives you $74.59m if this increases like TA did throughout the night. Edited May 3, 2013 by redfirebird2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Yep, earliest number for TA was $65 and actual was $80.8m (24.31% higher). So $60m x 1.2431 gives you $74.59m if this increases like TA did throughout the night. Great logic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 About Thg... It has peaked in interest with males...I watches THG and sort of liked and my friends but not returning for Cf in theaters..So in the future Thg phenomena will be more female centred.. Because you and your inner circle represent the male gene, of course. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Great logic. Just gives you an idea of what's possible from the initial number, that's all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 3, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 3, 2013 if this increases like TA did throughout the night. I maintain that this is a dangerous expectation to keep throwing around. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Well leaving now to go see ironman looking forward to reading 50+ pages when I get home tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 True but I think the reviews aroung GG could turn off older audiences and ST opens next week.Thus 40 million opening but sub 110 finish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 3, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 3, 2013 True but I think the reviews aroung GG could turn off older audiences and ST opens next week.Thus 40 million opening but sub 110 finish It's definitely off topic, but the clip I saw last night didn't encourage me on TGG's legs. The acting looks great, but the background looked like a low-budget CG movie from 2002. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggestgeekever Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Well, to be totally fair, when Variety reported that Avengers was getting slightly better matinee business than The Dark Knight, we all pretty much knew that it'd be doing a lot more than the projected $65m considering the differences between a May and July release. I'd like to hope these sources aren't making the same mistake again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 67-68m is where I see its OD landing.Around that yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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