Weekend Estimates: Thor TDW 86.1M, Ender 10.25, Free Birds 11.2, Grav 8.4, BG 11.3, Last Vegas 11.1

[shayhiri]

Meh Friday number for Thor 2. It barely increased over Thor 1 minus the previews.

 

Exactly.

 

What thoroughly befuddles me is why some of the Loktards STILL try to sugarcoat this humiliating failure.

 

Human nature never ceases to amuse me.

[filmnerdjamie]

People were predicting as high as 150m OW for Hobbit pre-release. And once the numbers came out, it suddenly became "it was never realistic to expect 100M+ OW in December".

 

People are already predicting 150m+ or even 200m+ OW for SW7 and Aavatar 2. And I bet by the time SW7/A2 opens, once the numbers comes out to be much much lower, say even below 100M, it suddenly will again become "it was never realistic to expect 100M+ OW in December".

 

This is how the forums works. No offense to TDW or anyone or any movie, just a matter of fact.

 

Hack, "It was even unrealistic to expect STID open higher than ST09" under the similar THEORY. Nuff said. 

 

You forgot to drop your mic.

[#ED]

Update me. Thor 2 underperforming to this forums expectations?

[Fake]

No official number yet?

[The Stingray]

Where's Sam?

[Talon]

Update me. Thor 2 underperforming to this forums expectations?

Yep, 90-100 was expected by many vocal users. 

Edited November 9, 2013 by Talon

[filmnerdjamie]

I don't remember anyone saying Thor's trailer was MEH, before the "underwhelming" Friday gross.

 

I did.

[kayumanggi]

How so?

 

DC is way behind. They're so desperate they're cramming Batman, Wonder Woman,and Nightwing into MOS2.

 

They want the benefits of the Marvel formula without doing the ground work. 

 

Why not wait for the film first? lol

[shayhiri]

Update me. Thor 2 underperforming to this forums expectations?

 

Why sound surprised? This is what ALWAYS happens with superhero baloney. These are movie-bubbles, always inflated miles beyond their true worth.

[grim22]

http://www.deadline.com/2013/11/domestic-box-office-top-10-thor-drops-hammer-for-82-million-weekend/

 

 

As expected, Marvel’s Thor: The Dark World dropped the hammer on the competition to gross around $31 million between Thursday and Friday nights. The film got an A- Cinemascore and did even better than that in the young demo. It will finish in the $82 million range for the weekend.

Now, that certainly is imposing, but it is not as impressive as last year, when the 007 installment Skyfall grossed $88.4 million. Then again, the first Thor had a domestic gross of $65 million on its opening frame.

 

1) Thor: The Dark World/ PG13/ Disney / Week 1/ Runs: 3841/ NEW / $31.500 Fri./ $29.925 Sat. -5% / $20.948 Sun. -30% = $82.373. Per Screen Average: $21,446. Total domestic gross $82 million.

 

2) Last Vegas/ PG13/ CBS Films / Week 2/ Runs: 3082/ $3.308 Fri./ $5.128 Sat. 55% / $3.077 Sun. -40% = $11.513. Dropoff from last weekend: -30%. Per Screen Average: $3,736. Total domestic gross $33.9 million.

 

3) Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa R Rating, Paramount/ Week 3/ Runs: 3187/ $3.406 Fri./ $4.939 Sat. 45% / $2.963 Sun.= $11.309. Dropoff -43% from last weekend. Per Screen Average: $3,548. Total domestic gross $78.8 million.

 

4) Free Birds/ PG/ Relativity. Week 2/ Runs: 3736/ $2.563 Fri./ $5.127 Sat. 100% / $3.332 Sun. -35% = $11.022 Wknd -30%. Per Screen Average: $2,950. Total domestic gross $30.0

 

5) Ender’s Game/ PG13/ Lionsgate/ Week 2/ Runs: 3407/ $3.144 Fri./ $4.402 Sat. 40% / $2.861 Sun. -35% = $10.407 Weekend drop off is -61%. Per screen average is $3,055. Total domestic gross is $44.2.

 

6) Gravity/ PG13/ WB / Wk 6/ Runs: 2720/ $2.291 Fri./ $4.009 Sat. 75% / $2.205 Sun. -45% = $8.505 Weekend dropoff is -34%. Per Screen Average is $3,127. Total domestic box office is $231.2)

 

7) 12 Years A Slave/ R/ Fox Searchlight / Week 4/ Runs: 1144, increased from 734/ $1.820 Fri./ $2.820 Sat. 55% / $1.833 Sun. -35% = $6.473 Weekend gross is up 35% from last weekend. Per Screen Average: $5,658. Total domestic gross is $17.2 million.

 

Eighth) Capt. Phillips PG13/ Sony/ Week 5/ Runs: 2646/ $1.653 Fri./ $2.728 Sat. 65% / $1.501 Sun. -45% = $5.882. Dropoff From Last Weekend -30%. Per Screen Average: $2,223. Total domestic box office $91.1.

 

9) About Time/ R/ Universal / Week 2/ Runs: 1200 / $1.437 Fri./ $2.012 Sat. 40% / $1.308 Sun. -35% = $4.757. Up 342% From Last Weekend Limited Release. Per Screen Avg: $3,964. Total Domestic Gross $6.3

 

10) Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 2/ PG/ Sony / Week 7/ Runs: 1836/ $0.641 Fri./ $1.441 Sat. 125% / $0.937 Sun. -35% = $3.019. Weekend Dropoff is -27%. Per Screen Average is $1,644. Total Domestic Box Office is $110.2

[lab276]

http://www.deadline.com/2013/11/domestic-box-office-top-10-thor-drops-hammer-for-82-million-weekend/

That's monstrous to read so here:1 Thor 2 82.42 Last Vegas 11.53 Bad Grandpa 11.34 Free Birds 115 Ender's Game 10.46 Gravity 8.57 12 YAS 6.58 Cap Phillips 5.99 About Time 4.810 Cloudy 2 3Top 10 155.3m Edited November 9, 2013 by lab276

[druv10]

What? It has already locked a "decent" OW. A strong Saturday bump will help it "salvage" a spectacular OW.

 

 

No, 82M OW isn't spectacular and when you take into account inflation it probably sold just about same tickets as Thor 1 on Friday. Noway to spin that as good or great. 

[Shawn Robbins]

Sure I'm not the first to say this, but, here come the meltdowns...

 

Official estimates coming soon.

[Spidey Freak]

No, 82M OW isn't spectacular and when you take into account inflation it probably sold just about same tickets as Thor 1 on Friday. Noway to spin that as good or great. 

 

Could we at least wait till Saturday numbers before having this discussion? 

[Spidey Freak]

http://www.deadline.com/2013/11/domestic-box-office-top-10-thor-drops-hammer-for-82-million-weekend/

 

LOVE your fierce new avatar, grim!

[forg]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 13m

GRAVITY: $2.30M Friday (est) / $225.01M Domestic Total / 2,720 Locations / $846 Location Avg. #Gravity

 

Nice!

[keysersoze123]

BO.com is putting in friday numbers.

 

[*]
BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 3m
ENDER'S GAME: $2.91M Friday (est) / $36.66M Domestic Total / 3,407 Locations / $854 Location Avg. #EndersGame
 
[*]
BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 12m
ABOUT TIME: $1.5M Friday (est) / $3.02M Domestic Total / 1,200 Locations / $1,250 Location Avg. #AboutTime
Expand
[*]
BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 33m

GRAVITY: $2.30M Friday (est) / $225.01M Domestic Total / 2,720 Locations / $846 Location Avg. #Gravity

[Jack Nevada]

I think I'll watch Captain America tonight. Haven't seen it since the original release.

[baumer]

Hindsight is always 20-20. So its easy to say after a release. While predicting ahead fanboyism causes you to get ahead of yourself. That is why we saw 1.5B WW+ for Hobbit and 1B for Thor.

 

That is why I dont see SW7 making more than Sith UNADJUSTED. I dont see it doing admission figures of prequels for several reasons. One SW does not have the same aura that Prequels carried over from original trilogy. Plus prequels aged badly(even sith aint that great) bcos acting is just HORRIBLE. Similarly I dont see it make more than 600-700M OS. I have seen folks predicting 2B WW for SW7 which is just crazy.

 

Similary Avatar/Avengers sequel will also drop. Its inevitable as the 1st flicks are too big.

 

I respect your opinion on film here more than most, but I disagree with your outlook on the new SW film.  When Menace came out it did massive numbers.  Without looking at what it adjusts to now, it has to be over 500 mill.  And with the interest there will be with SW this time, simply because of the returning cast, the opening weekend will have to be high.  How could it not?  Sith, which came out after the ostensibly hated Clones, managed a 50 million dollar opening day.  That, at the time, was unprecedented. What reason would it have this time around, to not do well opening weekend?  I agree that perhaps some of the massive predictions will not come true, but why would it open to under 100 mill like some are suggesting?  This is the apex franchise and it has enough loonies to come out in droves opening weekend and with the next weekend being Christmas weekend, it's bound to have a great hold.  

 

Forget about the Avatar comparisons but take even a film like Did You Hear About The Morgans?  That opened on December 18th 2009 also.  It fell 41% on the 21st, up 10% on the Tues, down 14% on Wed, down 35% on Thurs and then on Christmas Day it jumped 132%, then 27% and then declined by 23% on the Sunday.

 

Take even conservative estimates for the new SW film, lets say Clones adjusted: That would be about 120 mill after 3 days which gives it about a 30 mill Sunday.  Using Morgan's drops and increases, you have:

 

120 mill three days:

Monday:  18 mill

Tues:  19.8 mill

Wed:  17

Thurs (Christmas Eve): 11

Friday:  25.8 mill

Sat:  32.87

Sun:  25.5

 

So after Christmas weekend, using conservative numbers, it's at 270 mill.  How do you see it grossing only another 110 mill from there?

 

600 mill?  Doubtful.  500 mill?  Difficult to see the future is.  But 400, 450?  That seems very reasonable and if the film is better liked than EP 1 and 2, it should have a shot at 500 mill.

Edited November 9, 2013 by baumer

[keysersoze123]

Sure I'm not the first to say this, but, here come the meltdowns...

 

Official estimates coming soon.

 

So its lower than DH numbers. hmmm