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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

By Corpse, in International Box Office

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cannastop Global Phenomenon

cannastop

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Melvin Frohike said:

That's usually a safe bet, but I think I'll wait till I've seen Moana myself to decide.  I can do this in this thread, you see, because the Japanese themselves prefer to wait for WOM before going to see a movie, and often they even wait till a movie has been released in the rest of the world before deciding how to handle its release in Japan, so really I'm just keeping things thematically consistent here. ;)

I think delays in release are more caused by trends in movie going than by wanting to wait and see. After all, popular months to release movies aren't viable in Japan. May and June just don't work, so movies just get shuffled around. And movies that can't fit in December are pushed to March.

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cannastop Global Phenomenon

cannastop

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Presales for Saturday, September 10th, 2016

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-13362.html

rank sales # of seats shows locations % of last week

*1　68219　355376　944　145　118.7%　君の名は。(Your Name)
*2　31650　195179　909　155　******　スーサイド・スクワッド (Suicide Squad)
*3　12834　176757　748　141　******　四月は君の嘘 (Your Lie in April)
*4　12163　*87400　534　154　*67.8%　シン・ゴジラ (Shin Godzilla)

 

A 19% increase from last week for Your Name! This weekend will be huge. I wonder if it could be #1 for all 3rd weekends.

 

Suicide Squad also seems to be doing well. Maybe it could open with ¥500m. My guess it that it will surely end its run with at least $12m.

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cannastop Global Phenomenon

cannastop

Posted
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1 minute ago, Cynosure said:

Do you think the fact that it was released in a period without any strong weekdays a la Golden Week, Obon or New Year is helping make its weekends stronger ?

For a minute there, I didn't realize Corpse beat me to this thread, lol.


But yeah, I guess that seems likely. Just like how March movies get big weekend bumps in the domestic market.

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Corpse Sleeper Hit

Corpse

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Your Name. is helping everything by its insane business.  Before showings even begin today, one in five seats for the entire day have been filled and it's likely going to reach 60% capacity for the day/weekend.

 

Superhero movies do tend to have high pre-sales when compared to other genres, but Suicide Squad's pre-sales are still noticeable strong.  It almost seems too strong, so I wonder if there's a giveaway or some events going on today or something.  And, of course, it'll benefit from Your Name. selling out/nearly selling out throughout the day/weekend.  It'll probably drop a bit on Sunday, unless Your Name. spillover boosts it further, but 400 million+ actually looks doable for it at the moment.   Color me surprised it that happens.   

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Corpse Sleeper Hit

Corpse

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tumblr_o5bjg6eGlv1rxaojso2_500.gif
(C) 2016「君の名は。」製作委員会

 

Weekend Forecast (09/10-11)
01 (01) ¥1,300,000,000 ($12.7 million), +12%, ¥6,250,000,000 ($60.9 million), Your Name. (Toho) WK3
02 (---) ¥450,000,000 ($4.4 million), 0, ¥450,000,000 ($4.4 million), Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) NEW
03 (02) ¥238,000,000 ($2.3 million), -25%, ¥6,525,000,000 ($63.3 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) WK7
04 (---) ¥220,000,000 ($2.1 million), 0, ¥220,000,000 ($2.1 million), Your Lie in April (Toho) NEW
05 (---) ¥160,000,000 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥160,000,000 ($1.5 million), Samurai Hustle Returns! (Shochiku) NEW
06 (03) ¥133,000,000 ($1.3 million), -33%, ¥3,875,000,000 ($37.9 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) WK5
07 (04) ¥106,000,000 ($1.0 million), -37%, ¥1,050,000,000 ($10.1 million), Black Widow Business (Toho) WK3
08 (06) ¥90,000,000 ($880,000), -21%, ¥1,025,000,000 ($9.9 million), Yell for the Blue Sky (Toho) WK4
09 (---) ¥80,000,000 ($780,000), 0, ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), Gods of Egypt (Gaga) NEW
10 (05) ¥72,000,000 ($700,000), -40%, ¥375,000,000 ($3.6 million), Now You See Me 2 (Kadokawa) WK2

 

>Your Name. is poised to do the unthinkable and increase once again, this time coming off of its sixth biggest second weekend of all-time, and is very, very likely beating Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone's 15-year long third weekend record of ¥1.206 billion.  It could actually exceed 1 million admissions in its third weekend of release (15.3% increase required); absolutely insane and without any comparison at the box office whatsoever.  It's in a different league than any film if it actually achieves that.

 

Over its opening weekend, it sold through 43% of its available weekend admissions.  Then, it experienced an incredible increase last weekend to sell through 55% of its available weekend admissions.  And now, it's looking at possibly selling through 60% of its available weekend admissions in its third weekend.

 

I don't know where this insanity stops, because we have a holiday week coming up after its fourth weekend... that's going to be fun.  It's going to zoom right by the ¥10 billion ($100 million) milestone like it was nothing.  It now has a greater than 50% chance of exceeding ¥15 billion ($150 million), which will earn it a Top 10 All-Time spot.  And... it's beginning to look like a total over ¥20 billion ($200 million) is in play.

 

>Suicide Squad is set to debut very well, especially for a superhero film, if pre-sales are any indications.  Superhero films tend to have high pre-sales to weekend admissions ratios, so it could end up being frontloaded, but I doubt it's going to be too frontloaded.  Why?  Because of Your Name. continue to sellout the entire weekend at many locations nationwide.  Its unprecedented performance boosted everything last weekend from spillover business, and it's likely going to do the same again this weekend.

 

SS's pre-sales suggest it'll open comfortably above ¥400 million, making it the biggest opener in DC's history in the market!  

 

>Your Lie in April seems likely to land in the ¥200-250 million range that's typical of most shojo films.  It's a respectable range to debut in, and legs for these films are generally strong, so it'll likely end up being another success for the genre.

 

>Gods of Egypt is set to bomb, but that's not unexpected or anything.

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Cookson Box Office Gold

Cookson

Posted
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8 minutes ago, Corpse said:

Considering its in its seventh weekend and facing four more wide openers, I'd say a potential 25% decline would be very impressive.  It's going to break $70 million, no worries. :P

 

I have a great feeling it could do more than 2.3 simply because of Your Name. spillover/sellouts! Hoping! Not ready for 20%+ drops yet!!!!

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eXtacy Blockbuster

eXtacy

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I am baffled. Its now ranked #1 (9.33) on MyAnimeList, not just movies, surpassing TV series Fullmetal Alchemist Brotherhood (9.26). What is going on!

 

This thing is insane. A second week in a row with an increase :o

 

I hope it can get a good dub and come to Australia before the end of the year

Edited by eXtacy
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