redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 (edited) I maintain that this is a dangerous expectation to keep throwing around. Maybe so, I'm just throwing it out there to show what is possible. TA is basically the gold standard in early under-reporting, so $75m is probably the ceiling for IM3 tonight. I'm thinking $70m is where it ends up. Edited May 3, 2013 by redfirebird2008 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
htall90 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Because you and your inner circle represent the male gene, of course. THG is much more popular with men then twilight ever was. Its still female driven but nowhere near the 80 plus percent of viewers twilight had probably where female Domestically of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 (edited) humm, sub 16m midnight and non-record, I should be fine on BSG ps: this thread needs 150 pages, like, right now. Edited May 3, 2013 by Goffe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Fun film....incredible action but some of the story really is silly. Better than 2 but not as goood as 1. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Point is for CF and such to reach TA territory it needs to break out among guys...Considering many guys checked out THG expecting an action film buy got a love story...I have serious doubts about THG films breaking out even more with guys 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jawa Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 By my calculations, IM3 would need to open with 164m and have at least as good of a multiplier as IM2 to make 400m. I think it's doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punishment Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I maintain that this is a dangerous expectation to keep throwing around. I think the first Iron Man would be better comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cedarpoint1111 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Point is for CF and such to reach TA territory it needs to break out among guys...Considering many guys checked out THG expecting an action film buy got a love story...I have serious doubts about THG films breaking out even more with guysHow the fuck was THG a love story? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 3, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 3, 2013 (edited) Well, to be totally fair, when Variety reported that Avengers was getting slightly better matinee business than The Dark Knight, we all pretty much knew that it'd be doing a lot more than the projected $65m considering the differences between a May and July release. I'd like to hope these sources aren't making the same mistake again. I doubt that they are, but I guess we'll find out soon enough. I'm still looking back at yesterday's report that IM3 was about 75-80% of Avengers pre-sales (not just for previews, but all showtimes throughout the weekend). I still think that's going to be accurate. Edited May 3, 2013 by ShawnMR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 So 160 - 170M still the guesstimate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 (edited) Point is for CF and such to reach TA territory it needs to break out among guys...Considering many guys checked out THG expecting an action film buy got a love story...I have serious doubts about THG films breaking out even more with guys I actually liked THG, but I agree that the love story felt shoehorned in. The love story and the complete screeching halt that the movie comes to following Rue's death (I felt that Rue was a woefully underdeveloped character and Katniss being so effected by her death just rang untrue) were the 2 points were the movie slacked a lot. That being said, I will still go watch "Catching Fire" Edited May 3, 2013 by grim22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cedarpoint1111 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I doubt that they are, but I guess we'll find out soon enough.I'm still looking back at yesterday's report that IM3 was about 75-80% of Avengers pre-sales (not just for previews, but all showtimes throughout the weekend). I still think that's going to be accurate.Pretty much around low 160s which wouldn't be a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 3, 2013 Author Founder / Operator Share Posted May 3, 2013 I think the first Iron Man would be better comparison Interesting. How so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Look I am a guy and I would rank THG ahead of most of the HP films... Its that for it break out to 200+ million it needs guys and I think interest from guys peaked with THG... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Point is for CF and such to reach TA territory it needs to break out among guys...Considering many guys checked out THG expecting an action film buy got a love story...I have serious doubts about THG films breaking out even more with guys STOP SMOKING CRACK ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I doubt that they are, but I guess we'll find out soon enough. I'm still looking back at yesterday's report that IM3 was about 75-80% of Avengers pre-sales (not just for previews, but all showtimes throughout the weekend). I still think that's going to be accurate. One thing that is hard to tell is how much of an impact there was on pre-sales because of the standoff between Disney and theater chains. Some theaters didn't even offer pre-sales until the dispute was resolved, which wasn't until the last minute. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jay Beezy Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Interesting. How so? Exactly, first IM was new property. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 STOP SMOKING CRACK ! Coming from a person seeing a 2d Film break 200 film is rather rich. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orestes Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 One thing that is hard to tell is how much of an impact there was on pre-sales because of the standoff between Disney and theater chains. Some theaters didn't even offer pre-sales until the dispute was resolved, which wasn't until the last minute. Yep, I wasn't able to pre order till the 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 The butler from Fresh Prince is interviewed on the local news right now. Fuck yeah! Best day. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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