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Mockingjay Raphael

Weekend Numbers (Jan 2-4)

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I'm amazed the movie is holding as well as it is given how mechanical and boring it was so please stop pouting, it will beat DOS.   And I don't think anyone was really buying that pretentious "defining moment of the middle earth legend" crap in the trailer after the first 2 movies, that movie came out 11 years ago and swept the awards.

 

I think, as fans, we were ridiculously spoiled with every kind of success LOTR brought home. It feels like it did everything right.

 

And now, when we wanted so desperately for lightning to strike twice, the expectations were (I think) quite unfair to the Hobbit films. I never expected these films to match what LOTR did.

 

And, really, no one in 2001 had any idea that LOTR would do anything close to what it did. So, for me, the Hobbit films did very well and met my expectations. And we shouldn't mistakenly identify that conclusion to be a negative thing.

Edited by Beleg Strongbow
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The Hobbit 3 has almost tripled its production budget. It's about $25 million or so away from that. By the time it's finished, it will have almost quadrupled its budget. I don't see how any studio could be upset with that. 

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I doubt you could do much better than the first 4 days being Jan1, Fri, Sat, and Sun.

 

So don't get your hopes too high just yet.

we'll have a good first few weeks of January before it turns to shit after MLK weekend. 2015 has alot of work to do.

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we'll have a good first few weeks of January before it turns to shit after MLK weekend. 2015 has alot of work to do.

 

50 Shades only a few weeks after, 2015 will be fine

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LOL The Interview dropped almost 40% even after doubling its theaters. WOM has kicked in it seems.

 

Uhhh, no.  It was also released on cable and satellite this weekend.  So there is absolutely no need to see it at a theater.

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RENTRAK Worldwide Box Office (Estimates) Weekend ending Jan 4
 
Title Weekend BO Estimate Weekend Cume Release Distributor*
Worldwide International Domestic Worldwide International Domestic International # of Territories Domestic
Hobbit: The Battle o... $74,410,000 $52,500,000 $21,910,000 $722,866,968 $502,100,000 $220,766,968 WB 66 WB
Night At The Museum:... $40,450,000 $26,000,000 $14,450,000 $182,125,652 $92,400,000 $89,725,652 FOX 57 FOX
Exodus: Gods And Kin... $35,200,000 $31,500,000 $3,700,000 $203,724,102 $142,500,000 $61,224,102 FOX 52 FOX
Penguins Of Madagasc... $25,875,000 $23,000,000 $2,875,000 $271,590,971 $193,500,000 $78,090,971 FOX 44 FOX
Big Hero 6 $25,016,000 $20,200,000 $4,816,000 $378,668,220 $167,400,000 $211,268,220 DIS 54 DIS
Taking Of Tiger Moun... $23,750,000 $23,750,000   $97,250,000 $97,250,000   BON 1 WGUI
Unbroken $20,658,450 $2,300,000 $18,358,450 $94,601,310 $6,800,000 $87,801,310 UNI 12 UNI
Into The Woods $20,066,000 $1,000,000 $19,066,000 $97,009,214 $5,800,000 $91,209,214 DIS 11 DIS
Woman in Black 2: An... $18,645,000 $3,500,000 $15,145,000 $18,645,000 $3,500,000 $15,145,000 MUL 5 REL
Seventh Son $18,600,000 $18,600,000   $22,000,000 $22,000,000   UNI 24 UNI
International Market $18,250,000 $18,250,000   $55,750,000 $55,750,000   CJ 1 N/A
Annie $15,600,000 $4,200,000 $11,400,000 $89,525,025 $16,900,000 $72,625,025 MUL 22 SNY
Imitation Game, The $14,611,000 $6,500,000 $8,111,000 $59,308,228 $28,500,000 $30,808,228 MUL 6 TWC
Hunger Games: Mockin... $13,000,000 $5,300,000 $7,700,000 $695,474,548 $371,600,000 $323,874,548 MUL 65 LGF
Paddington $12,500,000 $12,500,000   $105,000,000 $105,000,000   MUL 24 TWC
P.K. $9,649,575 $8,858,124 $791,451 $89,896,724 $79,955,883 $9,940,841 UTV 24 UTV COMM
Taken 3 $9,500,000 $9,500,000   $9,500,000 $9,500,000   FOX 2 FOX
Theory Of Everything... $8,614,000 $7,500,000 $1,114,000 $37,480,019 $12,700,000 $24,780,019 UNI 10 FOC
Si Accettano Miracol... $7,600,000 $7,600,000   $7,600,000 $7,600,000   01 DIS 1 N/A
10000 Ways to LMAO $7,500,000 $7,500,000   $12,500,000 $12,500,000   MUL 1 N/A
Honig im Kopf $7,460,000 $7,460,000   $18,500,000 $18,500,000   WB 2 N/A
American Sniper $6,940,000 $6,300,000 $640,000 $8,492,000 $6,300,000 $2,192,000 WB 2 WB
Love On The Cloud $6,525,000 $6,500,000 $25,000 $37,240,731 $37,000,000 $240,731 MUL 6 CHALION
Famille Belier, La $6,500,000 $6,500,000   $27,000,000 $27,000,000   MUL 6 N/A

 

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Worldwide Box Office (Estimates) Weekend ending Jan 4
 
TITLE WEEKEND BO ESTIMATE WEEKEND CUME RELEASE DISTRIBUTOR*
WORLDWIDE INTERNATIONAL DOMESTIC WORLDWIDE INTERNATIONAL DOMESTIC INTERNATIONAL # OF TERRITORIES DOMESTIC
Hobbit: The Battle o... $74,410,000 $52,500,000 $21,910,000 $722,866,968 $502,100,000 $220,766,968 WB 66 WB
Night At The Museum:... $40,450,000 $26,000,000 $14,450,000 $182,125,652 $92,400,000 $89,725,652 FOX 57 FOX
Exodus: Gods And Kin... $35,200,000 $31,500,000 $3,700,000 $203,724,102 $142,500,000 $61,224,102 FOX 52 FOX
Penguins Of Madagasc... $25,875,000 $23,000,000 $2,875,000 $271,590,971 $193,500,000 $78,090,971 FOX 44 FOX
Big Hero 6 $25,016,000 $20,200,000 $4,816,000 $378,668,220 $167,400,000 $211,268,220 DIS 54 DIS
Taking Of Tiger Moun... $23,750,000 $23,750,000   $97,250,000 $97,250,000   BON 1 WGUI
Unbroken $20,658,450 $2,300,000 $18,358,450 $94,601,310 $6,800,000 $87,801,310 UNI 12 UNI
Into The Woods $20,066,000 $1,000,000 $19,066,000 $97,009,214 $5,800,000 $91,209,214 DIS 11 DIS
Woman in Black 2: An... $18,645,000 $3,500,000 $15,145,000 $18,645,000 $3,500,000 $15,145,000 MUL 5 REL
Seventh Son $18,600,000 $18,600,000   $22,000,000 $22,000,000   UNI 24 UNI
International Market $18,250,000 $18,250,000   $55,750,000 $55,750,000   CJ 1 N/A
Annie $15,600,000 $4,200,000 $11,400,000 $89,525,025 $16,900,000 $72,625,025 MUL 22 SNY
Imitation Game, The $14,611,000 $6,500,000 $8,111,000 $59,308,228 $28,500,000 $30,808,228 MUL 6 TWC
Hunger Games: Mockin... $13,000,000 $5,300,000 $7,700,000 $695,474,548 $371,600,000 $323,874,548 MUL 65 LGF
Paddington $12,500,000 $12,500,000   $105,000,000 $105,000,000   MUL 24 TWC
P.K. $9,649,575 $8,858,124 $791,451 $89,896,724 $79,955,883 $9,940,841 UTV 24 UTV COMM
Taken 3 $9,500,000 $9,500,000   $9,500,000 $9,500,000   FOX 2 FOX
Theory Of Everything... $8,614,000 $7,500,000 $1,114,000 $37,480,019 $12,700,000 $24,780,019 UNI 10 FOC
Si Accettano Miracol... $7,600,000 $7,600,000   $7,600,000 $7,600,000   01 DIS 1 N/A
10000 Ways to LMAO $7,500,000 $7,500,000   $12,500,000 $12,500,000   MUL 1 N/A
Honig im Kopf $7,460,000 $7,460,000   $18,500,000 $18,500,000   WB 2 N/A
American Sniper $6,940,000 $6,300,000 $640,000 $8,492,000 $6,300,000 $2,192,000 WB 2 WB
Love On The Cloud $6,525,000 $6,500,000 $25,000 $37,240,731 $37,000,000 $240,731 MUL 6 CHALION
Famille Belier, La $6,500,000 $6,500,000   $27,000,000 $27,000,000   MUL 6 N/A

 

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350 sounds a bit much.

 

340 seems much more realistic.

345-ish is probably where it ends, but 350 could happen. It's grossing more than Catching Fire was at this same point. That had like another 18m or so to add from this point to its gross, but MJ1 is having the much better holds. So another 25m isn't out of the question. But it depends on how the strong looking January competition affects it too.

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