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Weekend numbers thread:TMNT: 28.4 GOTG: 24.7 LBC. 17.7 Ex3: 16.2

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A James Bond film doing 300m+ is not as big of a surprise as a 2nd tier Marvel property that NO ONE heard of doing close to 300m when two of its biggest names did less than 200 with their first films. Bond was twice as big as Skyfall in the franchise's prime. Frozen had the Tangled effect, Gravity had star power, Avengers had that build up. The only one I 100% agree with is THG.

Poor argument. Bond stopped being big years ago. No Bond film had cracked even $200M Dom, plus Skyfall managed $1.1 B WW. Skyfall was a much bigger surprise than GotG.

 

What you are saying Neo is that TASM3 grossing $400M DOM would be no surprise because Spider-Man 2002 pulled it off.

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Poor argument. Bond stopped being big years ago. No Bond film had cracked even $200M Dom, plus Skyfall managed $1.1 B WW. Skyfall was a much bigger surprise than GotG.

 

What you are saying Neo is that TASM3 grossing $400M DOM would be no surprise because Spider-Man 2002 pulled it off.

 

My name is AA, and that is a "poor argument", since Casino Royale + QOS > TASM and TASM2 And Skyfall did about half of Thunderball adjusted. SM1 does not adjust to 800m.

 

Even today, 400m is a lot harder to get to than 300m. Plus Bond had three films post 1995 break 200m if you adjust for inflation so the potential was there. GOTG had every sign 200m would be hard to cross, let alone getting close to 300m.

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My name is AA, and that is a "poor argument", since Casino Royale + QOS > TASM and TASM2 And Skyfall did about half of Thunderball adjusted. SM1 does not adjust to 800m.

 

Even today, 400m is a lot harder to get to than 300m. Plus Bond had three films post 1995 break 200m if you adjust for inflation so the potential was there. GOTG had every sign 200m would be hard to cross, let alone getting close to 300m.

Actually, I felt the signs were there for GotG to make $200M+, and potentially get close to $300M. I wasn't the only one who saw the potential. No one saw Skyfall making $300M DOM and $1.1B WW.

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Actually, I felt the signs were there for GotG to make $200M+, and potentially get close to $300M. I wasn't the only one who saw the potential. No one saw Skyfall making $300M DOM and $1.1B WW.

I'm pretty sure there were a few people that predicted $300m. 50th Anniversary, the Olympics bit, Mendes directing, dat cinematography, holiday legs. There was a lot more going on for Skyfall prerelease than Guardians. Enough that I'm sure there were a few bold people to make a call that high.
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Actually, I felt the signs were there for GotG to make $200M+, and potentially get close to $300M. I wasn't the only one who saw the potential. No one saw Skyfall making $300M DOM and $1.1B WW.

 

 

Ray Subers @raysubers  ·  Aug 2

Oh, you knew GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY would open on par with -- and maybe higher than -- CAPTAIN AMERICA 2? Really? Give me a break.

 

https://twitter.com/raysubers/status/495390722208440321

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80 % of my friends didnt go to see in the theatre because of the leak. If it wasnt leaked at least should be a decent OW+ overseas total. Plus it would get at least 20 more tickets frm all my mates.I saw the leak too but i liked the movie & took 6 more ppl to see it with me including my gf since she loves banderas & statham.Personally, i d say this leak is destroying 85% of the ticket sales to this film. Just to point out hw bad it cn damage>>All of my frds hv already seen before the release ,, thats like over 30 ppl i knew who initially planning to see in theatre but now down to just 6-7 of us.Surely PG 13 & WOM will have an effect but i think it's the leak the main issue here. Damn it! I feel terribly sorry for sly.

 

I think the leak was only able to damage it as much as it did because of the competition. People will go to see a movie they've already seen if there's nothing else good playing. Look at X-Men Origins: Wolverine -- nice opening despite the leak, but the top movies the three weeks before that were Obsessed, 17 Again, and Hannah Montana.

 

With the Expendables, not only are Lucy, Guardians, and Turtles overperforming, they're in the same genre (action adventure), and GotG and TMNT are even in the same sub-genre (80's nostalgia). People who would consider GotG and TMNT unacceptable because of the kiddie factor would be the most turned off by the R to PG-13 rating change, and Lucy is there for them.

 

XO:W's nearest genre competition was Fast and Furious four weeks before and Star Trek a week after. And maybe the XO:W leak was why Trek did so well? XO:W had a really harsh second week drop, and Into Darkness made noticeably less than Trek when it was expected to make noticeably more. Maybe STID's box office wasn't so much a drop as a return to the norm of what a Trek movie can make when its competition hasn't been hamstrung.

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Actually, I felt the signs were there for GotG to make $200M+, and potentially get close to $300M. I wasn't the only one who saw the potential. No one saw Skyfall making $300M DOM and $1.1B WW.

 

This is revisionist history at it's finest. I had the highest prediction in the BSG at 235M while most everyone had it at 135-150M. In my club 16 ins vs 51 out. 

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Actually, I felt the signs were there for GotG to make $200M+, and potentially get close to $300M. I wasn't the only one who saw the potential. No one saw Skyfall making $300M DOM and $1.1B WW.

 

Well if we're merely going to limit ourselves to those on this site then you're probably right. But, I'd argue that a comic book film inherently attracts fans that come out with what would be "crazy" predictions...or according to SHH we all can't predict worth a damn since they "knew" GOTG would blow up. In fact, according to the poll I remember on there, GOTG is a disappointment because it should have opened to 150m+. :P

 

 

Expectations are not the final word on actual potential.

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Really hope that GOTG and TMNT can continue their impressive runs this weekend with low 30% drops. The coming competition on the 22nd doesn't look very intimidating for these two hits, so maybe it can happen. 

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Sunday

  Dawn of The Planet of The Apes $615,657 -26% 1,262 -1044 $488 $201,897,136  

 

Get On Up $571,970 -32% 1,101 -1368 $520 $27,049,950

 

What If $247,919 -23% 787 767 $315 $1,060,219

 

The Purge: Anarchy $181,405 -33% 575 -1027 $315 $70,127,290

 

How to Train Your Dragon 2 $175,811 -29% 377 -149 $466 $171,242,138

 

 

And So It Goes $102,101 -26% 362 -749 $282 $14,326,313

 

X-Men: Days of Future Past $74,186 -27% 223 -4 $333 $232,480,814

 

The Fault in Our Stars $56,946 -24% 206 -17 $276 $124,186,891

 

Chef $51,827 -31% 122 -120 $425 $29,297,196

 

Neighbors (2014) $19,560 -28% 106 -33 $185 $150,056,505

 

T

he Fluffy Movie $12,825 -23% 51 -105 $251 $2,786,030  
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Actually, I felt the signs were there for GotG to make $200M+, and potentially get close to $300M. I wasn't the only one who saw the potential. No one saw Skyfall making $300M DOM and $1.1B WW.

 

Always that one guy who "knew it" but never made a club, a prediction or even said anything about it beforehand. Props to them though, they told us after that they "knew it". ;)

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