zackzack Posted June 26, 2014 Share Posted June 26, 2014 If TF4 makes less than 1b ww (say something like, 250m us + 250m china + 450m others = 950m ww), Hobbit 3 could take the ww crown. We could also have a year without a 1b movie Mockingjay will step up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LexJoker Posted June 26, 2014 Share Posted June 26, 2014 Mockingjay will step up The Part 1s hardly step up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted June 26, 2014 Share Posted June 26, 2014 Even China + DOM do 500m. Rest markets all drop in the 30% ~ 50% (Europe, Japan, AU) range. do the math, it is heading to 900m at the most. Even 800m is not safe. YouI're making sweeping projections based off a very small data sample. I see no reason why other markets should drop that much, especially Europe and Latin America. They never watched the first two movies. Franchise fatigue should not be an issue there. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ash Skywalker Posted June 26, 2014 Share Posted June 26, 2014 I don't know how the other countries showings are going on But in Hyderabad(INDIA)theaters are JAM PACKED with Transformers movie even in Previews. it will have a great opening weekend in India for sure! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted June 26, 2014 Share Posted June 26, 2014 Even China + DOM do 500m. Rest markets all drop in the 30% ~ 50% (Europe, Japan, AU) range. do the math, it is heading to 900m at the most. Even 800m is not safe.Okay you're WAAAAAY overreacting. $800M is locked, $900M is probable, $1B is 50/50. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddevil18 Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 Christ, theater owners in Portugal should just fucking give up and close up shop. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddevil18 Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 Even China + DOM do 500m. Rest markets all drop in the 30% ~ 50% (Europe, Japan, AU) range. do the math, it is heading to 900m at the most. Even 800m is not safe. Why exactly are you expecting 50% drops in pretty much all major markets? There is nothing to indicate this. Let's wait until mid-July until it's playing in those markets and see. I am not comfortable making such drastic assumptions about its drops. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 (edited) Christ, theater owners in Portugal should just fucking give up and close up shop. But, then how would CJohn watch movies? They need to stay open for at least his sake. Edited June 27, 2014 by Empire 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 Okay you're WAAAAAY overreacting. $800M is locked, $900M is probable, $1B is 50/50. I hope so ....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donald Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 OkayThe levy breaks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alisson23 Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 But, then how would CJohn watch movies? They need to stay open for at least his sake. this is so sad :'( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alee7915 Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 BREAKING NEWS http://t.zhongsou.co...4971069802.html CHINA: Transformers 4 Midnight 40M/$6.5M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 WOW. Great Number. Might crack 200M OD with this midnights. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 BREAKING NEWS http://t.zhongsou.co...4971069802.html CHINA: Transformers 4 Midnight 40M/$6.5M Big start already in China. If this gets to 1 billion, China will probably be the biggest reason why. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 so what are the chances of China > USA+Canada for TF4 ? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 Very very small Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 (edited) That midnight number for China is wrong. In the China forum they say it made 20.5M yuan / $3.3M. Still a record for midnight (prior record is IM3 at 12.4M yuan / $2.1M). Nevertheless, I think it is a foregone conclusion that $1B is out of the question. NA will drop at least $100M from TF3, my guess is $115M drop (total will be $237M). China may earn $50M more than TF3. It must lose another $60M from the rest of the world to drop below $1B and I think the World Cup can make that happen, because Europe would decrease anyway and now there are many Latin American countries still playing in the World Cup so Latin America will also see a decrease (in some countries it opens on the weekend of the World Cup final and third place match). Asia is not enough to compensate. In the countries that it opens after the World Cup finishes, it will be too close to Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, which I believe will be very successful. Edited June 27, 2014 by Quigley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 (edited) I think the World Cup can make that happen i hope so With such games-thrillers with actual biting Imo I see how ppl may prefer to actually watch men kicking the ball around to giant robot distruction Loving the overseas #s for this so far. Glad it is underperforming. i like how ppl can come together in hopes of a film bombing Edited June 27, 2014 by Tauriel 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
htall90 Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 i hope so With such games-thrillers with actual biting Imo I see how ppl may prefer to actually watch men kicking the ball around to giant robot distruction i like how ppl can come together in hopes of a film bombing They should of surely delayed release in Europe till after the world cup even thou loads of big European nations are out already England, Italy, Spain, Russia extc still stupid to put any movie up against the world cup in Europe. Still doing bad thou but hardly a flop if it does over $900 mil ww. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SentryTrans Posted June 27, 2014 Share Posted June 27, 2014 (edited) About $30m OD in China!$100m OW! Edited June 27, 2014 by SentryTrans 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
