JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Corpse]

11 minutes ago, Cookson said:

 

Is this holiday a Monday through Friday? If so this definitely will be the week Shin Godzilla crosses 70m plus some.

 

Anyway, Your Name. is really fun to watch. It's barely decreased.

 

"Silver Week" can be confusing.  Technically, this year doesn't have a "Silver Week".  Monday, the 19th, and Thursday, the 22nd, are the two holidays this year have two normal days separate them. 

 

Due to Japan holiday laws, if a weekday falls between two holidays, then it, too, becomes a holiday.  And if a holiday falls on Saturday or Sunday, then it gets moved to Monday.  This all happened last year, so there was a 5-day holiday period in mid-September last year.  It won't happen again until 2026, unless the government moves around the holidays, or adds another one into the week (which is being discussed).

 

 

Edited September 10, 2016 by Corpse

[CelestialFairyIX]

Just a few pages ago on KJ, many were talking about Frozen's phenomena-level performance and how it will never occur again... Corpse said that one can never truly be sure and although it is highly unlikely, it could possibly happen.  Fast forward a few months and here we are, September 10th and Your Name is looking at possibly challenging the decade plus spanning record of Spirited Away... Insane and stands as a testament and reminder to all that no matter how great our box office analytical skills may be, we can never be truly sure of what the future holds.  Amazing, phenomenal, insane performance by Your Name!  Kudos to the director, cast, and crew for creating such an exceptional film that resonates with all audiences!

[Cookson]

2 hours ago, Corpse said:

 

"Silver Week" can be confusing.  Technically, this year doesn't have a "Silver Week".  Monday, the 19th, and Thursday, the 22nd, are the two holidays this year have two normal days separate them. 

 

Due to Japan holiday laws, if a weekday falls between two holidays, then it, too, becomes a holiday.  And if a holiday falls on Saturday or Sunday, then it gets moved to Monday.  This all happened last year, so there was a 5-day holiday period in mid-September last year.  It won't happen again until 2026, unless the government moves around the holidays, or adds another one into the week (which is being discussed).

 

 

So what are the exact dates for this holiday then to expect increases?

[efialtes76]

18 minutes ago, Cookson said:

So what are the exact dates for this holiday then to expect increases?

Maybe...

 

19 Sep	Mon	Respect-for-the-Aged Day
22 Sep	Thu	Autumnal Equinox Day

[cannastop]

Your Name has a 5.7% increase from last Sunday at 2pm. So that's nice.

 

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-13379.html

 

This weekend is probably going to be just about even with the last one.

 

 

[Corpse]

I'd say a weekend increase is likely once again, even if it ends up being 1 or 2%.  Regardless of whatever the increase is, if any (could still decline a couple percentages), a third weekend so comfortably above 1 billion is nuts.     

 

 

[CaptainJackSparrow]

It's great to see Godzilla do great business in Japan again!

[Cookson]

Looks like all of the new films opened pretty well, and over expectations!?(besides Egypt)

 

Shin Godzilla held up pretty well considering the amount of new releases and the fact it lost a decent amount of screens.

 

Overall a pretty good weekend it looks like!

Edited September 11, 2016 by Cookson

[Corpse]

A very good weekend, indeed.  

 

Your Name., I believe, will end up with another weekend increase and potentially claiming the third weekend record (it's going to be very close).  

 

Suicide Squad's pre-sales were a bit misleading, as it appears it may narrowly miss the 400 million mark - which is still an excellent result, and possibly enough to become DC's biggest opener (again, it's going to be very close). 

 

Your Lie in April will comfortably come in above 200 million, and may have hit 250 million.  That's more or less the standard opening for a shojo adaptation, but it's good nonetheless.  

 

Samurai Hustle Returns! may have broke 200 million as well, depending on its audience breakdown.  

 

Even Gods of Egypt, honestly, performed a bit better than expectations.  Unless its 3D share was horrible, it looks like it'll barely crack the 100 million mark for the weekend.  That's not much, of course, but it could have been much worse.  

 

Weekend Estimates will be up in an hour or so.

Edited September 11, 2016 by Corpse

[Corpse]

(C) 2016「君の名は。」製作委員会

 

Weekend Estimates (09/10-11)
01 (01) ¥1,170,000,000 ($11.4 million), +01%, ¥6,300,000,000 ($61.3 million), Your Name. (Toho) WK3
02 (---) ¥375,000,000 ($3.7 million), 0, ¥375,000,000 ($3.7 million), Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) NEW
03 (---) ¥245,000,000 ($2.4 million), 0, ¥245,000,000 ($2.4 million), Your Lie in April (Toho) NEW
04 (02) ¥236,000,000 ($2.3 million), -26%, ¥6,525,000,000 ($63.3 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) WK7
05 (---) ¥195,000,000 ($1.9 million), 0, ¥195,000,000 ($1.9 million), Samurai Hustle Returns! (Shochiku) NEW
06 (03) ¥114,000,000 ($1.1 million), -43%, ¥3,850,000,000 ($37.7 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) WK5
07 (---) ¥105,000,000 ($1.0 million), 0, ¥140,000,000 ($1.3 million), Gods of Egypt (Gaga) NEW
08 (04) ¥84,000,000 ($820,000), -49%, ¥1,025,000,000 ($10.0 million), Black Widow Business (Toho) WK3
09 (06) ¥71,000,000 ($690,000), -38%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($9.7 million), Yell for the Blue Sky (Toho) WK4
10 (05) ¥52,000,000 ($500,000), -57%, ¥350,000,000 ($3.4 million), Now You See Me 2 (Kadokawa) WK2

 

>Your Name. managed to improve upon its incredible second weekend at the usual locations (up 0.1%), and may have experienced yet another weekend increase.  Last weekend, it achieved the sixth biggest weekend of all-time after being the only film to ever earn a second weekend increase after debuting above ¥900 million.  And this weekend, it'll at least achieve the third biggest third weekend of all-time (first for a domestic film), and if it actually increased again, it'll become the only film to ever increase after achieving a ¥1 billion weekend.

 

After three weeks, its total only trails the first two Harry Potter films, two Miyazaki films (Spirited Away and Howl's Moving Castle), and is on par with The Matrix Reloaded and Star Wars: The Force Awakens (New Years boost for the latter).  Its third weekend, however, is bigger than any of them besides the two Harry Potter entries... at the moment (actuals could put it above even them).

 

At the current rate that it's going, that is staying even/slightly increasing, it'll exceed ¥8 billion ($80 million) over its fourth weekend before heading into a partial-holiday week, and will very likely exceed ¥10 billion ($100 million) over its fifth weekend on its 30th/31st day in release.  

 

By comparison, only four other films have exceeded ¥10 billion in equal/less time: Spirited Away (25 days); Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (28 days); Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (30 days); Ponyo (31 days).  Three of them did so with the boost that Obon Festival gave them, and the other (Potter) did so with the boost that New Years gave it.  And all of them ended up grossing over ¥15 billion ($150 million+).  

 

If it does end up above ¥10 billion ($100 million) after its fifth weekend, then ¥15-20 billion ($150-200 million) becomes the likely total, with a reasonable chance of even exceeding ¥20 billion ($200 million) itself.  

 

>Suicide Squad comes in a little lower than pre-sales indicated, and was a bit frontloaded over the weekend frame as well.  However, based on estimates, its debut is slightly higher than Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice's, and it may be greater than The Dark Knight Rise's ¥372 million to earn itself the title of biggest DC opening in the market.  It'll be targeting a total around 2 billion ($20 million).  Very impressive.

 

>Your Lie in April settles for the standard shojo adaptation opening, and that's perfectly alright.  The genre usually has above average legs, so a total around ¥1.5 billion ($15 million) can be obtained with this start.

 

>Samurai Hustle Returns! earns itself a respectable debut, and may have broke ¥200 million ($2 million).  I'm anticipating its audience skewed possibly old enough to lower its avg. ticket price, though, so I'm going with an estimate just below the mark.  Either way, a total over ¥1 billion ($10 million) is guaranteed. 

 

>Gods of Egypt actually had a decent enough opening, even if the figure and ranking themselves are poor; it could have done much worse, and this start at least avoided bomb territory.

[Cookson]

Can you get a Godzilla admissions list? It should have passed the 1966 film.

[Hei25]

Corpse, you said that Your Lie in April (Shigatsu wa Kimi no Uso) is a shojo, but as I know it's manga adaptation was published in Kodansha's Gekkan Shonen Magazine. I read that manga early this year and I really think that it is a shonen. Does the movie changed it's genre?

 

Will A Silent Vicente (Koe no Katachi) be a limited release? What can we expect from it ?

[Corpse]

(C) 2016「君の名は。」製作委員会

 

Weekend Actuals (09/10-11)
01 (01) ¥1,134,768,600 ($11.1 million), -02%, ¥6,286,402,000 ($61.2 million), Your Name. (Toho) WK3
02 (---) ¥390,116,900 ($3.8 million), 0, ¥390,116,900 ($3.8 million), Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) NEW
03 (---) ¥244,602,900 ($2.4 million), 0, ¥244,602,900 ($2.4 million), Your Lie in April (Toho) NEW
04 (02) ¥217,881,600 ($2.1 million), -31%, ¥6,566,379,000 ($63.6 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) WK7
05 (---) ¥208,000,000 ($2.0 million), 0, ¥208,000,000 ($2.0 million), Samurai Hustle Returns! (Shochiku) NEW
06 (---) ¥119,204,100 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥162,249,600 ($1.5 million), Gods of Egypt (Gaga) NEW
07 (03) ¥111,424,400 ($1.0 million), -46%, ¥3,879,939,800 ($37.9 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) WK5
08 (04) ¥86,303,900 ($841,000), -48%, ¥1,078,271,000 ($10.5 million), Black Widow Business (Toho) WK3
09 (06) ¥66,726,400 ($651,000), -42%, ¥1,028,539,800 ($10.0 million), Yell for the Blue Sky (Toho) WK4
10 (05) ¥51,362,800 ($502,000), -58%, ¥358,943,800 ($3.5 million), Now You See Me 2 (Kadokawa) WK2

 

>Your Name., director Makoto Shinkai's latest critically-acclaimed film (and first wide release!), effortlessly remains atop the box office, almost staying flat with it's incredible second weekend selling a further 852,000 admissions, and earning 22% more than it did over its opening weekend.  After three weeks in release, it has sold over 4.8 million admissions.  Rather than typing paragraphs highlighting its unprecedented performance, I'll just provide a list of its biggest achievements below instead:

 

Here's the list of this weekend's biggest achievements:

 

>Biggest Third Weekend of All-Time for an Animated Film (NEW RECORD).
>Biggest Third Weekend of All-Time for a Domestic Film (NEW RECORD).
>3rd Biggest Third Weekend of All-Time (behind the first two Harry Potter films).
>5th Film to Achieve a Third Weekend Above ¥1 billion.
>6th Biggest Three-Week Total of All-Time.
>3rd Biggest Three-Week Total for an Animated Film (behind Spirited Away and Howl's Moving Castle).
>3rd Biggest Three-Week Total for a Domestic Film (behind, again, Spirited Away and Howl's Moving Castle).
>2nd Film to Achieve a Third Weekend Greater Than Its Opening Weekend (Frozen being the other).

 

The sci-fi/fantasy/romance film continues to reach record/near record results after three weeks, and is showing almost no signs of slowing down anytime soon (compared to last Mon., it only dropped 2%, as well).  At its current pace, it's going to exceed ¥8 billion ($80 million) after next weekend, and is very likely to reach the ¥10 billion ($100 million) milestone in 31 days or less (only four other films tie or best that pace).  It's suddenly become a likely ¥15 billion ($150 million) milestone, which could earn it a Top 10 position on the all-time list, and could even climb as high as ¥20 billion ($200 million).     

 

>Suicide Squad comes in a very distant second place, unsurprisingly, but its debut is an absolute success.  Over its debut weekend, Warner's band of bad guys sold an impressive 246,512 admissions over the weekend across 581 screens.  This opening allows it to beat The Dark Knight Rises's ¥372 million debut, and claims the title of biggest opening weekend for a DC film in the market!  Superhero films are naturally frontloaded in the market, but a total slightly over ¥2 billion ($20 million) should be doable.    

 

>Your Lie in April comes in third place selling a solid 200,036 admissions over the weekend on 294 screens.  I misspoke over the weekend calling this a shojo adaptation, when it's actually a shonen adaptation.  Shonen films have a very wide range when it comes to debuts compared to shojo films, and often have varying plots, so comparing it to other shonen films is difficult.  The debut, though, is quite solid and should allow it to reach a total around ¥1.5 billion ($15 million).  

 

>Shin Godzilla experiences its worst drop-to-date, but a 31% decline in its seventh week of release against four successful wide openers is still quite strong.  And after seven weeks in release, it's managed to exceed 4.5 million admissions.  It's already sold more tickets than any Godzilla film since 1966, but now it's looking quite likely that it'll sell over 5.13 million admissions, beating 1965's Invasion of Astro-Monster as well!  It's on track to exceed an incredible ¥7.5 billion ($75 million) (that'd give it a multiplier over 12!).   

 

>Samurai Hustle Returns! rounds out the top 5, debuting with 171,000 admissions over the weekend across 282 screens.  The period-comedy earned a low avg. ticket price, indicating it skewed toward a senior audience as most period-comedies tend to do.  This is another successful debut this weekend, and it'll be targeting a total near ¥1.5 billion ($15 million).    

 

>Gods of Egypt was the weekend's weakest opener, and while it misses the top 5, it actually didn't far too badly, especially compared to expectations.  Since opening on Friday, it sold 113,154 admissions, and that's fine for this type of film that could have easily bombed.

[Cookson]

There's EIGHT new releases next week. Where does Shin Godzilla fit in that? Are any of these new releases expected to open big? Worried Shin Godzilla will drop low in the top ten this upcoming weekend!

Edited September 13, 2016 by Cookson

[Corpse]

Shin Godzilla will be fine.  It'll likely come in 6th next weekend, but I wouldn't rule out 5th either.  I wouldn't worry about its upcoming holds whatsoever.

 

There's actually 20 or so new releases, but that's not unusual (Japan releases and receives LOTS of films, the majority being limited releases).  Among them, only Rage and The BFG are major wide releases (300+ theaters).  The Red Turtle and A Silent Voice are also wide releases, but they're only playing in just over 100 theaters.  

 

 

[Corpse]

Also, everyone, many of you are familiar with WOKJ that I primarily post at.  There, I post weekly updated yearly charts (opening weekends/totals) and various other weekly charts.  It's a bit difficult to copy/paste them to post here due to certain codes not being supported, some colors being hard to see, etc..  So, rather than go through editing them every week, I'll just make a post here with a link to the most recent page of my thread at WOKJ for you guys to see all the charts.

 

Here's this weeks:

 

http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322&start=7800

[edroger3]

Frozen vs Your Name UL daily admissions (assuming UL = 65%)

 

 

[GMANonScified]

12 hours ago, Corpse said:

Also, everyone, many of you are familiar with WOKJ that I primarily post at.  There, I post weekly updated yearly charts (opening weekends/totals) and various other weekly charts.  It's a bit difficult to copy/paste them to post here due to certain codes not being supported, some colors being hard to see, etc..  So, rather than go through editing them every week, I'll just make a post here with a link to the most recent page of my thread at WOKJ for you guys to see all the charts.

 

Here's this weeks:

 

http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322&start=7800

Are the "all-time" rankings based on attendance or gross?

[cannastop]

36 minutes ago, GMANonScified said:

Are the "all-time" rankings based on attendance or gross?

Gross.

 

It's this list:

 

http://www.kogyotsushin.com/archives/alltime/

[seduh]

amazing numbers for Your Name!