I'm pretty interested to see how WDA's streak continues this weekend. I remember back in 2010 most places had Tangled opening to around $35M and it did $48. Frozen was looked to open around what Tangled did, managed $67. If Moana continues this trend it could hit $70-80 million.
Based on the synopsis it sounds more like the grim, dark shit will mostly be in the first act (or hell, first scenes) and most of the movie will be about him recovering and trying to race again with the new character which I imagine won't be as gritty.
Either way meh bring on Coco and Incredibles II.
I hated Michael Bay when I was 16 and angry with life but these days I do think he makes solid if dumb fun films that happen to look really really nice.
Exactly. That's a big reason films in the 80s and 90s had longer and arguably more lucrative box office runs. A lot of times they'd start out only in the big markets before moving to the smaller markets. Nowadays it's all about blowing your load opening weekend and seeing what you have left afterwards.
A massive amount of theaters isn't always necessary. When you have a release in the 3,000-3,500 range you've pretty much guaranteed there's going to be a theater within a reasonable distance of most of the population.
It will still make a gillion dollars internationally and come away with a profit.
Though next time it wouldn't surprise me if they skipped the domestic release altogether in favor of a select international release (in high interest markets) for a little while before going straight to Netflix or something.
I do wonder if Viacom/Paramount fought for the Marvel deal. Like, did Disney just come out of nowhere and say "hey we'll buy you for this much"? I assume since, at the time, they were distributing all the films they must have caught wind Marvel was interested in such a thing.
Yes, and it makes sense, considering franchises run Hollywood these days. Releases are super wide to get big opening weekends and make a lot of money so that they can replace the film with another big weekend earner.
Its just another reason original or non-franchise films are having a harder and harder time being hits. They get released one weekend and within only a few short weeks they'll get taken out despite the fact that they need WOM to develop legs and in turn a financially successful run.
Another nail in the Hollywood coffin.
Definitely some great numbers. The real test is how it will perform over the weekend. Toy Story 3 had relatively muted weekend boosts thanks to its strong weekdays, and Dory's have been even stronger in comparison to its weekend numbers.
I'm not on the $80 million weekend boat yet. It might struggle to hit $70 million.