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2015: Top 10 Opening Weekend Predicitons

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    [*]Avengers: Age of Ultron - 198m

    [*]Mockingjay Part 2 - 190m

    [*]Star Wars Episode VII - 130m

 idk about anything else and idc

 

 

No chance without 3D. Even TDK adjusted ($180 mln) is out of range.

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No chance without 3D. Even TDK adjusted ($180 mln) is out of range.

Wouldn't say no chance with Katniss  :P the Hunger Games series has proven it doesn't follow trends too often. Guessing $175-180 million right now, but $190 million wouldn't surprise me. Bond 24 might lower upfront demand, though (then again, Thor 2 didn't hurt Catching Fire) 

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No chance without 3D. Even TDK adjusted ($180 mln) is out of range.

 

before DH2 harry potter adjusted reached heights of about 130m OWs. then DH2 did about 160m adjusted for inflation and no 3D. i think a franchise even more successful can manage a similar OW increase for the finale

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1. Avengers 2: 218 million 2.mocking jay part 2:165 million 3.FF7:110 million 4SW7:95 million 5.Bond 24: 92 million 6.Jurassic World:87 million 6.minions: 85 million 7.Cinderalla:78 million 8.Ant Man: 73 million 9.Inside Out:72.8 million 10.Termimator:70 million

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1. Avengers 2: 218 million 2.mocking jay part 2:165 million 3.FF7:110 million 4SW7:95 million 5.Bond 24: 92 million 6.Jurassic World:87 million 6.minions: 85 million 7.Cinderalla:78 million 8.Ant Man: 73 million 9.Inside Out:72.8 million 10.Termimator:70 million

No way in hell.

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before DH2 harry potter adjusted reached heights of about 130m OWs. then DH2 did about 160m adjusted for inflation and no 3D. i think a franchise even more successful can manage a similar OW increase for the finale

 

 

DH2 did 169 million with 3D when 3D was popular as well...

 

I think MJ2 doing 170-180 million is pretty huge. That would put it in the TDK, Spider Man 3, TA

"All Time Legendary Great Openings" category. 

Edited by Lordmandeep
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1.Avengers Age of Ultron $220,000,0002.Star Wars Episode VII $175,000,0003.The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 $170,000,0004.Jurassic World $110,000,000

5.Fast and Furious 7 $105,000,000

6.Bond 24 $100,000,0007.Ant-Man $80,000,0008.Inside out $75,000,0009.Minions $75,000,00010.Mission Impossible V $70,000,000

Edited by KaloVisor
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DH2 did 169 million with 3D when 3D was popular as well...

 

I think MJ2 doing 170-180 million is pretty huge. That would put it in the TDK, Spider Man 3, TA

"All Time Legendary Great Openings" category. 

 

DH2 only had like a 40% 3D share actually. And is IM3's opening "legendary" too then? People are predicting literally 250m for Avengers 2 but 190m for MJ2 is just a little too crazy right? Not to mention that's around what TDKR would have done without the tragic shooting.

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DH2 only had like a 40% 3D share actually. And is IM3's opening "legendary" too then? People are predicting literally 250m for Avengers 2 but 190m for MJ2 is just a little too crazy right? Not to mention that's around what TDKR would have done without the tragic shooting.

30M(82M) 53M 48M = 183M TDKR. MJII is more fan-driven than the Avengers.

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30M(82M) 53M 48M = 183M TDKR. MJII is more fan-driven than the Avengers.

 

are those adjusted or something? because tdkr was considered a contender for competing with avengers' ow record pre-tragedy. so i call bs if you think mj2 getting 190 is "unrealistic" it's the high-end but nowhere near crazy

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1.Avengers Age of Ultron $220,000,0002.Star Wars Episode VII $175,000,0003.The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 $170,000,0004.Jurassic World $110,000,000

5.Fast and Furious 7 $105,000,000

6.Bond 24 $100,000,0007.Ant-Man $80,000,0008.Inside out $75,000,0009.Minions $75,000,00010.Mission Impossible V $70,000,000

Your MIV and Sw7 picks are impossible they come out a week after each other so you have a star wars in its second weekend with with your opening is probably around 90 has there ever been a Christmas weekend that high

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DH2 only had like a 40% 3D share actually. And is IM3's opening "legendary" too then? People are predicting literally 250m for Avengers 2 but 190m for MJ2 is just a little too crazy right? Not to mention that's around what TDKR would have done without the tragic shooting.

 

IM3 had a 45% share as well your point?

 

IM3 is not a legendary opener as it had 3D boosting it as is the case for DH2 (its opening day is legendary though) 

 

The 40% 3D share has a big effect when we are talking about such big numbers you know.

 

So its been established that in 2D, TA and TDK opened to 180 million in 2D.

 

Now saying a film will beat that easily is saying that a film will become much more widely appealing then them. 

 

 

I think MJ2 can perhaps match them but become bigger is a bit much. 

Edited by Lordmandeep
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IM3 had a 45% share as well your point?

 

IM3 is not a legendary opener as it had 3D boosting it as is the case for DH2 (its opening day is legendary though) 

 

The 40% 3D share has a big effect when we are talking about such big numbers you know.

 

So its been established that in 2D, TA and TDK opened to 180 million in 2D.

 

Now saying a film will beat that easily is saying that a film will become much more widely appealing then them. 

 

 

I think MJ2 can perhaps match them but become bigger is a bit much. 

 

TDK sold 22m tickets on ow, TA sold 25m. IM3 did 20, so did TDKR. THG did 19 and CF did almost 19 too. so yeah i think MJ2 can do like 23. again though that's the high end, but again again, it's not crazy

Edited by water
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In 2015, these movies are guaranteed making over $100 in china ( in my opinion )1. The avengers 22. Mission 5 ( probably huge in japan too )3. Star wars 74. Fast 75. Bond 246. Jurassic world7. Ip man 3

Edited by Andy001
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Your MIV and Sw7 picks are impossible they come out a week after each other so you have a star wars in its second weekend with with your opening is probably around 90 has there ever been a Christmas weekend that high

there's never been a star wars film released at Christmas time. I may over predicting a little. but biggest opening in August was $69m until guardians came out.

Edited by KaloVisor
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