Jandrew Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I would love to see a realistic breakdown of it missing 300M It's as close to a lock as there is As it turns out, only Mid America was actually interested in the film, and they all rushed out last weekend. Theres no football, but the county fair is coming town and theres a large fireworks sale, therefore expect Sniper to drop at least 75% in its second weekend. Also BND presales suggest that America seems to love their mothers cookies. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 AS won't get above $300 million. I don't see this being the Passion of Christ. Why wouldn't it, it got good reviews, a lot of hype and it is a oscar nominé. Like I said no way this has wors legs than GOTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I would love to see a realistic breakdown of it missing 300M It's as close to a lock as there is Thu - 7.3 Fri - 17m Sat. - 25m sun - 15m 2nd weekend - 57m Cume 192m Mon - 4.8m Tue - 5m wed - 4m Thu - 4.1m Fri. - 9.5m sat. - 14m sun - 8.5m 3rd weekend - 32m Cume 242m 4th week - Mon - 0.5m tue. - 0.4m Wed.- 0.3m Thu - 0.2m Fri. - 1m Sat. - 0. 8m sun - 0.6m Cume - less than 300M So yeah its definitely possible 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 40% weekly drops would put AS right in the same ballpark as GotG. It looks like it will pull about 132m for the first wide week. A 40% drop would put the second week around 80m. It would need a weekend drop below 40% to do that, though, due to the holiday Monday this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) I would love to see a realistic breakdown of it missing 300M It's as close to a lock as there is North Korea sends a nuclear bomb to the west coast of America because American Sniper should be about Kim Jung Un who has 1 million confirmed kills. America sends a nuclear bomb to North Korea and WW3 happens and in 48 hours everybody earth has died. Edited January 22, 2015 by Snoopy of Suburbia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I would love to see a realistic breakdown of it missing 300M It's as close to a lock as there is It could follow Ride Along exactly from this point and end up with 299M. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I would love to see a realistic breakdown of it missing 300M It's as close to a lock as there is 50 Shades of Grey could cut its legs off, the movies are very similar and target the same audiences. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 If it follows closely to Zero Dark Thirty and Lone Survivor, it will be a bit of a challenge to get past Katniss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
75Live Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 but more importantly if it follows Zyzzyx Road, it won't make another cent after today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 And I like BJ's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 MJ1 is the biggest film of its year. It doesn't make sense that Sniper is treated as a 2014 film instead of 2015. But whatever. Actually, if you don't count Sniper as #1 of 2014 than neither was MJ1, because Guardians made more in 2014 than it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2041758 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 It would be the greatest thing ever if this beat Mockingjay. Shame that it's currently at the top. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 American Sniper continues to amaze. If this somehow hits $60 million for the weekend I wouldn't be surprised. I do expect next week with the Superbowl, Sunday will be so deflated that it will likely cause for a much lower than normal weekend... but I expect an incredible hold the weekend after. Honestly this will probably play well into the spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 50 Shades of Grey could cut its legs off, the movies are very similar and target the same audiences. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) The theater counts for next weekend's openers: Project Almanac- 2,800 The Loft- 1,800 Black or White- 1,500 Yep, looks like another year where the Super Bowl Weekend openers are studio dumps. Continue dominating, American Sniper! Edited January 22, 2015 by filmlover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 1 2 American Sniper Warner Bros. 3,705 +150 +4.2% 5 WIDEST RELEASES BY MPAA RATING Note: This chart only shows the top 200 movies, regardless of sorting. Rank* Title (click to view) Studio Theaters Weekend Gross** % of Total Average Total Gross*** Date^ Wk# 1 American Sniper WB 3,705 n/a n/a n/a $128,115,621 1/23/15 5 2 The Hangover Part II WB 3,675 $17,667,329 6.9% $4,807 $254,464,305 6/10/11 3 3 Watchmen WB 3,611 $55,214,334 51.4% $15,291 $107,509,799 3/6/09 1 4 The Matrix Reloaded WB 3,603 $91,774,413 32.6% $25,471 $281,576,461 5/16/03 1 5 The Hangover Part III WB 3,565 $16,385,254 14.6% $4,596 $112,200,072 5/31/13 2 6 Snakes on a Plane NL 3,555 $13,806,311 40.6% $3,883 $34,020,814 8/18/06 1 7 A Good Day to Die Hard Fox 3,555 $10,165,633 15.1% $2,860 $67,349,198 2/22/13 2 8 The Hangover WB 3,545 $26,753,473 9.6% $7,547 $277,322,503 6/19/09 3 9 Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines WB 3,504 $44,041,440 29.3% $12,568 $150,371,112 7/4/03 1 10 The Matrix Revolutions WB 3,502 $48,475,154 34.8% $13,842 $139,313,948 11/7/03 1 Another record for American Sniper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 Locks have a funny way of dissipating. Youre going to have to give me a scenario where it makes 50 mill this weekend and misses 300. Its locked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Who did Disney blackmailed to have Strange Magic in over 3,000 theaters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) Assuming AS stays flat today, its weekend numbers for the post MLK weekend if it follows: Lone Survivor - 67M ZD30 - 72M Both those movies jumped 130-160% on Friday and 60-80% on Saturday. Assuming AS has burnt a lot of demand and only sees small jumps, say 100% on Friday and 40% on Saturday, and a 50% drop on Sunday, it will get a weekend of 48M. Basically 48M looks like it will be the floor for the weekend number. If it somehow performs like Lone Survivor despite opening 2 and a half times as big, then it will basically be an unprecedented run. Edited January 22, 2015 by grim22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Who did Disney blackmailed to have Strange Magic in over 3,000 theaters? You take Strange Magic, or you don't get Avengers and Star Wars. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
