WrathOfHan Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 (edited) Spielberg can't even open 25M+ any more? Lincoln, a drama with no big star, opened to 21M... Spielberg+Hanks is a known winning combination. People will turn up provided that the marketing can make them aware of the film. When the ad played during the GOP debate last month there was tons of interest online. Edited September 14, 2015 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 (edited) I don't think Bridge of Spies will open that high, Steve Jobs will probably open higher than that IMO I think the Spielberg/Hanks connection will be enough for around $25 million. The Walk, Everest and The Martian are all slightly effects-driven, while Bridge of Spies is a straight older-skewing Cold War drama. Steve Jobs should skew much younger, and nothing in November except By the Sea targets Bridge's demo. Steve Jobs probably will, with Universal's hot streak this year I could see $30-35 million OW with their marketing department. Great minds think alike. I can't really comment on BLACK MASS's BO as it has had no marketing here due to different release schedules. It's selling more tickets than Maze Runner 2. Since that's a frontloaded YA sequel, it signals that Black Mass is heading for a sizable breakout - at least in the USA. The marketing has been solid here, and really showcases the fact that it's Johnny Depp's best performance in quite a while. Plus, F4 bombing has left dead space in the BO wouldn't be surprised to see big openers from now until October 23rd tbh. I doubt Goosebumps will do 37M otherwise those are pretty good predictions. I think the excellent advanced reviews and the Halloween timing will help it out. Plus, Pan bombing the weekend before would leave some room for a family-friendly entry in the marketplace. $37 million is bullish, so maybe closer to $23-26 million. Edited September 14, 2015 by mahnamahna 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 (edited) If Goosebumps was actually opening on Halloween then I think it could do close to 40M too, but it opens a tad too early to get that high. Marketing hasn't been great for it, though with any luck it will get great legs (if the reviews are to be believed, that is). Hotel Transylvania and Pan mean the family market is already fairly busy... success is not guaranteed. Edited September 14, 2015 by Tree-5000 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 I think the Spielberg/Hanks connection will be enough for around $25 million. The Walk, Everest and The Martian are all slightly effects-driven, while Bridge of Spies is a straight older-skewing Cold War drama. Steve Jobs should skew much younger, and nothing in November except By the Sea targets Bridge's demo. Steve Jobs probably will, with Universal's hot streak this year I could see $30-35 million OW with their marketing department. It's selling more tickets than Maze Runner 2. Since that's a frontloaded YA sequel, it signals that Black Mass is heading for a sizable breakout - at least in the USA. The marketing has been solid here, and really showcases the fact that it's Johnny Depp's best performance in quite a while. Plus, F4 bombing has left dead space in the BO wouldn't be surprised to see big openers from now until October 23rd tbh. I think the excellent advanced reviews and the Halloween timing will help it out. Plus, Pan bombing the weekend before would leave some room for a family-friendly entry in the marketplace. $37 million is bullish, so maybe closer to $23-26 million. Yeah, that's what I'm going with right now. If reviews are strong then I could see it doing 30's. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wafflecakes Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 People really think Black Mass is going to do THAT well? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PenguinHyphy Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 Black Mass: $53 million MR2: $41 million Next weekend HT2: $42 million Everest: $30 million (after its IMAX debut) 10/2 Martian: $46 million 10/16 Goosebumps: $37 million Bridge of Spies: $28 million Crimson Peak: $22 million 10/23 Steve Jobs: $24 million Paranormal Activity: $21 million Fall 2015 is just looking huge, at this point. At this point, it is clear that most of you guys predicate your predictions on what you want the movie to make because there is no way hell that Black Mass grosses $53,000,000 in its first weekend. In its opening weekend, it is going to gross $30,000,000 at the most. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 People really think Black Mass is going to do THAT well? At this point, it is clear that most of you guys predicate your predictions on what you want the movie to make because there is no way hell that Black Mass grosses $53,000,000 in its first weekend. In its opening weekend, it is going to gross $30,000,000 at the most. Looks like you guys haven't been looking at MovieTickets' tracking. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 My friend enjoyed this more than I did. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 I'm not feeling ANY hype for this movie. Usually right before a big YA sequel like New Moon or Catching Fire is released, internet buzz is so huge. Now I'm expecting DOM around the first Maze Runner, with boost a OS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJG Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 (edited) I'm not feeling ANY hype for this movie. Usually right before a big YA sequel like New Moon or Catching Fire is released, internet buzz is so huge. Now I'm expecting DOM around the first Maze Runner, with boost a OS. I loved the movie, but I'm in the same boat you're in. I'm in the UK, and I felt absolutely no hype for this. I went to the cinema for another movie that turned out to not be playing, I saw this was showing and I went in. I had no idea it had been released. surprised it made so much money imo Edited September 14, 2015 by AJG 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxofficerules Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 It didn't even open at number 1 in the UK, it was beaten by Legend ( an 18 rated gangster movie. Legend almost made double what Maze Runner 2 did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 The important thing is it made more than the first one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shayhiri Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 Stupid zombie YA. First had some promise, this one is as dumb as most YA movies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BenedictL11 Posted September 14, 2015 Share Posted September 14, 2015 (edited) People really think Black Mass is going to do THAT well? Bye, Felicia. BM is going to be massive in the low-to-mid 30s OW. IMDB user score is at 8.9 and it is #3 on Buzz Charts Edited September 14, 2015 by BEEJAYGRAD11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PenguinHyphy Posted September 15, 2015 Share Posted September 15, 2015 (edited) Looks like you guys haven't been looking at MovieTickets' tracking. That MovieTickets website proves what exactly? War Room sat at number one with approximately 40% the Monday before its released. A movie's being at 32% while another is sitting at twelve percent does not mean that it is earning almost three times as much money. Believe what you want to believe, but when it opens far below $50,000,00, do not act surprised or say that tracking was saying otherwise. Edited September 15, 2015 by PenguinHyphy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted September 15, 2015 Share Posted September 15, 2015 While advanced tickets can be a good indicator, it obviously isn't everything. For example, my theatre (a smaller theatre granted but still a theatre) has only sold a few advance tickets for Scorch Trials so far. However, just when I'm in box office, I've had many people actually come up and ask if they should buy advanced tickets ("is it going to be as busy as hunger games?") I told them they didn't need to. So with smaller films like this, advanced ticket sales could be mitigated even more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted September 15, 2015 Share Posted September 15, 2015 It didn't even open at number 1 in the UK, it was beaten by Legend ( an 18 rated gangster movie. Legend almost made double what Maze Runner 2 did. Not sure what the point of your comment is. You're passing Legend off as if it is some sort of tiny movie... Legend's opening in the UK is equivalent to about $65M if it was in USA. Nothing to be sneered at... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 15, 2015 Share Posted September 15, 2015 That MovieTickets website proves what exactly? War Room sat at number one with approximately 40% the Monday before its released. A movie's being at 32% while another is sitting at twelve percent does not mean that it is earning almost three times as much money. Believe what you want to believe, but when it opens far below $50,000,00, do not act surprised or say that tracking was saying otherwise. Oh I won't be surprised, but it's doing more than 10 times what Maze Runner is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted September 15, 2015 Share Posted September 15, 2015 This movie looks stupid af. Going to bomb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2spooky4u Posted September 15, 2015 Share Posted September 15, 2015 (edited) This movie looks stupid af. Going to bomb. No, it wont. Edited September 15, 2015 by 2spooky4u 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
