Weekend Estimates: Thor TDW 86.1M, Ender 10.25, Free Birds 11.2, Grav 8.4, BG 11.3, Last Vegas 11.1

[Biggestgeekever]

Don't set yourself up for disappointment.

Whenever I'm on the high end of predictions (and I know I'm on the high, high end with CF), I'm not disappointed if it doesn't pan out. I just admit I overpredicted, hehe.

 

DH2, Avengers both had IMAX and 3D.  

So CF will need to sell more tickets than them, which I believe it will.

[AdamKendall]

What do you mean?

Remember how they separated that preview money from 7pm showings ... so was always reported as '4 day opening' of 128 and 116 3 day opening.

 

Iron Man and others all lumped the preview money together with Friday & the weekend.

Edited November 9, 2013 by Adam

[Dementeleus]

Remember how they separated that preview money from 7pm showings ... so was always reported as '4 day opening' of 128 and 116 3 day opening.

 

Since TDKR, they basically don't do that anymore. It's up to the studio, and usually they just wrap all the early/sneak/midnights into one lump number and count it towards the OD.

[boomboom234]

he means that while man of steel actual weekend was 128 million a lot of people here only say 116 million because of the 12 million walmart tickets that were only for thrusday

[baumer]

Whenever I'm on the high end of predictions (and I know I'm on the high, high end with CF), I'm not disappointed if it doesn't pan out. I just admit I overpredicted, hehe.

 

So CF will need to sell more tickets than them, which I believe it will.

 

There's a saturation point.  There are only so many seats to go around.  I don't see how it's possible for a film without 3D to hit 90 mill OD.

[starkster]

Damn and I was so sure it would be around 88m-90m. I probably got too much carried away with avengers effect

[CaptainJackSparrow]

Where is Kowhite?

[AdamKendall]

Since TDKR, they basically don't do that anymore. It's up to the studio, and usually they just wrap all the early/sneak/midnights into one lump number and count it towards the OD.

True, I just mentioned it because Neo claimed that Catching Fire preview # would be separate when they lump that all together.

Edited November 9, 2013 by Adam

[John Marston]

Hmm three people now saying the same thing

Edited November 9, 2013 by John Marston

[Blankments]

 Of course the one review I look at for Thor 2 spoils

the Avengers cameo in the cast listing.

Because I didn't want to be surprised tomorrow night

Edited November 9, 2013 by baumer

[Chewy]

he means that while man of steel actual weekend was 128 million a lot of people here only say 116 million because of the 12 million walmart tickets that were only for thrusday

 

Yep and people also say its legs were better than they were since they use that 116M number 

[baumer]

For CF to hit 90 mill, Friday matinees would basically have to sell out.  And not just in pockets of NA but in a lot of places.  The evening shows will be sold out, we know that.  But to hit 90 mill, hell even 80 mill, you would need day shows to be near sell outs.  Not going to happen imo.

[CaptainJackSparrow]

I now say 78 mil, let's see if that happens!

[Neo]

Remember how they separated that preview money from 7pm showings ... so was always reported as '4 day opening' of 128 and 116 3 day opening.

 

Iron Man and others all lumped the preview money together with Friday & the weekend.

128M was the total as of Sunday, the OW was 116M. Still the previews weren't added to the OD.

[AdamKendall]

Yep and people also say its legs were better than they were since they use that 116M number 

True.

 

Legs were not good for MOS ... or IM3 ... shows how great multipliers were for Avengers & TDKR. 

[TLK]

I have been thinking low 80s for a while. The Avengers effect is real but who knows how long will it last ? This is why I am not very high on GOTG. Marvel is trying to link all of its properties back to The Avengers and people (GA not the fanboys) are going to get tired of the two movies a year deal in a couple of years tops.

[John Marston]

I can see 90m for CF . It will then drop harshly on Saturday. Higher the opening the bigger the fall

[AdamKendall]

128M was the total as of Sunday, the OW was 116M. Still the previews weren't added to the OD.

I know they weren't ... that's my point.  MOS was the exception this year in that regard.

 

Iron Man 3 also previewed at 7 or 8 pm Thursday yet all the money was considered 'Friday' & 'weekend'.

Edited November 9, 2013 by Adam

[CaptainJackSparrow]

And maybe there was worse WOM for Iron Man 3 than we thought.

[boomboom234]

No movie not named despicable Me 2 had great legs this summer it was too crowded for the first couple months