AniNate Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 That's a valid point. I can see Ferguson playing a part in how the Academy votes except for the fact that they will likely forget Ferguson happened come January/Feb when they vote. But now we have all this other shit going on. Garner, Rice... I bet if Fruitvale Station were released this year it would've been the frontrunner. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Nevada Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 I don't see why Selma wouldn't win Best Picture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 But now we have all this other shit going on. Garner, Rice... I bet if Fruitvale Station were released this year it would've been the frontrunner. Fruitvale Station deserved a nomination last years. Its snub saddens me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 (edited) Locked - no way they miss the cut Boyhood Birdman The imitation game Very likely - there's still room for a surprising snub Selma (who would bet against it at this point) Unbroken (if critics put this in their top10, can't imagine how mainstream Academy voters snub it) Fighting for room - no one would be surprised to see any of this nommed or not Whiplash (raising) Gone girl (slightly fading, but it wasn't mean to convince critics) American Sniper (raising) Foxcatcher (fading) Theory of everything (fading) Possible surge oncoming Into the woods (uncertain) A most violent year (I would bet it's going to take a lot of heat in late December) Grand Budapest Hotel (under the radar surprise?) Edited December 9, 2014 by stripe 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 (edited) Everything is shaping up for Boyhood to win. Nominee likelihood is looking like 1.Boyhood 2.Birdman 3.The Imitation Game 4.The Theory of Everything 5.The Grand Budapest Hotel 6.Selma 7.Foxcatcher 8.Whiplash 9.Gone Girl 10.Into the Woods 11.St Vincent 12.Big Eyes Unbroken and American Sniper are dead. Edited December 12, 2014 by The Panda Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 14, 2014 Author Share Posted December 14, 2014 I was making the thread for the most Oscar noms of the year but closed the window on accident. Now I'm trying to figure what to put. While I can't imagine Boyhood getting more then 5 noms, it is considered one of the frontrunners so I'll likely have it there. Along with Birdman, Selma, Interstellar, Gone Girl and Unbroken. Yes I'm aware that some of those might not even be nominated-but you never know. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 14, 2014 Author Share Posted December 14, 2014 I doubt there will be a bp/bd split. Last time before 2012/2013 there was no consecutive splits since the 40s/50s. This year is not going the way I like though (Well Selma wouldn't be that bad, it isn't bugging me like some political films they wanted before lol) (And I wish Unbroken could be here but I knew it wouldn't since it has its background... but I rather not get into any of that) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 I having a feeling Selma is going to come in and win the award. Right now there is no front tunner. It gain its buzz in January when it released around MLK day. It is a film that going to appeal to lot of the academy and it i think it going to appeal to lot of the GA since it about one of the most famous Americans and an American in living memory to most older adults. If you look back 50 years ago MLK is probably in the top three most famous Americans. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 After Globes and SAG, I still think Unbroken will be nominated. That's my rank at this moment Locked or almost assured Boyhood Birdman The imitation game Selma Theory of everything The grand Budapest Hotel The contenders Gone girl Unbroken Into the woods Whiplash Foxcatcher Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 I was making the thread for the most Oscar noms of the year but closed the window on accident. Now I'm trying to figure what to put. While I can't imagine Boyhood getting more then 5 noms, it is considered one of the frontrunners so I'll likely have it there. Along with Birdman, Selma, Interstellar, Gone Girl and Unbroken. Yes I'm aware that some of those might not even be nominated-but you never know. Boyhood is looking at 6 noms - BP, BD, Screenplay, Supp Actor, Supp Actress, Editing. It could win anywhere from 1 (Supp Actress) to 5 (everything except Supp Actor). I gotta say that I'm glad Grand Budapest Hotel is putting up a good fight for a nomination here even though I don't love it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Oscars suck anyway, personally I found Interstellar better than Birdman and Boyhood but we all know which 2 will get more recognition. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 It's not a matter of a singular taste. In this forum there's a lot of love for sci-fy, comics and YA films that are usually perceived as the best of the year. But that's not necessarily true Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 You're never going to be satisfied as long as you expect the Oscar noms to fully align with your personal taste. I only get annoyed by snubs if I feel the film had the critical backing to warrant a nom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 In my Sliders parallel universe, Guardians of the Galaxy and Dawn of the Apes each have 6-7 nods and are nominated for best picture. Oscars are what they are until a big generationnal shift happens, meaning the 60-65 yo + voters are gone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 In my Sliders parallel universe, Guardians of the Galaxy and Dawn of the Apes each have 6-7 nods and are nominated for best picture. Oscars are what they are until a big generationnal shift happens, meaning the 60-65 yo + voters are gone. And then we'll be the old, white guys who don't get the new generation's tastes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Considering the 60-65 group came of age with films in the late 1960s and 70s when "mainstream" films were at their most adventurous I'm not sure why people think that's a conservative age group. Also it should be a long wait, the average 65 yr old now is estimated to live until at least 90. The biggest voting body in The Academy are actors, it's not a surprise they go for performance driven films. It is a surprise that so many though think so little of comedic performances when one would think they'd appreciate the skill more. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 16, 2014 Author Share Posted December 16, 2014 On the Oscar game I just put: Birdman Boyhood Foxcatcher The Grand Budapest Hotel The Imitation Game Selma Unbroken Alt: Interstellar (Would love to see Fury break in or Galaxy....) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Interstellar has as much of a shot at getting nominated for Best Picture as Neighbors does at this point. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 16, 2014 Author Share Posted December 16, 2014 I was just thinking of an alt. (And that isn't my final list anyway) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 16, 2014 Author Share Posted December 16, 2014 Forgot to put Gone Girl on there 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
