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baumer

Wed #'s American Sniper (7.5 mill...RTH)

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I am thinking in 51-52 weekend. 56-58 seems too high.

 

What daily numbers are you thinking?

 

At this point it would need to really disappoint with its jumps this Friday

 

After a 7M Thursday

 

Friday  15M (then, a 22M Saturday and a 14M Sunday) 

 

That's slightly over 100% jump this Friday. But given the competition, the WOM and last years correlative weekend (with jumps around the 160% area), can't see it going that low.

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What daily numbers are you thinking?

 

At this point it would need to really disappoint with its jumps this Friday

 

After a 7M Thursday

 

Friday  15M (then, a 22M Saturday and a 14M Sunday) 

 

That's slightly over 100% jump this Friday. But given the competition, the WOM and last years correlative weekend (with jumps around the 160% area), can't see it going that low.

I did a mistake. I thought Saturday increase would be lower, but I have been seeing last year's and it seems that every movie can increase about between 50 and 70%, even more. Let's say that after a $7m Thursday, we see something like 17-25-14. So a $56m weekend and Jessie was right. Bad maths :P

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It went up from RTH's estimate yesterday, I could see 7.7m

Also, this is really hitting home with the conservative and religious crowd, Wednesday church probably had a small dent as well as coming off of Cheap Tuesday.

Id think Thursday stays flat and so

Thursday: 7.6m

Friday: 19m

Saturday: 25.7m

Sunday: 20.6m (No football this Sunday)

2nd Weekend: 65.3m

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