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LexJoker

Weekend Numbers Jan 23-25 pg 46(AS 64 mill, Mom's cookies 15)

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355m is a possibility

 

Either way top movie of 2014

Just unbelievable. When it was 1st announced I thought 

this is gonna make $50M-60M conservative (judging from Eastwood

recent box office performance) &  $130M tops (like Lone Survivor).

I was wrong.

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I don't see how it will stop at 350 million..

 

 

Even being conservative it will be at 320-330 million after Presidents day weekend. 

$39 million ($262 million) 

$30.5 million ($308 million) 

$27 million/$32 million ($353 million) 

$20 million ($379 million) 

$15 million ($402 million) 

$11 million ($420 million)

 

It seems to be on pace for $450-470 million if it keeps up the insane pace. That's obviously the liberal estimate lol. Conservative would be 370-380. 

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Imo 350 million is done unless it falls over 50% on Superbowl weekend and for some reason does not hold well on its 4th and 5th weekend.

 

 

Imo it should doing 35+ next weekend, 25 after that and 20 + after that. 

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BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice
THE IMITATION GAME earned an estimated $1.92M on Friday. Domestic total stands at $55.43M. #TheImitationGame

 

 

This movie is killing it!

Edited by pepsa
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The top film of last Friday (and quite obviously the weekend) was again Clint Eastwood’sAmerican Sniper. The Warner Bros./Time Warner Inc. release earned another$18.325 million yesterday, which was a Friday-to-Friday drop of just 40%. It has now earned $154m domestic, including$14.5m in IMAX alone. That’s also the biggest non-debut-weekend Friday in history for an R-rated film, easily besting the $13m second Friday ofThe Passion of the Christas well the over/under$10m second Fridays ofThe Matrix Reloaded, The Hangover part II,and300. Among R-ratedfilms that didn’t open ona Friday per-se, it comesits second Friday comes in just under the opening Fridays ofThe Passion of the Christ($22.9m),The Hangover part II($29.2m), andTheMatrix Reloaded($31.3m). If there was any question, it is now clear that, inflation and IMAX/PLF bumps notwithstanding,American Sniperis indeed playing like the (all due respect) second coming ofThe Passion of the Christ. As of now, it looks likeAmerican Sniper’s second weekend will end up a bit over $61 million, which would be a stunning hold of 31%. In terms of pure numbers, that easily bests the second weekend of Mel Gibson’s “last days of Jesus” drama from 2004.That film dropped 36% in 2004 from an $83m Fri-Sun debut (out of a$125m Wed-Sun debut) to a $53m second Fri-Sun weekend. It ended its twelfth day with $213m domestic whileAmerican Sniperlooks to end Sunday (its tenth day of wide release after a few weeks of super limited play) with $197m for theOscar contender. At this point, there is no point even discussing the performance of any filmother thanPassion of the Christas there is no R-rated film that even comes close to this kind of strength.If it makes it to $61m, it will be the eleventh-biggest second weekendin history ahead ofToy Story 3, a film that eventually crossed$400m domestic. If it makes it to $63m tomorrow, it jumps up abunch of spots (lots of$62m second weekends) and gets to be the eighth-biggest second weekend betweenAlice in Wonderland($62m) andSpider-Man($71m). In an era where openingat around $93m and only dropping 55% is considered leggy, it’s nice to be reminded what real strength beyond opening weekend looks like. Among the top 100 opening weekends, fromThe Avengers($207m) toMadagascar 2($63m), only twelve films have ever dropped less than 40%.They areAvatar(-1.8% of a $77m debut),Star Wars Episode One: The Phantom Menace(-20% off a $64m debut),The LEGO Movie(-28% off a$69m debut),The Incredibles(-28% off a$70m debut),Lord of theRings: The Return of the King(-30% off a $72m debut),Shrek 2(-33% offa $108m debut),Finding Nemo(-33% off a $70m debut),Up(-35% off a$68m debut),The Passion of the Christ(-36% off an $83m debut),Harry Potter andthe Sorcerer’s Stone(-36% off a $90m debut),Spider-Man(-37% off a$114m debut),Shrek Forever After(-38% off a$70m debut) have dropped less than 40%, let alone the over/under30% drop thatAmerican Snipermay post. And as you’ll notice seven of those titles were family-friendly/animated films heading into a holiday weekend.I think it is safe, especially with at least two weeks away from any serious competition (and that’s assumingSeventh SonandJupiter Ascendingrepresent serious competition), thatAmerican Sniperis all-but-certain to (in order of probability) cross $300m domestic, surpassThe Hunger Games: Mockingjay part I(which should end at around $340m domestic), and quite possibly topple the$377m total ofThe Passion of the Christto become the biggest-grossing R-rated movie ever in America.The Matrix Reloaded’s$742m worldwide total is still a question mark at this early stage. NowThe Passion of the Christearned around $494m in 2015 dollars andBeverly Hills Cop’s$234m total in 1984 would equal around$557m when adjusted for inflation, but that’s a conversation producers and studios dream about having.

Edited by Donald
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