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Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby

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7/15-7/17

  1. The Secret Lives of Pets: $55 million ($219 million)
  2. Ghostbusters: $42 million
  3. Finding Dory: $15 million ($454 million)
  4. The Legend of Tarzan: $13 million ($107 million)
  5. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $8 million ($32 million)
  6. The Purge - Election Year: $6 million ($70 million)
  7. Central Intelligence: $5.5 million ($119 million)
  8. The BFG: $5 million ($49 million)
  9. The Infiltrator: $4.5 million
  10. Independence Day -Resurgence: $4 million ($99 million)

7/22-7/24

  1. Star Trek Beyond: $63 million 
  2. The Secret Lives of Pets: $28 million ($279 million) 
  3. Ice Age - Collision Course: $24 million 
  4. Ghostbusters: $21 million ($84 million) 
  5. Lights Out: $12 million 
  6. Finding Dory: $9 million ($473 million)
  7. The Legend of Tarzan: $5.5 million ($118 million) 
  8. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $4 million ($40 million) 
  9. Central Intelligence: $3.5 million ($126 million) 
  10. The Purge - Election Year: $2.5 million ($75 million) 

7/29-7/31

  1. Jason Bourne: $84 million 
  2. Star Trek Beyond: $30 million ($123 million) 
  3. Bad Moms: $23 million
  4. The Secret Lives of Pets: $18.5 million ($316 million) 
  5. Ice Age - Collision Course: $16 million ($57 million) 
  6. Ghostbusters: $10 million ($105 million) 
  7. Nerve: $8 million 
  8. Finding Dory: $7.5 million ($488 million) 
  9. Lights Out: $4 million ($20 million) 
  10. The Legend of Tarzan: $2.5 million ($123 million) 

8/5-8/7

  1. Suicide Squad: $96 million 
  2. Jason Bourne: $39 million ($165 million) 
  3. Bad Moms: $16 million ($55 million) 
  4. Star Trek Beyond: $13 million ($150 million) 
  5. The Secret Lives of Pets: $10.5 million ($337 million) 
  6. Ice Age - Collision Course: $9.5 million ($76 million) 
  7. The Founder: $8 million 
  8. Nine Lives: $7.5 million 
  9. Ghostbusters: $6 million ($117 million) 
  10. Finding Dory: $4.5 million ($497 million) 

8/12-8/14

  1. Suicide Squad: $41 million ($178 million) 
  2. Pete's Dragon: $33 million 
  3. Sausage Party: $28 million 
  4. Jason Bourne: $25 million ($210 million) 
  5. Florence Foster Jenkins: $16 million 
  6. Bad Moms: $10 million ($72 million) 
  7. Star Trek Beyond: $8.5 million ($165 million) 
  8. The Secret Lives of Pets: $5 million ($346 million) 
  9. Ice Age - Collision Course: $4.5 million ($84 million)
  10. The Founder: $4 million ($15 million) 

8/19-8/21

  1. Ben-Hur: $27 million
  2. Suicide Squad: $24 million ($216 million) 
  3. Kubo and the Two Strings: $21.5 million 
  4. Pete's Dragon: $17 million ($56 million) 
  5. Jason Bourne: $13.5 million ($230 million) 
  6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $12 million ($32 million) 
  7. War Dogs: $10 million 
  8. Sausage Party: $8 million ($40 million) 
  9. Bad Moms: $6.5 million ($82 million) 
  10. Star Trek Beyond: $5 million ($173 million) 

8/26-8/28

  1. Suicide Squad: $17 million ($242 million) 
  2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $16 million ($42 million) 
  3. Ben-Hur: $15 million ($48 million) 
  4. Pete's Dragon: $13 million ($73 million) 
  5. Jason Bourne: $10 million ($244 million) 
  6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $9.5 million ($45 million) 
  7. Don't Breathe: $8 million 
  8. Mechanic - Resurrection: $6.5 million 
  9. War Dogs: $6 million ($19 million) 
  10. Bad Moms: $5 million ($89 million) 

9/2-9/5

  1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $17 million/$24 million ($70 million) 
  2. The Light Between Oceans: $16 million/$21 million 
  3. Suicide Squad: $14 million/$18 million ($266 million) 
  4. Pete's Dragon: $13 million/$17.5 million ($93 million) 
  5. Ben-Hur: $10 million/$13 million ($65 million) 
  6. Jason Bourne: $9 million/$11 million ($258 million) 
  7. Florence Foster Jenkins: $8 million/$10 million ($57 million) 
  8. Morgan: $7 million/$8.5 million 
  9. Solace: $4.5 million/$5.5 million 
  10. War Dogs: $4.5 million/$5.5 million ($27 million) 
  11. Bad Moms: $4 million/$5 million ($96 million) 
  12. Don't Breathe: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($15 million) 
  13. Mechanic - Resurrection: $3 million/$3.5 million ($11 million) 
Edited by mahnamahna
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4 minutes ago, mahnamahna said:

7/15-7/17

1. The Secret Lives of Pets: $55 million ($219 million)

2. Ghostbusters: $42 million

3. Finding Dory: $15 million ($454 million)

4. The Legend of Tarzan: $13 million ($107 million)

5. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $8 million ($32 million)

6. The Purge - Election Year: $6 million ($70 million)

7. Central Intelligence: $5.5 million ($119 million)

8. The BFG: $5 million ($49 million)

9. The Infiltrator: $4.5 million

10. Independence Day -Resurgence: $3.5 million ($98 million)

 

Wow you went from having Ghostbusters at $67m to $42m...did Tracking get you?  lol 

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  1. The Secret Life of Pets - $55.4m
  2. Ghostbusters - $47.2m
  3. Finding Dory - $12.5m
  4. The Legend of Tarzan - $11.2m
  5. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - $9.1m
  6. The Purge: Election Year - $5.6m
  7. Central Intelligence - $5.3m
  8. The Infiltrator - $4.6m
  9. The BFG - $4.2m
  10. Independence Day: Resurgence - $4m
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1 minute ago, mahnamahna said:

That and the rumors of mixed reception for the film :P. Plus, Pets did about $20-30 million better than expected. 

 

Ghostbusters is at 73% on RT right now.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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28 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Ghostbusters is at 73% on RT right now.

With a 6.5/10, I don't know if that's really 'solid buzz' or more 'passable reception.' 

 

$35-45 million OW is what I expect at this point. $60-65 million OW could happen, but I'm not counting on it. 

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30 minutes ago, mahnamahna said:

With a 6.5/10, I don't know if that's really 'solid buzz' or more 'passable reception.' 

 

$35-45 million OW is what I expect at this point. $60-65 million OW could happen, but I'm not counting on it. 

SLOP got by with a lower average so anything's possible :lol: 

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If The Heat can pull 40m OW I don't see why Ghostbusters would do worse (they had tracking at 35-41 I heard?). The awareness is higher than almost any film this summer and good reviews means the film has cred Sony's marketing didn't give it.

 

How high it goes... I don't know? I don't think anyone's been clamoring for this movie except the nerds who won't go out of spite. 

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Wow Ice Age 5 comes out in 2 weeks-I don't think I've seen any advertising other then when it had a teaser at Peanuts (which everyone thought was a short film and enjoyed that-but then again nobody really knew it was going to be for a film) and oddly on water bottles!

Then again the film is basically being made for the international audience, not for American.

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Regardless of how much money Ghostbusters ends up doing, its current 78 % fresh at RT must be a huge disappointment for the hordes of people who were utterly convinced that this film would be a sure-fire turd that would garner a sub-10 % rating on RT. Remember how many people thought (and hoped) that this would be a critical disaster akin to the Fantastic Four reboot? I never saw the alleged awfulness that many people claimed to see in the trailers, and based on Feig's recent filmography, which has been quite solid (particularly when it comes to comedies starring women), there was no indicator for anyone to think that this film would be a major disaster. I just hope that the box office is solid also.

Edited by Cochofles
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Had a quick look to see how many tickets Ghostbusters is selling here in the UK at some Cineworld cinemas.

 

Their seating charts show how many seats are booked. Most 2D showings are at least 50% full, while 3D seems to be quieter.

 

Could have a decent start today in the UK. 

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GB 57M

Pets 55M

Dory 13M

Tarzan 12M

Mike 8M

Purg3 5.5M

CI 5M

IDR 4M

BFG 4M

Infiltrator 3.5M

 

Top10 - 167M

 

 

Next weekend

Star Trek 60M

GB 35M

Pets 32M

Ice Age 31M

Lights Out 11M

Dory 7M

Tarzan 6M

Mike 4M

CI 3M

 

Top10 - 189M

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July 15:

Ghostbusters-55m

The Infiltrator-6m

 

July 22:

Star Trek Beyond-60m

Ice Age Collision Course-33m

Lights Out-12m

 

July 29:

Jason Bourne-50m

Bad Moms-20m

Nerve-4m

 

August 5:

Suicide Squad-100m

The Founder-12m

Nine Lives-10m

 

August 12:

Sausage Party-25m

Pete's Dragon-23m

Florence Foster Jenkins-10m

 

August 19:

Ben Hur-15m

Kubo and the Two Strings-11m

War Dogs-8m

 

August 26:

Don't Breathe- 9m

Hands of Stone-7m

Mechanic: Resurrection-5m

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