JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[edroger3]

2 hours ago, GMANonScified said:

Are the "all-time" rankings based on attendance or gross?

Here you can find all the Japanese boxoffice numbers provided by Corpse. There are the all-time charts both in attendance and gross.

 

http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322&hilit=japan

[Corpse]

Those front page lists need some updating.  I think I last updated them in February or March.

 

I'll get around to it later this week.

[cannastop]

http://www.kogyotsushin.com/archives/alltime/

 

There are now 6 movies in the 2016 season in the top 100, if we go by December starting the year.

 

#19. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (December 2015)

#67 Zootopia

#84 Finding Dory

#88 Shin Godzilla

#96 Detective Conan 2016

#97 Your Name

 

2015: 3, with two of them released in December 2014.

 

2014: 4, with one released in December 2013

 

2013: 3, with one of them in December 2012

 

Quite the year for movies in Japan.

 

[cannastop]

@Corpse

 

I know that Golden Week is a big time for movies in Japan, but for some reason, only three April movies are in the top 100, and two of them are from this very year. I would not have guessed that. There are six March movies, though. Both are utterly dwarfed by the over 30 July movies in the list.

[Corpse]

Golden Week, while being one of the three biggest weeks of the year, occurs during/right before two of the weakest months of the year (May/June).  Notable films get released in April ahead of Golden Week, but they're not usually the major tentpoles on the release schedule since post-Golden Week earnings are generally weak and rely more on a strong reception to counter the upcoming weak pre-Summer period. 

 

A Spring (March) release is often more favorable than April as well, since a film is able to enjoy the Spring Break week (not a major week, but still lucrative) with the hope that it'll still be playing strong going into Golden Week next month.

 

The main point being:  While Golden Week is a major week, it alone usually isn't worth scheduling a major tentpole prior if mid/late December (before New Year) or mid-July through early-August (Summer Vacation/Obon), and sometimes mid-March (Spring Break), are an option and available.             

 

  

Edited September 14, 2016 by Corpse

[Giesi]

9 hours ago, cannastop said:

http://www.kogyotsushin.com/archives/alltime/

 

There are now 6 movies in the 2016 season in the top 100, if we go by December starting the year.

 

#19. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (December 2015)

#67 Zootopia

#84 Finding Dory

#88 Shin Godzilla

#96 Detective Conan 2016

#97 Your Name

 

2015: 3, with two of them released in December 2014.

 

2014: 4, with one released in December 2013

 

2013: 3, with one of them in December 2012

 

Quite the year for movies in Japan.

 

Is the 3rd column the adjusted for inflation number?

[Giesi]

9 hours ago, cannastop said:

http://www.kogyotsushin.com/archives/alltime/

 

There are now 6 movies in the 2016 season in the top 100, if we go by December starting the year.

 

#19. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (December 2015)

#67 Zootopia

#84 Finding Dory

#88 Shin Godzilla

#96 Detective Conan 2016

#97 Your Name

 

2015: 3, with two of them released in December 2014.

 

2014: 4, with one released in December 2013

 

2013: 3, with one of them in December 2012

 

Quite the year for movies in Japan.

 

Dp

Edited September 14, 2016 by Giesi

[lab276]

2 minutes ago, Giesi said:

Is the 3rd column the adjusted for inflation number?

 

No, that's the gross.

[Jason]

@Corpse Do you have an estimate for what this year's total box office will be in Japan and what the share will be for Japanese/imported films? I can't find a source that has year-to-date totals.

[Fullbuster]

When it comes to videogames this market is no longer what it was :

 

 

Crazy!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Cynosure]

Video games have expanded on mobile instead.

[edroger3]

27 minutes ago, Cynosure said:

Video games have expanded on mobile instead.

In fact the portable consoles market (Nintendo 3ds/2ds and PSP) have been totally burned by tablet and smartphone. Other the Xbox One was a failure, so now the entire Game Console market is almost all related to PS4. 

[efialtes76]

21 minutes ago, edroger3 said:

In fact the portable consoles market (Nintendo 3ds/2ds and PSP) have been totally burned by tablet and smartphone. Other the Xbox One was a failure, so now the entire Game Console market is almost all related to PS4. 

WiiU sold more units than PS4.

[edroger3]

6 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

WiiU sold more units than PS4.

WiiU is the biggest failure in history of videogames, at least if you don't work for Nintendo. 

[cannastop]

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-13476.html

 

Your Name's preorders are down 17% from last week. I think its 4th weekend is probably going to be under ¥1 billion.

Edited September 16, 2016 by cannastop

[efialtes76]

5 minutes ago, cannastop said:

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-13476.html

 

Your Name's preorders are down 17% from last week. I think its 3rd weekend is probably going to be under ¥1 billion.

Sunday will be bigger than last week.

[cannastop]

7 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

Sunday will be bigger than last week.

Oh yeah. There's a holiday on Monday.

 

[Corpse]

No film has ever achieved a fourth weekend above 1 billion, so that was always going to be a difficult figure to reach... however, if Sunday does deliver, it'd need a 12% decline to stay above 1 billion.  I don't think it's going to happen, but it's within reach.  

 

I'll have some the weekend forecast up soon, but in the meantime, I shared some charts on WOKJ over the week for those interesting: http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322&start=7810

 

Note:  This isn't self-advertising.  As I mentioned, it's time-consuming to format my posts there so they're readable here.

[Corpse]

(C) 2016「君の名は。」製作委員会

 

Weekend Forecast (09/17-18)
01 (01) ¥964,000,000 ($9.5 million), -15%, ¥8,300,000,000 ($80.9 million), Your Name. (Toho) WK4
02 (02) ¥207,000,000 ($2.0 million), -47%, ¥900,000,000 ($8.8 million), Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) WK2
03 (---) ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million), 0, ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million), A Silent Voice (Shochiku) NEW
04 (---) ¥180,000,000 ($1.8 million), 0, ¥180,000,000 ($1.8 million), Rage (Toho) NEW
05 (04) ¥154,000,000 ($1.5 million), -29%, ¥6,900,000,000 ($66.9 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) WK8
06 (03) ¥141,000,000 ($1.4 million), -42%, ¥550,000,000 ($5.3 million), Your Lie in April (Toho) WK2
07 (---) ¥130,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥130,000,000 ($1.3 million), The BFG (Disney) NEW
08 (05) ¥124,000,000 ($1.2 million), -40%, ¥525,000,000 ($5.1 million), Samurai Hustle Returns! (Shochiku) WK2
09 (06) ¥72,000,000 ($705,000), -39%, ¥350,000,000 ($3.4 million), Gods of Egypt (Gaga) WK2
10 (07) ¥70,000,000 ($685,000), -37%, ¥3,975,000,000 ($38.8 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) WK6

 

>Your Name. only declined 3% week-to-week heading into its fourth weekend, and pre-sales suggest that while a weekend increase is unlikely, a great hold is in store; possibly sub-10% since Monday is a holiday, which should boost Sunday's evening business.  

 

No film has ever achieved a fourth weekend above ¥1 billion, and I don't think that'll be changing this weekend, but it's going to come really close and could take Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone's fourth weekend record of ¥972.2 million.  I know it fell short of taking the second weekend record after I said it was "very likely", but this weekend is a lot easier since it doesn't require an increase, nor a sub-10% decrease, to achieve it.  

 

Its four-week total is also going to comfortably exceed ¥8 billion, making it only the sixth film to reach exceed the milestone after four weeks, and depending on the total after Sunday, its four-week total could be anywhere from the second to fifth highest ever (after Spirited Away, the next three are quite close).  I'll post the biggest fourth weeks chart in a bit.

 

>A Silent Voice is only playing at 120 locations, but its pre-sales are very impressive (~27% of its available tickets).  It'll be limited in what it can do over the weekend due to its screen count, but a potential second place debut with ¥200 million, or more, is looking pretty reasonable right now.

 

>Rage should experience a solid debut, but nothing is indicating it'll perform particularly well, so it'll need to rely on legs to propel it.  Pre-sales are decent, but ¥200 million will be tough unless walk-ups are strong, and Sunday delivers.

 

>The BFG is going to disappoint and likely miss the Top 5.

[Corpse]

Biggest Fourth Weekends (2001-)

 

¥972.2 million (-19%), ¥8.43 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥964.0 million (-15%), ¥8.30 billion - Your Name. (2016) *Prediction*
¥953.2 million, (-06%), ¥8.45 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥940.0 million, (+06%), ¥10.75 billion - Spirited Away (2001)
¥922.9 million, (-21%), ¥8.13 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥850.9 million, (-04%), ¥7.71 billion - Frozen (2014)
¥765.7 million, (+07%), ¥7.20 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge (2003)
¥755.2 million, (-03%), ¥7.21 billion - Ponyo (2008)
¥733.5 million,  (-27%), ¥7.11 billion - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥683.5 million, (-27%), ¥7.45 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥657.9 million, (-05%), ¥6.23 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥619.6 million (-25%), ¥8.24 billion - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) 
¥618.6 million,  (-23%), ¥6.02 billion - Rookies (2009)
¥617.1 million,  (+15%), ¥5.41 billion - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥604.4 million,  (-22%), ¥7.55 billion - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥565.4 million,  (-12%), ¥5.96 billion - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥556.0 million,  (-34%), ¥5.91 billion - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥543.9 million,  (-07%), ¥5.77 billion - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
¥542.8 million, (+07%), ¥5.18 billion - The Last Samurai (2003)
¥524.4 million, (-26%), ¥6.15 billion - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥521.6 million,  (-52%), ¥8.38 billion - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥520.8 million, (-01%), ¥3.83 billion - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
¥519.9 million, (+09%), ¥5.81 billion - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014)
¥518.5 million,  (-01%), ¥6.37 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥510.3 million,  (-07%), ¥5.60 billion - The Wind Rises (2013)
¥510.1 million,  (-20%), ¥5.93 billion - Avatar (2009)
¥503.4 million,  (-09%), ¥4.19 billion - Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥501.2 million (-27%), ¥6.26 billion - The Da Vinci Code (2006)